NWSL Match Preview: San Diego Wave (7-4-1) vs. Chicago Stars (3-8-0)

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Chicago Red Stars logo

SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, Illinois

Kickoff: 6:00 PM CT / 7:00 PM ET

San Diego enters as one of the league’s most consistent sides, sitting firmly in the playoff picture. Chicago, meanwhile, is fighting to stay afloat after a difficult start to the season. The Stars have struggled defensively and in midfield control, while the Wave continue to rely on their elite spine and disciplined structure.

This is a contrast of a top‑tier contender vs. a rebuilding side, but Chicago’s home environment and physicality can make this tricky.

WEATHER REPORT — BRIDGEVIEW, IL

  • Temperature: 71–74°F at kickoff
  • Humidity: 58–62%
  • Wind: 8–12 mph from the southwest
  • Chance of Rain: 10–15%
  • Pitch Impact: Mild wind may slightly favor long‑range shots; otherwise ideal conditions.

INJURY REPORT

San Diego Wave FC

  • Alex Morgan — Probable (rest/rotation) Expected to play; still a key focal point in attack.
  • Naomi Girma — Probable (ankle) Should start; essential to San Diego’s defensive structure.
  • Jaedyn Shaw — Questionable (hamstring) Game‑time decision; major swing factor in creativity.
  • Abby Dahlkemper — Out (back) Defensive depth impacted.

Chicago Stars

  • Mallory Swanson — Out (ACL recovery) Massive loss; Chicago lacks elite attacking threat.
  • Alyssa Naeher — Probable (shoulder) Expected to start; critical for Chicago’s defensive stability.
  • Casey Krueger — Questionable (knee) Game‑time decision; affects backline organization.
  • Jill Aguilera — Out (foot) Depth option unavailable.

TEAM RECORDS & CONTEXT

San Diego Wave FC

  • Record: 7‑4‑1 (22 pts)
  • Away Record: 3‑2‑1
  • Goals For: 18
  • Goals Against: 12
  • Trend: Strong defensive identity; efficient in transition.

Chicago Stars

  • Record: 3‑8‑0 (9 pts)
  • Home Record: 2‑4‑0
  • Goals For: 10
  • Goals Against: 21
  • Trend: Defensive struggles; attack lacking bite without Swanson.

RECENT TEAM FORM (LAST 5 MATCHES)

San Diego Wave FC

  • W 2–0 vs CHI
  • L 1–2 vs POR
  • W 3–1 vs LA
  • D 1–1 vs NC
  • W 2–1 vs ORL

Trend: Wave have taken 10 of last 15 points; defense allowing just 5 goals in last 5.

Chicago Stars

  • L 0–2 vs SD
  • L 1–3 vs WAS
  • W 2–1 vs BAY
  • L 0–2 vs UTA
  • L 1–4 vs POR

Trend: Chicago has conceded 12 goals in last 5 — worst defensive stretch of the season.

SERIES HISTORY

  • All‑time meetings: San Diego leads 5–1–1
  • At SeatGeek Stadium: San Diego leads 2–1
  • Last meeting (2026): San Diego 2–0 Chicago

San Diego’s physicality and defensive structure have consistently neutralized Chicago’s attack.

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

1. Alex Morgan vs Chicago Center‑Backs

  • Morgan’s movement remains elite
  • Chicago’s back line has struggled with tracking and spacing
  • Morgan is a major threat on crosses and cutbacks

Edge: San Diego

2. Jaedyn Shaw (if active) vs Chicago Midfield

  • Shaw’s creativity is unmatched
  • Chicago’s midfield lacks a true ball‑winner
  • If Shaw plays, San Diego controls tempo

Edge: San Diego

3. Chicago Wingers vs Naomi Girma

  • Girma is the league’s best defender
  • Chicago lacks a true 1v1 threat without Swanson
  • Girma can shut down entire channels

Edge: San Diego

4. Goalkeepers: Naeher vs Sheridan

  • Naeher: elite shot‑stopper, but faces heavy volume
  • Sheridan: consistent, strong in distribution

Edge: Even

BETTING TRENDS

San Diego Wave FC

  • 3–1–1 in last 5
  • Under is 3–2 in last 5
  • Scored 2+ goals in 3 of last 5

Chicago Stars

  • 1–4 in last 5
  • Over is 4–1 in last 5
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5

Head‑to‑Head

  • San Diego unbeaten in last 6 vs Chicago
  • Under is 4–2 in last 6 meetings

MATCH ODDS

San Diego Wave               – 260

Chicago Stars                     + 550

Draw                                     + 340

Over 2.5  -160                   Under 2.5 + 105

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 30, 2026