Venue: Oracle Park — San Francisco, California
First Pitch: 6:45 PM PT / 9:45 PM ET
Surface: Natural grass
Broadcast: NBC Sports Bay Area, Bally Sports San Diego, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — ORACLE PARK
Temperature: 57–60°F at first pitch
Wind: 12–16 mph blowing out toward right‑center — boosts left‑handed power
Humidity: 72%
Precipitation: <5% chance
Ballpark Impact:
Oracle Park is normally pitcher‑friendly, but wind out to right‑center raises run‑scoring potential
Left‑handed hitters get a meaningful boost
Outfield defense becomes more important due to swirling winds
INJURY REPORT
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (RF) — Probable, minor ankle soreness
Xander Bogaerts (SS) — Probable, wrist tightness
Joe Musgrove (SP) — Out, shoulder inflammation
Robert Suarez (CL) — Probable, routine rest
San Francisco Giants
Michael Conforto (OF) — Questionable, hamstring tightness
Jung Hoo Lee (CF) — Out, shoulder injury
Alex Cobb (SP) — Out, elbow recovery
Camilo Doval (CL) — Probable, workload management
TEAM RECORDS & PERFORMANCE
San Diego Padres (20–13)
Run Differential: +27
Road Record: 11–6
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense: 4.92 runs/game
Pitching: 3.98 ERA
Bullpen: 3.72 ERA (top‑12 MLB)
San Francisco Giants (13–21)
Run Differential: -31
Home Record: 7–10
Last 10 Games: 3–7
Offense: 4.02 runs/game
Pitching: 4.88 ERA
Bullpen: 4.61 ERA (bottom‑third MLB)
RECENT TEAM FORM
San Diego Padres
Offense hot: 5.3 runs/game over last 8
Rotation stabilizing despite Musgrove’s absence
Tatis, Cronenworth, and Campusano producing
Bullpen strong in leverage spots
San Francisco Giants
Offense inconsistent: 3.7 runs/game over last 7
Rotation struggling to reach 6 innings
Bullpen taxed and unreliable
Estrada and Chapman carrying most of the load
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
San Diego — Dylan Cease (RHP)
2026 Season: 4–2, 3.44 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Strengths: Elite strikeout ability, wipeout slider
Weaknesses: Occasional walk issues
Vs. Giants: 3.60 career ERA
San Francisco — Kyle Harrison (LHP)
2026 Season: 2–4, 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP
Strengths: Strong fastball/slider combo
Weaknesses: HR susceptibility vs. right‑handed hitters
Vs. Padres: 4.50 career ERA
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs. Kyle Harrison (SF)
Tatis crushes left‑handed pitching
Harrison must avoid middle‑in fastballs Edge: Padres
2. Matt Chapman (SF) vs. Dylan Cease (SD)
Chapman handles high‑velocity pitching well
Cease’s slider must stay sharp Edge: Even
3. Jake Cronenworth (SD) vs. Giants Bullpen
Cronenworth’s left‑handed bat benefits from wind out
Giants’ bullpen has struggled vs. lefties Edge: Padres
4. Thairo Estrada (SF) vs. Padres Right‑Handed Pitching
Estrada’s contact profile plays well in Oracle Park Edge: Giants (slight)
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Padres lead 9–4
Last 10 Meetings: Padres lead 7–3
At Oracle Park: Padres have won 5 of last 7
Games often low‑scoring early, opening up late due to bullpen volatility.
BETTING TRENDS
San Diego Padres
6–3 in last 9 road games
Over is 5–3 in last 8
8–3 in last 11 vs. NL West
San Francisco Giants
3–7 in last 10 home games
Over is 4–2 in last 6
2–8 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Game Odds
San Diego Padres – 143
San Francisco Giants 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 3, 2026
