WNBA Finals Game 4 Preview: Las Vegas Aces (3-0) vs. Phoenix Mercury (0-3)

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Phoenix Mercury logo

Venue & Game Details

  • Location: Mortgage Matchup Center, 201 E. Jefferson St., Phoenix, AZ
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT
  • Event: 2025 WNBA Finals, Game 4 (best-of-seven)
  • Broadcast: ESPN / ESPN App

Injury Report

  • Las Vegas Aces: No key injuries reported.
  • Phoenix Mercury: Satou Sabally (head injury in Game 3) listed questionable; her availability is pivotal.

Player Matchups

Las Vegas Aces

  • A’ja Wilson: Averaging 32 PPG, 13 RPG in Finals; hit Game 3 winner.
  • Jackie Young: 21 points, 9 assists in Game 3; Finals-record 21 points in a single quarter in Game 2.
  • Chelsea Gray: Floor general, 10 assists in Game 2, clutch late-game scoring.
  • Jewell Loyd: Instant offense off the bench (12 points in 1st quarter of Game 3).

Phoenix Mercury

  • Alyssa Thomas: Nearly triple-double in Game 3 (12 pts, 14 reb, 9 ast).
  • Kahleah Copper: 23 points in Game 2, but struggled in Game 3 (3-10 FG).
  • DeWanna Bonner: 25 points, 10 rebounds off the bench in Game 3.
  • Satou Sabally: 24 points before injury in Game 3; her status is critical.

Key Battle: Wilson vs. Thomas/Sabally in the paint – MVP vs. All-Defensive anchor.

Team Records & Recent Form

  • Aces (30-14, 2nd seed): Won 17 of last 18 overall; 6-1 in playoffs.
  • Mercury (27-17, 4th seed): Upset Liberty & Lynx to reach Finals; 5-4 in playoffs.
  • Recent Games:
  • Game 1: Aces 89, Mercury 86
  • Game 2: Aces 91, Mercury 78
  • Game 3: Aces 90, Mercury 88

Series History

  • 2025 Regular Season: Aces won 3-1 (three games decided by ≤6 points).
  • Playoffs: Aces lead Finals 3-0; seeking sweep.
  • All-time playoff meetings: Aces 2 series wins, Mercury 1 (2021).

Betting Trends

  • Aces have won 5 straight in Phoenix, covering 4 of them.
  • Aces are 5-2 ATS in last 7 overall.
  • Mercury are 4-2 ATS in last 6, but 0-5 SU in last 5 vs Aces.
  • Over has hit in 4 of last 5 Aces–Mercury matchups.

Bottom Line: The Aces are poised to close out the Finals behind A’ja Wilson’s MVP-level play and Jackie Young’s scoring surge. Phoenix needs a heroic effort from Alyssa Thomas and a healthy Sabally to extend the series, but Las Vegas’ balance and championship pedigree make them the strong play to cover and clinch.