Tip‑off: 7:00 PM PT / 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada Capacity: 12,000
Broadcast: ESPN2
Venue & Environment
Michelob ULTRA Arena remains one of the league’s strongest home‑court environments. Las Vegas is 11–3 at home this season, with elite offensive efficiency in their building. New York is 7–7 on the road, solid but inconsistent.
Current Rosters & Expected Lineups
(Based on most recent game sheets and injury reports)
Las Vegas Aces (19–8)
Expected Starters
G Chelsea Gray — veteran playmaker, 14.1 PPG, 6.2 APG
G Jackie Young — 18.4 PPG, 41% 3PT
G Kelsey Plum — 20.7 PPG, 3.5 3PM
F A’ja Wilson — 24.9 PPG, 11.2 RPG, MVP frontrunner
C Megan Gustafson — rotational big, screens, rebounding
Key Bench: Kierstan Bell, Sydney Colson, Alysha Clark (if active)
New York Liberty (16–12)
Expected Starters
G Sabrina Ionescu — 17.8 PPG, 6.9 APG, 38% 3PT
G Courtney Vandersloot — 8.9 PPG, 7.1 APG
F Betnijah Laney‑Hamilton — 14.3 PPG, elite two‑way wing
F Breanna Stewart — 21.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG
C Jonquel Jones — 16.2 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 1.7 BPG
Key Bench: Kayla Thornton, Leonie Fiebich, Ivana Dojkic
Injury Report
Las Vegas Aces
Alysha Clark — Questionable (ankle)
Candace Parker — Out (season, foot)
New York Liberty
None major listed New York enters healthier than Las Vegas, with full access to their core five.
Recent Team Form
Las Vegas Aces
Last 10 games: 7–3
Offense: 92.8 PPG
Defense: 86.1 PPG allowed
Trend: A’ja Wilson averaging 28.1 PPG over last 7; Plum shooting 44% from three in July.
New York Liberty
Last 10 games: 5–5
Offense: 88.3 PPG
Defense: 84.7 PPG allowed
Trend: Stewart has three straight 25+ point games; Jones averaging 12.4 rebounds over last 5.
New York is playing better than their record suggests, but their defensive lapses in transition have cost them games.
Series History
2026 Season: Aces lead 1–0
June 18, 2026: Aces 94, Liberty 88 (Las Vegas)
2025 Season: Liberty won the season series 2–1
2023 WNBA Finals: Aces defeated Liberty 3–1
Las Vegas has historically handled New York well at home, winning 7 of the last 9 in Nevada.
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
A’ja Wilson vs. Breanna Stewart
The league’s two best forwards.
Wilson: unmatched rim pressure, elite shot‑blocking, 30% usage rate
Stewart: versatile scorer, elite help defender, 27% usage
Edge: Wilson — current form and home‑court efficiency tilt the matchup.
Kelsey Plum vs. Sabrina Ionescu
Both are high‑volume shooters who stretch defenses.
Plum: 20.7 PPG, 3.5 threes per game
Ionescu: 17.8 PPG, 38% from three, elite pick‑and‑roll passer
Edge: Even — Plum is the better scorer, Ionescu the better creator.
Jackie Young vs. Betnijah Laney‑Hamilton
Young’s efficiency vs Laney’s physical defense.
Young: 18.4 PPG, 41% 3PT
Laney: 14.3 PPG, elite on‑ball defense
Edge: Young — her shooting forces New York into uncomfortable rotations.
Jonquel Jones vs. Megan Gustafson
Jones is a top‑tier center; Gustafson is a role player. Edge: Liberty — Jones should dominate the glass.
Statistical Comparison
Offense
Aces: 92.8 PPG (2nd in WNBA)
Liberty: 88.3 PPG (5th)
Defense
Aces: 86.1 PPG allowed
Liberty: 84.7 PPG allowed
Efficiency
Aces FG%: 46.9%
Liberty FG%: 45.1%
Aces 3PT%: 38.2%
Liberty 3PT%: 36.4%
Rebounding
Liberty: 36.7 RPG
Aces: 34.1 RPG
Liberty have the rebounding edge; Aces have the shooting edge.
Betting Trends
Aces are 11–3 at home
Liberty are 7–7 on the road
Aces have covered 6 of their last 8 spreads
Liberty overs have hit in 7 of their last 10
Aces overs have hit in 8 of their last 10
Final Outlook
This is a marquee matchup with playoff implications. New York brings size, rebounding, and star power, but Las Vegas’ shot creation, spacing, and home‑court dominance give them the edge. Expect a fast‑paced, high‑scoring game with both teams pushing 90+ points.
GAME ODDS
New York Liberty 181
Las Vegas Aces – 4.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 29, 2026
