Kickoff: 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT
Broadcast: FOX / Telemundo / FIFA+
Weather Forecast — East Rutherford, NJ
Temperature: 82–86°F at kickoff
Humidity: 60–70%
Wind: 6–10 mph (light crosswind)
Rain Chance: 20%
Pitch Condition: Excellent; hybrid grass surface
Impact:
Warm, humid conditions favor possession‑heavy teams
Light wind has minimal effect on long balls
High humidity may slow tempo late, benefiting deeper squads (France)
Injury Report (As of July 14, 2026 Morning)
Spain
Pedri — Out (knee)
Gavi — Out (ACL)
Aymeric Laporte — Questionable (groin)
Dani Olmo — Probable (ankle)
France
Kylian Mbappé — Probable (foot)
Aurélien Tchouaméni — Out (ankle)
Kingsley Coman — Questionable (hamstring)
Theo Hernández — Probable (shoulder)
Impact:
Spain missing Pedri & Gavi weakens midfield creativity and ball progression.
France missing Tchouaméni affects defensive midfield stability, but Mbappé’s availability keeps their attack elite.
Team Records & Form (2026 Cycle)
Spain — Last 10 Matches
Record: 6–2–2
Goals: 18 scored / 9 conceded
Trend: Strong possession, inconsistent finishing
Strength: Midfield control, technical precision
Weakness: Lack of elite striker, defensive lapses vs. pace
France — Last 10 Matches
Record: 7–1–2
Goals: 22 scored / 11 conceded
Trend: Explosive attack, strong counter‑press
Strength: Transition play, world‑class individual talent
Weakness: Vulnerable when forced into sustained defending
Series History — Spain vs. France
All‑Time Meetings: Spain leads 16–13–7
Last 5 Meetings: France leads 3–2
Most Recent Match: France 2–1 Spain (2024 Nations League)
Neutral‑Site Meetings: France has won 4 of last 6
Key Note: France’s pace and physicality have consistently troubled Spain’s possession‑heavy approach in recent years.
Key Tactical Matchups
Álvaro Morata (ESP) vs. Dayot Upamecano (FRA)
Morata: Intelligent movement, inconsistent finishing
Upamecano: Elite physicality, occasional positioning errors Edge: Slight to France
Rodri (ESP) vs. Eduardo Camavinga (FRA)
Rodri: Spain’s anchor, elite ball retention
Camavinga: Dynamic, strong in duels, excellent transition play Edge: Spain in possession, France in transition
Lamine Yamal (ESP) vs. Theo Hernández (FRA)
Yamal: Breakout star, elite 1v1 ability
Hernández: Aggressive fullback, dangerous overlapping runs Edge: Even — high‑impact duel
Kylian Mbappé (FRA) vs. Spain’s back line
Mbappé: 2026 cycle — 10 goals, 6 assists
Spain CBs: Struggle vs. elite pace Edge: France (major advantage)
Statistical Comparison (2026 Cycle)
| Category | Spain | France |
| Goals per Match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Possession | 63% | 54% |
| Shots per Match | 14.2 | 16.1 |
| Shots Allowed | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| Passing Accuracy | 90% | 86% |
| Counter‑Attack Goals | 3 | 9 |
Key Insight: Spain dominates possession, but France is far more dangerous in transition and chance creation.
Betting Trends
Spain
Unders hit in 6 of last 9 matches
Spain 1–4 vs. top‑10 ranked opponents since 2024
Spain has conceded first in 5 of last 7 matches vs. France
France
Overs hit in 7 of last 10 matches
France unbeaten in last 6 neutral‑site matches
France has scored 2+ goals in 8 of last 10 matches
Head‑to‑Head Trends
France has scored in 9 straight meetings
Spain has not kept a clean sheet vs. France since 2013
Average goals last 5 meetings: 3.0
MATCH ODDS
Spain + 220
France + 135
Draw +220
Over 2.5 – 115 Under 2.5 – 105
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, July 13, 2026
