WNBA Finals Game 4 Preview: Las Vegas Aces (3-0) vs. Phoenix Mercury (0-3)

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Phoenix Mercury logo

Venue & Game Details

  • Location: Mortgage Matchup Center, 201 E. Jefferson St., Phoenix, AZ
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT
  • Event: 2025 WNBA Finals, Game 4 (best-of-seven)
  • Broadcast: ESPN / ESPN App

Injury Report

  • Las Vegas Aces: No key injuries reported.
  • Phoenix Mercury: Satou Sabally (head injury in Game 3) listed questionable; her availability is pivotal.

Player Matchups

Las Vegas Aces

  • A’ja Wilson: Averaging 32 PPG, 13 RPG in Finals; hit Game 3 winner.
  • Jackie Young: 21 points, 9 assists in Game 3; Finals-record 21 points in a single quarter in Game 2.
  • Chelsea Gray: Floor general, 10 assists in Game 2, clutch late-game scoring.
  • Jewell Loyd: Instant offense off the bench (12 points in 1st quarter of Game 3).

Phoenix Mercury

  • Alyssa Thomas: Nearly triple-double in Game 3 (12 pts, 14 reb, 9 ast).
  • Kahleah Copper: 23 points in Game 2, but struggled in Game 3 (3-10 FG).
  • DeWanna Bonner: 25 points, 10 rebounds off the bench in Game 3.
  • Satou Sabally: 24 points before injury in Game 3; her status is critical.

Key Battle: Wilson vs. Thomas/Sabally in the paint – MVP vs. All-Defensive anchor.

Team Records & Recent Form

  • Aces (30-14, 2nd seed): Won 17 of last 18 overall; 6-1 in playoffs.
  • Mercury (27-17, 4th seed): Upset Liberty & Lynx to reach Finals; 5-4 in playoffs.
  • Recent Games:
  • Game 1: Aces 89, Mercury 86
  • Game 2: Aces 91, Mercury 78
  • Game 3: Aces 90, Mercury 88

Series History

  • 2025 Regular Season: Aces won 3-1 (three games decided by ≤6 points).
  • Playoffs: Aces lead Finals 3-0; seeking sweep.
  • All-time playoff meetings: Aces 2 series wins, Mercury 1 (2021).

Betting Trends

  • Aces have won 5 straight in Phoenix, covering 4 of them.
  • Aces are 5-2 ATS in last 7 overall.
  • Mercury are 4-2 ATS in last 6, but 0-5 SU in last 5 vs Aces.
  • Over has hit in 4 of last 5 Aces–Mercury matchups.

Bottom Line: The Aces are poised to close out the Finals behind A’ja Wilson’s MVP-level play and Jackie Young’s scoring surge. Phoenix needs a heroic effort from Alyssa Thomas and a healthy Sabally to extend the series, but Las Vegas’ balance and championship pedigree make them the strong play to cover and clinch.

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WNBA Editor
Profile: A dedicated WNBA analyst with a deep understanding of the league’s tactical evolution, player‑development pathways, and expanding cultural impact. This columnist provides comprehensive coverage that blends advanced metrics, film study, and league‑wide context to highlight the storylines shaping modern professional women’s basketball. Background: With extensive experience covering the WNBA and women’s basketball at multiple levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms, offering perspective on coaching trends, roster construction, and organizational strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking team progression throughout the season. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive and defensive systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and free‑agency movement Team‑building strategy, salary‑cap dynamics, and front‑office trends Historical context, league milestones, and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex schemes and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time WNBA fans and new followers of the league. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the WNBA’s growth, competitiveness, and influence on the broader basketball landscape.