PGA Golf Preview: 3M Open

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Venue: TPC Twin Cities — Blaine, Minnesota

Par: 71

Yardage: 7,431 yards

Purse: $8.8 million (Winner: $1.584 million)

Defending Champion: Kurt Kitayama (2025) Field Size: 144 players; Cut: Top 65 & ties

First Tee Time: Thursday, July 23, 2026

Venue Profile — TPC Twin Cities

TPC Twin Cities is a long, water‑laden, scoring‑friendly course designed by Arnold Palmer. It features:

15 holes with water in play

Bentgrass greens averaging 6,500 sq. ft.

72 bunkers

Wide fairways encouraging aggressive driving

The course rewards distance + accuracy, strong approach play, and players who generate eagles on reachable par‑5s.

Weather & Course Conditions (July 23–26, 2026)

(Based on typical Blaine, MN late‑July patterns; no specific forecast provided in sources)

Temperature: 82–88°F

Humidity: Moderate (50–65%)

Wind: Light to moderate (6–12 mph)

Conditions: Warm, soft morning greens, firmer afternoon surfaces

Impact:

Low wind → birdie‑friendly scoring

Soft greens → advantage to elite ball‑strikers

Heat → ball travels farther, boosting long hitters

(Weather inference based on historical norms; no direct weather data in sources.)

Field Strength & Key Players

Scottie Scheffler — World No. 1

Making his tournament debut

Heavy betting favorite (+260 to +265)

Leads PGA TOUR in Strokes Gained: Total, Tee‑to‑Green, GIR, scoring average

Coming off a T4 at The Open Championship

Scheffler’s ball‑striking dominance makes him the clear storyline.

Kurt Kitayama — Defending Champion

Won in 2025 with a 60–65 weekend

Seeking to become the first repeat winner in event history

Other Notable Contenders

Tom Kim — recent Scottish Open winner, two prior top‑30 finishes at TPC Twin Cities

Hideki Matsuyama — long‑shot value pick (+2800) with elite approach play

Maverick McNealy, Keith Mitchell, Jake Knapp, Pierceson Coody, Gary Woodland — mid‑tier threats with strong ball‑striking profiles

Tournament Context & Stakes

Only three events remain before the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

Players ranked 50–80 (Jason Day, Brian Harman, Brandt Snedeker, Tony Finau) are fighting for top‑70 qualification.

This creates a high‑pressure environment for bubble players.

Tournament History

Recent champions:

2025: Kurt Kitayama

2024: Jhonattan Vegas

2023: Lee Hodges

2022: Tony Finau

2021: Cameron Champ

TPC Twin Cities typically produces low winning scores (−17 to −21).

Recent Player Form

Scottie Scheffler

10 top‑5 finishes in 16 starts in 2026

Best player in majors relative to par

Putting inconsistencies remain the only weakness

Tom Kim

Recent winner at the Genesis Scottish Open

Missed cut at The Open but strong course fit

Kurt Kitayama

T2 at Genesis Invitational

T10 at PGA Championship

Hideki Matsuyama

Elite long‑iron player

Strong long‑shot profile

Key Player Matchups

Scheffler vs. Kitayama

Scheffler: superior tee‑to‑green metrics

Kitayama: proven course history Edge: Scheffler

Tom Kim vs. Matsuyama

Kim: better recent form

Matsuyama: stronger long‑iron profile Edge: Even

McNealy vs. Mitchell

McNealy: better putting

Mitchell: stronger driving Edge: Course favors Mitchell

Betting Trends & Odds

Scottie Scheffler: +260 to +265 (overwhelming favorite)

Kurt Kitayama: +2200 to +2250

Maverick McNealy: +2350 to +2700

Hideki Matsuyama: +2800 to +3000

Tom Kim: +2900 to +3300