First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. ET / 4:40 p.m. MT
Venue: PNC Park — Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
Capacity: 38,747
Weather Forecast (Pittsburgh, PA)
Open-air ballpark; weather will influence run environment.
- Temperature: 63–66°F at first pitch
- Wind: 7–11 mph blowing out to left-center
- Humidity: ~59%
- Rain: 0% — clear, mild spring evening
- Weather Impact:
- Slight boost for right-handed power hitters
- Ball carries better than usual in these conditions
- PNC Park still plays pitcher-friendly overall
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
- Kris Bryant — OUT (back injury)
- Nolan Jones — Day-to-day (wrist soreness)
- Kyle Freeland — OUT (shoulder strain)
- Brenton Doyle — Healthy
- Ryan Feltner — Healthy (expected to start)
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Oneil Cruz — Healthy
- Ke’Bryan Hayes — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- Henry Davis — OUT (hand fracture)
- Mitch Keller — Healthy (expected to start)
- David Bednar — Healthy (closer available)
Team Records & Recent Form
Colorado Rockies (16–25)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Road Record: 6–15
- Run Differential: -41
- Recent Form:
- Offense inconsistent, averaging 3.7 runs over last 10
- Bullpen remains a major liability
- Rotation struggling outside of Gomber
Pittsburgh Pirates (22–19)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Home Record: 11–8
- Run Differential: +12
- Recent Form:
- Offense improving, especially top of order
- Pitching staff allowing 3.9 runs per game over last 10
- Bullpen strong late with Bednar anchoring
Probable Starting Pitchers
Colorado — RHP Ryan Feltner (2–3, 4.77 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.39
- K/BB: 34/12
- Strengths:
- Good velocity, solid slider
- Weaknesses:
- Struggles vs LHB
- Road ERA significantly higher
- Matchup Outlook:
- Pirates’ lefties (Cruz, Suwinski) are dangerous
- PNC Park helps suppress HRs, but wind adds risk
Pittsburgh — RHP Mitch Keller (4–2, 3.52 ERA)
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/BB: 51/13
- Strengths:
- Cutter/slider combo generating weak contact
- Excellent at home
- Weaknesses:
- Occasional command lapses early in games
- Matchup Outlook:
- Rockies’ offense weak on the road
- Keller’s pitch mix matches up well
Key Player Matchups
Oneil Cruz (PIT) vs. Ryan Feltner
- Cruz hitting .295 vs RHP
- Feltner allows .286 average to LHB
- Advantage: Cruz
Ke’Bryan Hayes (PIT) vs. Rockies Bullpen
- Hayes hitting .318 in late innings
- Rockies bullpen bottom‑five in ERA
- Advantage: Hayes
Ryan McMahon (COL) vs. Mitch Keller
- McMahon’s power plays well to right-center
- Keller’s cutter neutralizes left-handed pull hitters
- Advantage: Keller
Connor Joe (PIT) vs. Feltner
- Joe hitting .302 at home
- Feltner struggles vs RH contact hitters
- Advantage: Joe
Series History
- 2025 Season: Pirates won 4 of 6
- Last 10 Meetings: Pirates lead 7–3
- At PNC Park: Pirates 10–4 vs Rockies since 2018
- Trend: Low-scoring games common in Pittsburgh
Betting Trends
Colorado
- 2–8 in last 10 road games
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 Rockies games
- Rockies 1–6 in last 7 vs teams above .500
Pittsburgh
- 5–1 in last 6 home games
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 Keller starts
- Pirates 6–2 in last 8 vs NL West
Head-to-Head
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 meetings
- Pirates have won 7 of last 10 overall
Game Odds
Colorado Rockies 7.5
Pittsburgh Pirates – 300
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 11, 2026
