Venue & Game Details
Event: WNBA Playoffs – Semifinals, Game 2 (Lynx lead series 1–0)
Time: 7:30 PM ET (4:30 PM PT)
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Broadcast: ESPN, WNBA League Pass
Injury Report
Minnesota Lynx: No injuries listed.
Phoenix Mercury: No injuries listed.
Both teams are expected to be at full strength.
Key Player Matchups
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) vs. Satou Sabally (Mercury)
Collier has been Minnesota’s anchor, averaging 17.3 PPG over the last 10 games. Sabally’s perimeter shooting (2.1 threes per game recently) is critical for Phoenix.
Courtney Williams (Lynx) vs. Kahleah Copper (Mercury)
Williams scored 23 in Game 1, while Copper led Phoenix with 22. Both are explosive scorers who can swing momentum.
Kayla McBride (Lynx) vs. Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)
McBride’s perimeter shooting (21 points, 4 threes in Game 1) stretches defenses. Thomas provides inside scoring and playmaking (15.4 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 9.2 APG).
Recent Team Form
Minnesota Lynx (Last 10): 7–3, averaging 83.6 PPG, shooting 47.2%, holding opponents to 75.4 PPG.
Phoenix Mercury (Last 10): 5–5, averaging 78.6 PPG, shooting 41.8%, allowing 77.4 PPG.
Series History
2025 Regular Season: Lynx dominated the West (20–4 vs. conference), Mercury went 13–11.
Game 1 (Sept 21, 2025): Lynx 82 – Mercury 69.
Lynx locked down defensively in the second half, outscoring Phoenix 44–28.
Williams (23 pts), McBride (21 pts), Collier (18 pts, 9 rebs) led Minnesota.
Copper (22 pts) was Phoenix’s bright spot.
Betting Trends
Lynx are 12–3 at home this season.
Mercury are 5–11 on the road.
Lynx have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games.
Mercury are 2–8 ATS in their last 10 road playoff games.
Game 1 total (151 points) went under the line of 158.5.
Lynx defense has held opponents to 69.8 PPG over last 5 games.
Historical Betting Results (Head-to-Head)
Last 6 matchups: Phoenix has failed to score above 95 points in any game vs. Minnesota.
Unders trend: 4 of the last 5 Mercury–Lynx games have gone under the posted total.
ATS edge: Minnesota has consistently covered spreads at home, while Phoenix struggles on the road.
GAME ODDS
Phoenix Mercury 159.5
Minnesota Lynx – 7.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, September 22, 2025
