WNBA Game Preview: Phoenix Mercury (16-10) vs. Atlanta Dream (16-11)

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Atlanta Dream logo

Game Details

Date: Friday, August 1, 2025

Time: 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA

Broadcast: ION, WNBA League Pass

Season Series: Atlanta leads 1–0

Team Overview & Momentum

Phoenix Mercury (16–10)

Conference Standing: 3rd in Western Conference

Recent Form: Lost 4 of last 5 games

Last Game: Lost to Indiana Fever 107–101

Key Players:

Alyssa Thomas: 32 points, 15 rebounds, 7 assists vs. Fever; averaging 18.4 PPG, 9.2 APG, 8.3 RPG

Satou Sabally: 17.6 PPG, 6.9 RPG

Kahleah Copper: 15.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG

Strengths:

83.8 points per game (4th in WNBA)

9.6 made 3-pointers per game (2nd in WNBA)

Injury Report: No major injuries listed

Atlanta Dream (16–11)

Conference Standing: 4th in Eastern Conference

Recent Form: Won 3 of last 4 games

Last Game: Beat Dallas Wings 88–85

Key Players:

Allisha Gray: 18.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 3.9 APG

Naz Hillmon: Averaging 8.0 PPG off the bench; scored season-high 21 vs. Wings

Brittney Griner: 17 points, 8 rebounds vs. Mercury in last meeting

Strengths:

3rd in offensive efficiency

League-best defensive rebounding rate

Injury Report: Rhyne Howard (knee) – out

Head-to-Head Matchup

DateResultLocation
July 23Dream 90–79Phoenix
August 1TBDAtlanta

Win Probability: Mercury 58.7%, Dream 41.3

Key Stat: Dream outscored Mercury 42–24 in the paint last meeting

Key Storylines

Griner’s Homecoming: Brittney Griner faces her former team again after 11 seasons in Phoenix. She was dominant in the first meeting and could be a matchup nightmare for Mercury’s undersized frontcourt.

Thomas’ Triple-Threat Impact: Alyssa Thomas is averaging 26.3 points over her last 3 games and remains the Mercury’s engine on both ends.

Dream’s Depth Without Howard: Despite Rhyne Howard’s absence, Atlanta has surged thanks to Gray’s scoring and Hillmon’s bench production.

Rebounding Battle: Atlanta leads the league in defensive rebounding, which could neutralize Phoenix’s second-chance scoring.

GAME ODDS

Phoenix Mercury             – 2.5

Atlanta Dream                  163.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, July 31, 2025

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WNBA Editor
Profile: A dedicated WNBA analyst with a deep understanding of the league’s tactical evolution, player‑development pathways, and expanding cultural impact. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage that blends advanced metrics, film study, and league‑wide context to highlight the storylines shaping modern professional women’s basketball. Background: With extensive experience covering the WNBA and women’s basketball at multiple levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms, offering perspective on coaching trends, roster construction, and organizational strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking team progression throughout the season. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and free‑agency movement Team‑building strategy, salary‑cap dynamics, and front‑office trends Historical context, league milestones, and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time WNBA fans and new followers of the league. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the WNBA’s growth, competitiveness, and influence on the broader basketball landscape.