Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena — Uncasville, Connecticut
Tip‑off: 7:00 p.m. ET
Season Context: Early‑season matchup; Connecticut seeks its first win, while Las Vegas looks to avoid an uneven start after splitting its opening two games.
Venue & Setting
Mohegan Sun Arena remains one of the WNBA’s toughest buildings for visiting teams. The Sun have posted a combined 27–9 home record over the past two seasons, and despite an 0–2 start, the fan base is energized for their home opener.
Las Vegas enters with championship expectations but has shown early inconsistency on both ends. Connecticut, meanwhile, is desperate to avoid a rare 0–3 start and will lean heavily on its defensive identity.
Injury Report
Las Vegas Aces
- A’ja Wilson — Probable (ankle soreness) Played through it in Game 2; expected to be full-go.
- Chelsea Gray — Questionable (foot) Missed the first two games; her return would dramatically shift the Aces’ offensive structure.
- Kierstan Bell — Out (knee) Depth wing remains sidelined.
Connecticut Sun
- Alyssa Thomas — Probable (shoulder) Took a hard fall in Game 2 but returned; expected to play heavy minutes.
- Brionna Jones — Probable (conditioning) Still ramping up after offseason recovery; minutes may be monitored.
- DiJonai Carrington — Probable (hamstring tightness) Expected to play.
Team Records & Recent Form
Las Vegas Aces
- Record: 1–1
- Last Game: Loss vs. New York (88–82)
- Trend: The Aces’ offense has been inconsistent without Chelsea Gray. Wilson has been dominant, but perimeter shooting has been streaky. Defensive rotations have also been slower than usual.
Connecticut Sun
- Record: 0–2
- Last Game: Loss at Seattle (89–82)
- Trend: The Sun have struggled to close games, allowing late scoring runs in both losses. Their defense remains physical, but offensive efficiency has dipped, especially in halfcourt sets.
Key Player Matchups
1. A’ja Wilson vs. Alyssa Thomas
- Wilson is averaging 26+ PPG through two games and remains the most dominant two-way force in the league.
- Thomas is Connecticut’s engine — rebounding, facilitating, defending — but she has struggled with turnovers early. Edge: Wilson, unless Thomas controls pace and forces a grind-it-out game.
2. Jackie Young vs. DiJonai Carrington
- Young’s shot creation is critical with Gray out.
- Carrington’s athleticism and defensive pressure could disrupt Young’s rhythm. Edge: Young, but Carrington can swing possessions defensively.
3. Kelsey Plum vs. Tyasha Harris
- Plum’s scoring has been volatile early; she’s due for a breakout.
- Harris is steady but must limit Plum’s transition opportunities. Edge: Plum.
4. Frontcourt Depth: Brionna Jones vs. Kiah Stokes
- Jones’ interior scoring is vital for Connecticut.
- Stokes provides elite rim protection but limited offense. Edge: Jones if her conditioning allows 25+ minutes.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Las Vegas won 2–1
- Last 10 Meetings: Aces lead 7–3
- At Mohegan Sun Arena: Teams have split the last four matchups The Sun have historically matched up well physically, but Las Vegas’ star power has carried them in late-game situations.
Betting Trends
Las Vegas Aces
- 6–2 ATS in their last 8 road games
- Over has hit in 5 of their last 7
- 8–1 straight-up vs. Eastern Conference teams since 2025
Connecticut Sun
- 1–5 ATS in their last 6 overall
- Under has hit in 4 of their last 6 home games
- 0–2 ATS this season
League‑Wide Early‑Season Trends
- Unders hit at a higher rate in the first two weeks due to conditioning and chemistry
- Road favorites of 4+ points are 9–3 SU in May games since 2024
GAME ODDS
Las Vegas Aces – 14.5
Connecticut Sun 172
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
