US Open Cup Match Preview: Minnesota United FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes

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Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. PT / 9:00 p.m. CT

Venue: PayPal Park — San Jose, California

Broadcast: Paramount+ / CBS Sports Golazo Network

Weather Outlook — San Jose, CA (Inferred Seasonal Conditions)

No direct weather data was returned in search results; based on late‑April San Jose climate:

Temperature: Low‑60s at kickoff

Conditions: Clear, dry, light coastal breeze

Impact: Ideal for high‑tempo play; minimal weather disruption

Injury Report

Minnesota United FC

Peter Stroud — Quadriceps: Back in training; could return soon.

James Rodríguez — Illness: Played 66 minutes in previous Cup match; recovering well.

San Jose Earthquakes

Timo Werner — Lower body: Played one half and recorded an assist in last Cup match; confirmed fit.

Team Records & Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Recent Results:

2–0 win vs. Phoenix Rising (U.S. Open Cup)

MLS form entering the match: W3–1, W3–0, W1–0, L1–0

Win Probability: 43.9% (home favorite)

Minnesota United FC

Recent Results:

Advanced after a 12‑round penalty shootout vs. Sacramento Republic following a 0–0 draw over 120 minutes.

MLS form entering the match: W2–1, W2–1, D0–0, L6–0

Win Probability: 28.6% (away underdog)

Series History (MLS Head‑to‑Head)

Minnesota has dominated the recent rivalry:

Jul 12, 2025: MIN 4–1 SJ

Mar 8, 2025: SJ 0–1 MIN

Aug 31, 2024: SJ 1–2 MIN

Jul 20, 2024: MIN 2–0 SJ

Sep 30, 2023: MIN 1–1 SJ

Trend: Minnesota unbeaten in last five vs. San Jose (4 wins, 1 draw).

Key Player Matchups

Timo Werner (SJ) vs. Minnesota’s Back Line

Returned from injury with an assist in the last Cup match.

His pace and directness will test Minnesota’s defensive shape.

Minnesota’s Midfield (Rodríguez, Stroud) vs. San Jose’s Press

Rodríguez’s return to fitness is crucial for ball progression.

Stroud’s potential availability adds stability.

Goalkeeper Duel: Alec Smir (MIN) vs. San Jose Attack

Smir was heroic in the 12‑round shootout vs. Sacramento.

San Jose enters with strong attacking form and multiple recent multi‑goal wins.

Venue Impact — PayPal Park

San Jose holds hosting priority and earned home field by winning their Round of 32 match.

Minnesota travels west after a grueling 120‑minute match + shootout.

Betting Trends

San Jose

4 wins in last 5 across all competitions.

Multiple clean sheets recently (2–0, 3–0, 1–0).

Minnesota

Riding emotional momentum after dramatic shootout win.

Historically strong vs. San Jose (4 wins in last 5).

MATCH ODDS

Minnesota United FC     + 310

San Jose Earthquakes    – 145

Draw                                     + 310

Over 3.5 + 110                  Under 3.5 – 165

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, April 27, 2026