NHL Game Preview: Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) vs. Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1)

0
5
Colorado Avalanche logo

Puck drop: 9:00 p.m. ET (7:00 p.m. MT)
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado

Game Overview

The Lightning continue a Western Conference road trip (coming off a strong 6-2 win at Vegas) and face a back-to-back situation, with a game at Utah the following night. The Avalanche return home after a recent skid. Broadcasts include The Spot, ALT (Altitude), SN360, and TVAS. This is the first of two regular-season meetings (rematch in Tampa on Feb. 13).

Projected Lineups

Tampa Bay Lightning

Forwards: Brandon Hagel – Anthony Cirelli – Nikita Kucherov
Gage Goncalves – Brayden Point – Jake Guentzel
Ilya Mikheyev – Zemgus Girgensons – Pontus Holmberg
Jeffrey Viel – Conor Geekie – Dominic James

Defense: J.J. Moser – John Carlson
Ryan McDonagh – Erik Cernak
Victor Hedman – Max Crozier

Goalies: Andrei Vasilevskiy (projected starter) / Dennis Hildeby

Notes: Cirelli is expected to play after leaving the Vegas game early with an undisclosed issue. Yanni Gourde remains out.

Colorado Avalanche

Forwards: Artturi Lehkonen – Nathan MacKinnon – Martin Necas
Gabriel Landeskog – Brock Nelson – Nazem Kadri
Jaden Schwartz – Fedor Svechkov – T.J. Hughes
Taylor Makar – Parker Kelly – Logan O’Connor

Defense: Devon Toews – Cale Makar
Brett Kulak – Sam Malinski
Josh Manson – Brent Burns

Goalies: Mackenzie Blackwood (projected starter) / Scott Wedgewood

Notes: Logan O’Connor is set to make his season debut (missed time due to lower-body injury and personal leave). Taylor Makar (Cale’s brother) was recalled and is expected to debut. Nicolas Roy is day-to-day.

Injury Reports

Lightning

Yanni Gourde (C, hip) — Out / IR (longer-term)

Avalanche

Zachary L’Heureux (LW/F, upper body) — Out

Nicolas Roy (C, lower body) — Day-to-day / Out (non-contact at skate)

Georgii Merkulov (C, undisclosed) — Out / IR (per some reports)

Logan O’Connor returns after missing the first 10 games. Confirm final status closer to puck drop.

Recent Team Forms

Lightning (7-2-0): One of the strongest starts in the league and among the best in franchise history. Recent results include a dominant 6-2 win at Vegas (Cirelli two goals, Kucherov producing), wins over Vancouver, Seattle (OT), Islanders, Minnesota, Philadelphia, and Washington, with losses to the Rangers. Strong goal differential, solid goaltending from Vasilevskiy (approx. 2.46 GAA, .898 SV%), and balanced scoring led by Hagel (7 goals) and Kucherov. They average around 3.4 GF/GP while allowing ~2.56.

Avalanche (5-4-1): High-powered offense (league-near-top at ~4.1 GF/GP) but inconsistent results, including a recent two-game skid. Wins mixed with losses to New Jersey, Philadelphia, and others; competitive at home (strong early home mark). Led by MacKinnon’s production, Lehkonen’s goal-scoring (8 goals), and Cale Makar’s impact from the blue line. Goaltending has been more mixed (Blackwood around 2.90 GAA). Special teams solid on the PK.

Key Player Matchups

Nikita Kucherov / Brandon Hagel / Anthony Cirelli vs. Nathan MacKinnon / Artturi Lehkonen / Martin Necas: Elite skill and scoring lines. Kucherov is chasing franchise scoring milestones; MacKinnon and Lehkonen drive Colorado’s attack. Possession and transition battles will be pivotal.

Victor Hedman / John Carlson vs. Cale Makar / Devon Toews: Top-pair and high-end defensive matchups. Makar is producing at an elite level among defensemen; Hedman and Carlson provide experience and two-way play for Tampa.

Brayden Point / Jake Guentzel secondary scoring vs. Colorado’s middle six (Landeskog, Nelson, Kadri): Depth and secondary production. Both sides feature experienced two-way forwards.

Goaltending: Andrei Vasilevskiy vs. Mackenzie Blackwood: Vasilevskiy has the stronger early track record and pedigree; Blackwood has carried a heavy load with mixed results. Altitude and home ice favor Colorado’s skaters if the game opens up.

Special teams and faceoffs: Colorado’s PP has been more effective early; both teams’ PKs are respectable. Tampa’s structure vs. Colorado’s speed and skill.

Series History

First meeting of the 2026-27 season. All-time regular-season record is relatively even (Colorado holds a slight edge in some historical tallies). The teams met in the 2022 Stanley Cup Final (Colorado won in six games). Recent regular-season meetings have been competitive, with the home team often successful in samples. Kucherov has strong career numbers against Colorado; MacKinnon has produced well versus Tampa.

Betting Trends

High-scoring potential given Colorado’s offense and both teams’ ability to generate chances. Home teams have fared well in recent H2H samples. Tampa’s strong start and Vasilevskiy provide underdog appeal on the road; Colorado’s rest advantage and altitude factor into home pricing. Public money often leans toward the home favorite and overs in such matchups.

Game Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning      6.5

Colorado Avalanche       – 116

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, October 22, 2026

Previous articleNWSL Match Preview: Houston Dash (8-14-6) vs. Chicago Stars FC (5-21-2)
Next articleNHL Morning Skate for Friday, October 23, 2026
NHL Editor
Profile: A seasoned NHL analyst with a comprehensive understanding of the league’s tactical systems, player‑development pipelines, and organizational strategies. This columnist provides in‑depth coverage that blends film study, advanced metrics, and historical context to explain how teams evolve across an 82‑game season and into the postseason. Background: With extensive experience covering professional hockey, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets, digital platforms, and radio segments focused on roster construction, coaching trends, and league‑wide movement. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term competitive cycles across all NHL markets. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and matchup analysis Film‑based breakdowns of offensive, defensive, and special‑teams systems Player evaluation, draft analysis, and trade‑deadline coverage Salary‑cap strategy, front‑office trends, and organizational philosophy Historical context, rivalry features, and postseason analysis Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex systems and statistical models into insights that resonate with both traditional hockey fans and analytically minded readers. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the NHL’s speed, physicality, and evolving style of play.