First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET / 4:10 p.m. PT
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
Capacity: 37,755
Weather Forecast (Boston, MA)
Fenway is open-air; weather will influence run environment.
- Temperature: 61–64°F at first pitch
- Wind: 11–15 mph blowing out to left field
- Humidity: ~57%
- Rain: 0% — clear, cool spring evening
- Weather Impact:
- Boost for right-handed pull hitters
- Green Monster becomes even more dangerous
- Slightly hitter-friendly overall
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
- Bryce Harper — Healthy
- Trea Turner — OUT (hamstring strain)
- J.T. Realmuto — Day-to-day (knee soreness)
- Ranger Suárez — Healthy
- Taijuan Walker — OUT (shoulder inflammation)
Boston Red Sox
- Rafael Devers — Probable (back tightness)
- Triston Casas — OUT (rib fracture)
- Trevor Story — OUT (elbow surgery)
- Brayan Bello — Healthy
- Kenley Jansen — Day-to-day (hip soreness)
Team Records & Recent Form
Philadelphia Phillies (19–22)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Road Record: 8–12
- Run Differential: -9
- Recent Form:
- Offense inconsistent but improving
- Bullpen stabilizing after rough April
- Rotation has been solid, especially Suárez
Boston Red Sox (17–23)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 9–11
- Run Differential: -28
- Recent Form:
- Offense struggling without Casas/Story
- Pitching staff allowing 5.1 runs per game over last 10
- Bullpen unreliable outside of Jansen
Probable Starting Pitchers
Philadelphia — LHP Ranger Suárez (4–2, 2.94 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.07
- K/BB: 46/10
- Strengths:
- Ground-ball machine
- Excellent vs LHB
- Weaknesses:
- Occasional HR issues vs RH hitters
- Matchup Outlook:
- Fenway’s left-field dimensions challenge him
- Boston’s RH bats (O’Neill, Abreu) are key threats
Boston — RHP Brayan Bello (3–3, 4.22 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/BB: 39/14
- Strengths:
- Heavy sinker, induces weak contact
- Weaknesses:
- Struggles vs LHB
- Can unravel when behind in counts
- Matchup Outlook:
- Phillies’ LH bats (Harper, Schwarber, Stott) match up well
- Wind blowing out to left slightly helps RH hitters, not Bello
Key Player Matchups
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs. Brayan Bello
- Harper hitting .310 vs RHP
- Bello allows .278 average to LHB
- Advantage: Harper
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Ranger Suárez
- Devers crushes lefties when healthy
- Suárez’s cutter/curve combo can neutralize him
- Advantage: Even
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs. Fenway Dimensions
- Schwarber’s fly-ball profile plays extremely well to right
- Wind doesn’t help him, but park does
- Advantage: Schwarber
Tyler O’Neill (BOS) vs. Suárez
- O’Neill’s RH power vs a lefty in Fenway is dangerous
- Suárez must keep ball down
- Advantage: O’Neill
Series History
- 2025 Season: Phillies won 2 of 3
- Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 6–4
- At Fenway Park: Red Sox lead 8–6 since 2010
- Trend: Games tend to be higher scoring at Fenway
Betting Trends
Philadelphia
- 4–1 in last 5 vs AL East
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 Suárez starts
- Phillies 7–3 in last 10 games as road favorite
Boston
- 2–6 in last 8 home games
- Over is 7–3 in last 10 Red Sox games
- Boston 1–5 in last 6 vs LHP
Head-to-Head
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 meetings
- Road team has won 3 of last 4
Game Odds
Philadelphia Phillies – 149
Boston Red Sox 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 11, 2026
