Kickoff: 3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT
Venue: Choctaw Stadium — Arlington, Texas
Broadcast: ESPN / ESPN+ / UFL+
Venue Profile — Choctaw Stadium
- Location: Arlington, Texas
- Capacity: ~25,000
- Surface: Turf
- Home‑Field Advantage: Strong — Dallas crowds are loud and engaged
- Team Fit: Renegades play faster and more aggressively at home
Choctaw Stadium is known for high‑energy crowds, fast turf, and favorable conditions for passing offenses.
Weather Forecast (Arlington, TX)
Kickoff Weather Rating: 9/10 — Ideal football weather
- Temperature: 79–82°F
- Sky: Mostly sunny
- Wind: 6–10 mph from the south
- Rain Chance: <10%
- Humidity: 45–50%
- Impact:
- Excellent passing conditions
- Minimal wind impact on kicking
- Slight stamina drain in second half due to warmth
Injury Report
Dallas Renegades
- QB Luis Perez — Probable (shoulder)
- RB De’Veon Smith — Questionable (ankle)
- WR Tyler Vaughns — Probable (hamstring)
- WR Jordan Smallwood — Out (knee)
- LB Donald Payne — Probable (groin)
Louisville Kings
- QB J’Mar Smith — Probable (rib)
- RB T.J. Logan — Out (foot)
- WR Siaosi Mariner — Probable (ankle)
- TE Cheyenne O’Grady — Out (shoulder)
- CB Delrick Abrams — Questionable (illness)
Impact Summary:
- Dallas’ offense is intact, but losing Smallwood hurts red‑zone size.
- Louisville missing Logan and O’Grady weakens their run game and short‑yardage passing.
- Both starting QBs are expected to play, keeping both offenses fully functional.
Team Records & Recent Form
Dallas Renegades (3–5)
Last 5: 2–3 Home Record: 2–2 Points For: 161 Points Against: 178
Form Notes:
- Offense improving with Perez healthier
- Defense inconsistent, especially vs. the run
- Dallas has lost two straight close games
Louisville Kings (4–4)
Last 5: 3–2 Road Record: 1–3 Points For: 172 Points Against: 169
Form Notes:
- Louisville trending upward after a slow start
- Defense improving, especially on third down
- Kings have won two straight
Key Player Matchups
1. Luis Perez (DAL) vs. Louisville Secondary
- Perez is one of the league’s most accurate passers
- Louisville ranks top‑4 in pass defense
- Dallas needs Perez to push the ball downfield
Edge: Even, slight lean to Louisville if Abrams plays.
2. J’Mar Smith (LOU) vs. Dallas Pass Rush
- Smith excels on timing routes and RPOs
- Dallas’ pass rush is inconsistent but explosive when Payne is active
- Smith must avoid sacks — his biggest issue this season
Edge: Smith, if protected.
3. De’Veon Smith (DAL) vs. Louisville Front Seven
- Smith’s availability is crucial
- Louisville allows just 3.9 yards per carry
- If Smith is limited, Dallas becomes one‑dimensional
Edge: Louisville, unless Smith is fully healthy.
4. Siaosi Mariner (LOU) vs. Dallas Cornerbacks
- Mariner is Louisville’s most reliable chain‑mover
- Dallas struggles vs. physical receivers
- Expect Louisville to target him on third downs
Edge: Mariner
Series History
- All‑time: Dallas leads 2–1
- Last meeting (2025): Dallas won 23–20
- At Choctaw Stadium: Dallas is 2–0 vs. Louisville
Trend: Dallas has historically controlled this matchup at home, but Louisville enters as the hotter team.
Betting Trends
Dallas Renegades
- 3–5 ATS
- Overs hit in 4 of last 6
- 5–2 in last seven home games
Louisville Kings
- 4–4 ATS
- Unders hit in 3 of last 4
- 1–4 in last five road games
Head‑to‑Head
- Dallas has covered two straight
- Unders hit in 3 of last 4 meetings
GAME ODDS
Dallas Renegades 46.5
Louisville Kings – 1.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 23, 2026
