WNBA Game Preview: Phoenix Mercury (12-5) vs. Dallas Wings (5-13)

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Game Details

MatchupPhoenix Mercury (12–5) vs. Dallas Wings (5–13)
DateWednesday, July 3, 2025
Time8:00 PM ET
VenueCollege Park Center, Arlington, TX
BroadcastBally Sports Southwest Extra, WNBA League Pass

Recent Form & Storylines

Phoenix Mercury

Record: 12–5 (2nd in Western Conference)

Last 5 Games: L–W–W–W–W

Road Record: 5–2

Key Trend: Averaging 86.3 PPG over last 10 games with a +4.2 scoring margin

The Mercury are one of the hottest teams in the WNBA, winning 7 of their last 10. Despite a recent loss to Las Vegas, they’ve been dominant on the road and are led by the dynamic duo of Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas, who continue to stuff the stat sheet on both ends.

Dallas Wings

Record: 5–13 (5th in Western Conference)

Last 5 Games: W–L–W–L–W

Home Record: 3–6

Key Trend: Allowing 82.0 PPG while scoring just 79.5 over last 10 games

The Wings have been inconsistent but are coming off a win and will look to build momentum at home. Paige Bueckers has been a bright spot, averaging 15.1 PPG over her last 10 games, while Arike Ogunbowale continues to lead the team in scoring.

Key Matchups to Watch

1. Satou Sabally vs. Natasha Howard

Sabally: 19.1 PPG, 8.0 RPG – Versatile forward with elite rebounding and scoring touch

Howard: 14.2 PPG, 7.1 RPG – Veteran presence who must contain Sabally’s perimeter game

2. Alyssa Thomas vs. Teaira McCowan

Thomas: 14.8 PPG, 9.3 APG – Leads the league in assists and is a triple-double threat

McCowan: 9.7 PPG, 8.4 RPG – Key interior defender who must protect the paint

3. Backcourt Battle: Bueckers & Ogunbowale vs. Whitcomb & Copper

Dallas needs Bueckers and Ogunbowale to shoot efficiently to keep pace with Phoenix’s perimeter firepower

Team Stats Comparison

CategoryMercuryWings
PPG86.381.5
FG%44.1%40.9%
3PT Made/Game10.46.8
Rebounds34.136.8
Assists20.819.3
Turnovers12.714.5
Opponent PPG82.182.0

GAME ODDS

Phoenix Mercury             – 7.5

Dallas Wings                      168.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 2, 2025

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WNBA Editor
Profile: A dedicated WNBA analyst with a deep understanding of the league’s tactical evolution, player‑development pathways, and expanding cultural impact. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage that blends advanced metrics, film study, and league‑wide context to highlight the storylines shaping modern professional women’s basketball. Background: With extensive experience covering the WNBA and women’s basketball at multiple levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms, offering perspective on coaching trends, roster construction, and organizational strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking team progression throughout the season. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and free‑agency movement Team‑building strategy, salary‑cap dynamics, and front‑office trends Historical context, league milestones, and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time WNBA fans and new followers of the league. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the WNBA’s growth, competitiveness, and influence on the broader basketball landscape.