Tip‑Off: 7:00 p.m. ET / 4:00 p.m. PT
Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena — Uncasville, Connecticut
Venue & Environment
Mohegan Sun Arena remains one of the league’s most intimate but loud venues. Connecticut’s home crowd often boosts defensive intensity, especially early in games.
Team Records & Recent Form
Dallas Wings (11–8)
Road Record: 5–4
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Trend:
Offense averaging 84.7 PPG over last 10
Defense allowing 79.9 PPG
Elite rebounding; strong transition scoring
Top‑3 in offensive efficiency during last two weeks
Connecticut Sun (4–15)
Home Record: 2–7
Last 10 Games: 2–8
Trend:
Offense averaging 76.1 PPG over last 10
Defense allowing 83.4 PPG
Struggling with turnovers and late‑game execution
Shooting efficiency has dipped significantly since mid‑June
Injury Report
Dallas Wings
Arike Ogunbowale — DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)
Natasha Howard — OUT (wrist)
Maddy Siegrist — DAY‑TO‑DAY (shoulder)
Impact: Ogunbowale’s availability is massive — she’s Dallas’ top scorer and late‑game closer. Howard’s absence weakens interior defense and rebounding.
Connecticut Sun
Alyssa Thomas — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back)
DeWanna Bonner — OUT (knee)
Brionna Jones — OUT (Achilles)
Impact: Thomas’ status determines Connecticut’s offensive identity. Bonner and Jones being out severely limit scoring depth and interior presence.
Key Player Matchups
Arike Ogunbowale (DAL) vs. Alyssa Thomas (CON)
If both play, this is the marquee matchup. Ogunbowale’s shot creation vs. Thomas’ physical defense will dictate pace and half‑court efficiency.
Satou Sabally (DAL) vs. DeWanna Bonner’s Replacement
Sabally’s versatility creates mismatches. With Bonner out, Connecticut must rely on less experienced wings to contain her.
Ty Harris (CON) vs. Wings Backcourt
Harris’ ability to control tempo is crucial. Dallas thrives in transition; Harris must slow the game down to keep Connecticut competitive.
Series History
2025 Season Series: Wings won 2–1
Last 10 Meetings: Wings lead 6–4
At Mohegan Sun Arena: Sun have won 5 of last 8
Trend:
Dallas has improved significantly in recent seasons
Connecticut’s home court remains tough, but injuries have shifted the balance
Betting Trends
Dallas Wings
6–4 ATS in last 10
Overs hit in 7 of last 10
4–1 ATS in last five road games
Dallas is 8–3 when scoring 80+ points
Connecticut Sun
3–7 ATS in last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 10
Sun are 1–6 ATS in last seven home games
Connecticut is 2–10 when allowing 80+ points
GAME ODDS
Dallas Wings – 8
Connecticut Sun 171.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 1, 2026
