Game Overview
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 2, 2025 – Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET / 7:00 p.m. PT
- Venue: PHX Arena (formerly Footprint Center), 201 E. Jefferson Street, Phoenix, AZ 85004
- Broadcast: NBA TV (national), WTHR‑13 (Indianapolis), AZFamily & Merc+ (Phoenix), WNBA League Pass
Weather Report (Phoenix, AZ – Game Time)
- Conditions: Hot, dry desert evening
- Temperature: ~98°F (37°C) outside at tip-off
- Wind: Calm
- Impact: Indoor, climate‑controlled arena — no effect on play, but fans should hydrate if attending pre‑game events outdoors
Injury Report
Indiana Fever
- Caitlin Clark (G) – Out (groin)
- Sophie Cunningham (F) – Out for season (knee)
- Aari McDonald (G) – Out for season (foot)
- Sydney Colson (G) – Out for season (knee)
- Chloe Bibby (F) – Out (undisclosed)
Phoenix Mercury
- Kalani Brown (C) – Out (undisclosed)
- Otherwise healthy rotation
Recent Form
Phoenix Mercury
- Aug 30: W 80–63 vs New York
- Aug 27: W 82–70 @ Las Vegas
- Aug 24: L 76–85 @ Dallas
- Aug 22: W 87–79 vs Connecticut
- Aug 20: W 95–60 vs Indiana
Indiana Fever
- Aug 31: L 63–75 @ Golden State
- Aug 28: W 89–63 vs Washington
- Aug 25: W 81–79 vs Connecticut
- Aug 23: L 62–78 @ Atlanta
- Aug 20: L 85–91 vs Chicago
Key Player Matchups
Kelsey Mitchell (IND) vs. Kahleah Copper (PHX)
- Mitchell: 20.3 PPG, 45.3% FG, 2.5 3PM/game — primary scorer with Clark out.
- Copper: 16.3 PPG, 2.1 3PM/game — 5 of last 7 games over 15.5 points; 22 points in last meeting vs. IND.
Aliyah Boston (IND) vs. Satou Sabally (PHX)
- Boston: 15.4 PPG, 8.3 RPG — double‑double threat, needs to dominate glass for Fever to compete.
- Sabally: 16.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG — versatile forward, also a defensive disruptor (1.3 SPG).
Alyssa Thomas (PHX) vs. Fever Frontcourt
- Thomas: 15.8 PPG, 9.2 APG, 8.9 RPG — triple‑double threat, initiates much of PHX offense.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Tied 1–1 — Fever won at home; Mercury won 95–60 in Phoenix.
- Last 10 Meetings: Mercury lead 6–4.
- Venue Note: Phoenix 14–6 at home this season; Indiana 10–10 on road.
Betting Trends
Indiana Fever
- 3–7 ATS last 10 games
- 1–5 ATS last 6 road games
- Over is 5–2 in last 7 games
- 5–1 ATS in last 6 vs. Phoenix
Phoenix Mercury
- 5–2 ATS last 7 games
- 6–1 SU last 7 games
- Under in 5 straight games
- 15–8 ATS in last 23 vs. Indiana
Suggested Wagering Model
Model Inputs:
- Phoenix’s top‑5 defense (79.6 PPG allowed) vs. Indiana’s shorthanded offense without Clark
- Mercury’s home dominance (14–6) and current 4‑game win streak
- Fever’s road ATS struggles and recent scoring dip (≤85 points in 3 of last 4)
- Phoenix’s recent Under trend (5 straight) vs. market total of 165.5
GAME ODDS
Indiana Fever 165.5
Phoenix Mercury – 6.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, September 1, 2025
