NHL Game Preview: Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-1) vs. Colorado Avalanche (3-1-0)

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Colorado Avalanche logo

Puck Drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
TV/Streaming: NHL Network (also Altitude, regional Sportsnet options)

The high-octane Colorado Avalanche host the Toronto Maple Leafs in a cross-conference matchup. Colorado is rolling with elite scoring (league-leading ~5.75 goals per game), while Toronto continues integrating a revamped roster on a Western road trip.

Current Projected Rosters / Line Combinations

Toronto Maple Leafs
Forwards
Kirill Marchenko – Auston Matthews – Jack Roslovic
Easton Cowan – Nick Paul – William Nylander
Gavin McKenna – Colton Sissons – Bo Groulx
Zack MacEwen / Miles Wood – Teddy Blueger – Brandon Duhaime Defense
Jake McCabe – Darren Raddysh
Morgan Rielly – Chris Tanev
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (DTD) – Troy Stecher Goaltenders
Projected: Anthony Stolarz (likely after Sergei Bobrovsky started the previous game).

Colorado Avalanche
Forwards
Artturi Lehkonen – Nathan MacKinnon – Martin Necas
Gabriel Landeskog – Brock Nelson – Nazem Kadri
Jaden Schwartz – Fyodor Svechkov – T.J. Hughes
Parker Kelly – Nicolas Roy – Zachary L’Heureux Defense
Devon Toews – Cale Makar
Brett Kulak – Noah Juulsen / Sam Malinski
Josh Manson – Brent Burns Goaltenders
Projected: Mackenzie Blackwood (or Scott Wedgewood).

Injury / Availability Reports

Maple Leafs

John Tavares (C, personal) — Out for this game (birth of son); expected back soon.

Max Domi (C, back) — LTIR; out indefinitely.

Dakota Joshua (C, abdomen) — LTIR; out until late October.

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D, undisclosed) — Day-to-day (left previous game).

Cade Webber (D, elbow), William Villeneuve (D, knee), Elvis Merzlikins (G, shoulder) — Out long-term.

Avalanche

Logan O’Connor (RW, lower body / personal leave after family loss) — Day-to-day / IR.

Georgii Merkulov (C, undisclosed) — IR.

Trent Miner (G, undisclosed) — IR non-roster.

Recent Team Forms

Maple Leafs (2-2-1): Competitive but inconsistent. Recent results include a shootout loss at Vegas (3-4 SO after leading 3-0), OT win vs. Nashville (5-4), loss vs. Ottawa (2-3), win vs. Islanders (2-1), and loss vs. Montreal (2-3). Even scoring differential; strong early PK. Road record 0-0-1. William Nylander and Auston Matthews leading the offense.

Avalanche (3-1-0): Explosive start. Wins vs. Los Angeles (8-4), vs. St. Louis (6-1), and at Calgary (7-3); only loss at Winnipeg (2-3). League-leading offense (~5.75 GF/G) with Nathan MacKinnon (hot pace), Cale Makar, and depth scoring. Elite early special teams (PP ~31%, perfect PK in sample). Home record 2-0-0.

Key Player vs. Player Matchups

Auston Matthews / William Nylander / Kirill Marchenko vs. Cale Makar / Devon Toews: Toronto’s top talent against Colorado’s elite defensive pair.

Nathan MacKinnon / Martin Necas / Artturi Lehkonen vs. Toronto’s top pairs (McCabe-Raddysh, Rielly-Tanev): Avalanche speed and skill testing Leafs’ blue line.

Special teams: Colorado’s potent power play vs. Toronto’s strong early penalty kill.

Rookie impact: 18-year-old No. 1 pick Gavin McKenna for Toronto facing a high-end Avalanche defense.

Goaltending: Stolarz vs. Blackwood/Wedgewood — Colorado holds the edge in team support.

Pace, transition, and possession should favor the Avalanche at home.

Series History

Colorado holds a slight all-time edge (approximately 25-19-2-2 in regular-season meetings). Recent series have been competitive and often high-scoring; the Avalanche have generally performed well at home. First meeting of 2026-27 (they meet again in Toronto in November).

Betting Trends

Colorado is a heavy home favorite due to superior form, offense, and home ice. Models generally give the Avalanche roughly 65-67% win probability.

Game Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs      6.5

Colorado Avalanche       – 205

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 9, 2026

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