Location: T‑Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, Nevada
Start Time: Early prelims 3:00 PM PT, main card 7:00 PM PT
Bout Placement: Expected mid‑prelim feature
INJURY REPORT & CAMP NOTES
Grant Dawson
No reported injuries entering fight week
Camp focus: defensive striking, chain wrestling, and back‑take sequences
Noted emphasis on improving round‑to‑round cardio pacing
Mateusz Rebecki
No injuries reported
Camp focus: pressure entries, body‑lock takedowns, and short‑range power
Added conditioning to maintain pace in extended grappling exchanges
FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN
Grant Dawson
Style: Control grappler, back‑take specialist, positional suffocation
Strengths:
Elite top control
Strong scrambles and transitions
Excellent submission setups from back mount
High fight IQ
Weaknesses:
Striking remains limited
Can be hittable early
Cardio fades in high‑pressure fights
Mateusz Rebecki
Style: Compact pressure fighter with explosive grappling
Strengths:
Powerful takedowns
Heavy ground‑and‑pound
Strong body‑lock control
Dangerous short‑range boxing
Weaknesses:
Can be reversed in scrambles
Susceptible to back‑takes
Sometimes overextends on entries
RECENT FORM
Grant Dawson — Last 5
3–1–1 in last five
Wins via grappling control and decisions
Loss came via early KO against a pressure striker
Trending: Strong when he dictates pace, vulnerable early
Mateusz Rebecki — Last 5
4–1 in last five
Wins via pressure, takedowns, and ground‑and‑pound
Only loss came via late submission after early dominance
Trending: High‑pressure, high‑impact, dangerous early
FIGHT HISTORY & CONTEXT
First meeting between the two
Dawson has faced higher‑ranked grapplers and submission specialists
Rebecki has faced more pressure wrestlers and brawlers
Stylistically, this is a grappler‑vs‑grappler matchup, but with very different approaches:
Dawson = control, back‑takes, positional dominance
Rebecki = pressure, power, damage‑first grappling
This fight likely comes down to who wins the first scramble.
BETTING TRENDS
Grant Dawson
6 of last 8 fights have gone to decision
Wins when he gets early takedowns
Struggles when forced to strike for long stretches
Mateusz Rebecki
7 of last 9 wins have come inside the distance
Strong early starter
Fades slightly in rounds 3 and beyond
Matchup Trend
Fighters who can take Dawson’s back or reverse him tend to win
Fighters who let Dawson settle into top control tend to lose
FIGHT ODDS
Grant Dawson – 170
Mateusz Rebecki + 145
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 8, 2026
