Venue: Meta APEX (UFC Apex), Las Vegas/Enterprise, Nevada, United States.
Main card starts approximately 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CST / 5:00 PM PT on Paramount+ (prelims ~5:00 PM ET). The main event is the headliner, expected in the final slot.
Injury Report: No reported injuries for either fighter as of early February 2026. Both have trained without setbacks noted. Oliveira has transitioned successfully post-early career issues; Bautista maintains consistent preparation.
Fighter Matchups and Styles:
Identical height (5’9″) bantamweight clash with slight reach edge to Oliveira (70-70.5″ vs. Bautista 69″). Both switch stance. Mario Bautista (MMA Lab product) is a high-volume grappler/wrestler with strong chaining takedowns, submissions (6 career), and pressure/clinch work; solid cardio and control in decisions (SLpM 5.58, Acc 48%, SApM 4.19, Def 55%; TD Avg 1.48/Acc 32%/Def 54%; Sub Avg 0.8). Vinicius Oliveira (“LokDog”) is an explosive power striker with elite KO power (16 career KO/TKO, many early), speed, kicks, and scrambling; improving grappling (TD Avg 1.67/Acc 50%/Def 80%) but lower volume/accuracy striking (SLpM 5.28, Acc 43%, SApM 2.89, Def 57%; Sub Avg 0.2). Expect Bautista to press forward for wrestling/control vs. Oliveira’s counters, power shots, and explosive entries—potential for stand-up wars or ground scrambles.
Recent Form:
Mario Bautista (last 3): Loss UD vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Oct 2025, UFC 321: competitive but outpointed), Win UD vs. Patchy Mix (Jun 2025, UFC 316: dominant output/control), Win SD vs. Jose Aldo (Oct 2024, UFC 307: resilient striking). 2-1 record; rebound potential after high-level loss.
Vinicius Oliveira (last 3): Win UD vs. Kyler Phillips (Jul 2025, UFC 318: strong striking/grappling), Win UD vs. Said Nurmagomedov (Feb 2025), Win UD vs. Ricky Simon (Jun 2024, UFC 303: control). Perfect 3-0 UFC streak with recent decisions showcasing durability.
Fight History (Key UFC/Pro Highlights):
Mario Bautista (overall 16-3-0, UFC ~10-3): 3 KO/TKO, 6 SUB, 7 DEC wins; losses via DEC/TKO/SUB. Consistent decisions lately; strong UFC run with volume and grappling (never finished in recent years). Avg fight time competitive in 3-rounders.
Vinicius Oliveira (overall 23-3-0, UFC 4-0): 16 KO/TKO (high early finish rate), 2 SUB, 5 DEC. All UFC wins by decision so far but pre-UFC power dominant; undefeated streak with improved defense. Avg fight time shorter in finishes.
FIGHT ODDS
Mario Bautista – 200
Vinicius Oliveira + 170
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, February 6, 2026
