Scheduled Tip‑Off: 7:00 PM PT
Venue Type: One of the league’s strongest home‑court environments; fast pace, high scoring.
CURRENT TEAM CONTEXT
Portland Fire (11–16)
The expansion Fire have shown competitive flashes but remain inconsistent. Their offense is guard‑heavy, their defense struggles against elite frontcourts, and they often falter late in games. Still, Portland has enough shooting and pace to be dangerous on any given night.
Las Vegas Aces (18–8)
The Aces remain a championship contender. Their offense is elite, their spacing is exceptional, and their star trio (Wilson–Gray–Young) continues to dominate. Vegas is especially lethal at home, where pace and efficiency spike.
INJURY REPORT
Portland Fire
Skylar Diggins‑Smith — Day‑to‑Day (ankle)
Kalani Brown — Out (knee)
Lexie Brown — Active
Michaela Onyenwere — Active but limited
Las Vegas Aces
A’ja Wilson — Active (minor shoulder soreness)
Chelsea Gray — Day‑to‑Day (foot)
Kelsey Plum — Active
Alicia Clark — Out (back)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Portland — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offensive rating: 101.4
Defensive rating: 107.9
Strength: guard scoring, transition pace
Weakness: interior defense, rebounding, turnovers
Las Vegas — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offensive rating: 109.3
Defensive rating: 101.2
Strength: elite spacing, star power, clutch execution
Weakness: bench depth when Gray is limited
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Skylar Diggins‑Smith (POR) vs. Kelsey Plum (LV)
Diggins‑Smith is Portland’s best creator
Plum is one of the league’s most efficient scorers Edge: Plum — especially at home
Michaela Onyenwere (POR) vs. Jackie Young (LV)
Onyenwere provides athleticism but inconsistent shooting
Young is an elite two‑way wing Edge: Young
Kalani Brown (POR, OUT) vs. A’ja Wilson (LV)
Brown’s absence leaves Portland exposed inside
Wilson is the best interior scorer and defender in the league Massive Edge: Wilson
Portland Bench vs. Las Vegas Bench
Portland’s bench is young and inconsistent
Vegas’ bench is limited but disciplined Edge: Las Vegas
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season Series: Aces lead 1–0
First year of Portland’s franchise
Aces won the previous meeting by double digits
Vegas has historically dominated expansion teams
BETTING TRENDS
Portland
Fire are 3–7 ATS in their last 10
Over is 6–4 in their last 10
Portland is 2–8 vs. teams above .500
Las Vegas
Aces are 7–3 ATS in their last 10
Over is 8–2 in their last 10 home games
Vegas is 9–1 in their last 10 home games
Head‑to‑Head
Aces won the only meeting
Portland struggled to defend Wilson and Plum
Vegas scored 95+ in the previous matchup
ADVANCED ANALYTICS SNAPSHOT
Team Efficiency
| Category | Portland | Las Vegas |
| Offensive Rating | 101.4 | 109.3 |
| Defensive Rating | 107.9 | 101.2 |
| Net Rating | -6.5 | +8.1 |
| Pace | Fast | Fast |
Key Statistical Edges
Vegas +9.3 in paint scoring
Vegas +7.1 in turnover margin
Portland -6.4 in defensive rebounding rate
Vegas +8.8 in fast‑break points
PROJECTED GAME SCRIPT
Vegas pushes pace early
Wilson dominates inside with Brown out
Portland keeps it close with guard scoring
Aces’ spacing overwhelms Portland’s perimeter defense
Fourth quarter: Vegas’ star power closes the game out
GAME ODDS
Portland Fire 179
Las Vegas Aces – 11.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 27, 2026
