NHL Game Preview: St. Louis Blues (9-12-7) vs. Ottawa Senators (13-10-4)

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The St. Louis Blues limp into Ottawa on a mission to salvage a disappointing season, facing off against the Ottawa Senators in a matchup that could spark life into both middling Atlantic and Central Division hopefuls. St. Louis (9-12-7) has struggled mightily on the road (3-8-4), but a recent mini-resurgence offers hope against an Ottawa squad (13-10-4) that’s won four of five but can’t buy a goal at home lately. This clash at Canadian Tire Centre pits Robert Thomas’ playmaking against Tim Stützle’s dynamism, with the Senators’ superior special teams (top-10 PP at 21.5%) clashing against the Blues’ stout penalty kill (83.7%). Expect a defensive battle early, as both teams rank in the bottom half for goals per game (2.74 combined avg.).

Venue and Game Details

Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON (1000 Palladium Drive, Kanata, ON K2V 1A5). The Senators’ suburban home seats 19,153 for hockey and delivers a passionate, if chilly, atmosphere—though Ottawa’s home record (7-5-2) has been middling, with just 2.5 goals/game scored there.

Puckdrop: 7:00 p.m. ET.

Broadcast: NHL Network (national), FanDuel Sports Network Midwest (St. Louis), TSN5 (Ottawa), Sportsnet East (Canada). Doors open at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Team Records and Standings

Ottawa clings to the Atlantic’s sixth spot with a +4 goal differential, buoyed by strong faceoff wins (52.3%, 5th league-wide) but plagued by goaltending (.887 SV%, 27th). St. Louis wallows in the Central’s eighth place, with a -10 differential, relying on veteran grit but ranking 29th in power-play goals (14).

TeamRecord (W-L-OTL)PointsGF/GPGA/GPHomeAwayStreak
St. Louis Blues9-12-7252.593.076-4-33-8-4W2
Ottawa Senators13-10-4302.892.857-5-26-5-2W1

The Blues lead the NHL in blocked shots (17.2/GP), while Ottawa ranks 8th in high-danger chances created (11.2/GP) but 25th in save percentage.

Recent Team Forms

St. Louis has clawed back with consecutive wins, outscoring opponents 7-4 while tightening defensively (2.0 GA/game in streak). Their underlying play (49.8% Corsi) shows promise, but road woes persist—they’ve allowed 3.5 goals/game away. Jordan Binnington’s bounce-back (.910 SV% last three) fuels optimism.

Ottawa snapped a two-game skid with a 3-2 home win over New Jersey on Thursday, but their home offense is anemic (2.1 GF/GP in last six). The Sens are 6-3-1 in their prior 10, excelling in transition, though penalties (9.8 PIM/GP) have bitten them.

Blues Last 5 GamesResultScoreKey Notes
Dec 4 @ MINW3-2Thomas 2A; Binnington 28 saves, road resilience.
Dec 2 vs ARIW4-2Kyrou GWG; power play 1/2, balanced attack.
Nov 29 @ DALL1-4Defensive collapse; 0/4 PP.
Nov 27 vs VANL2-3 (OT)Buchnevich G; OT heartbreaker, 35 SOG.
Nov 24 @ WPGL2-5Binnington pulled; road skid hits three.
Senators Last 5 GamesResultScoreKey Notes
Dec 4 vs NJDW3-2Stützle G+A; Ullmark 24 saves, timely win.
Dec 1 @ TORL2-4Tkachuk 2A; outshot badly (29-41).
Nov 28 vs DETL1-3Low-event loss; PK 3/4 but offense dormant.
Nov 26 @ BOSW4-3Batherson 2G; high-scoring affair (7 goals).
Nov 23 vs BUFW5-1Sanderson 3A; dominant home effort.

Injury ReportOttawa’s forward corps is hit hard, thinning their scoring depth, while St. Louis misses blue-line stability but has key vets available.

TeamPlayerPositionStatusEst. ReturnNotes
STLJustin FaulkDIR (Out)Dec 14Lower body; 5 pts in 18GP, top-pair anchor.
STLJake NeighboursLWOutDec 8Upper body; 7 pts in 20GP, physical winger.
STLJoel HoferGDay-to-DayDec 6?Illness; backup to Binnington (7-9-5, .910 SV%).
OTTBrady TkachukLWIR (Out)Dec 20Knee; 12G-14A in 23GP, captain’s absence hurts grit.
OTTJosh NorrisCOutJan 5Shoulder; 6 pts in 15GP, second-line driver.
OTTDrake BathersonRWDay-to-DayDec 6?Flu; practiced, 11G-10A—crucial if sidelined.
OTTJacob Bernard-DockerDIR (Out)Dec 12Wrist; 3 pts in 22GP, depth D.

Binnington starts for St. Louis; Linus Ullmark (.887 SV%, 2.85 GAA) for Ottawa.

Key Player Matchups

With Tkachuk out, St. Louis’ veterans could exploit Ottawa’s youth. Transition and special teams will dictate flow.

Robert Thomas (STL, 9G-15A) vs. Tim Stützle (OTT, 10G-18A): Thomas’ vision (1.12 Pts/GP) tests Stützle’s speed (team-high 28 pts). Thomas has 6 pts in last 5; Stützle must win draws (51.2%) without Norris.

Jordan Kyrou (STL, 12G-8A) vs. Jake Sanderson (OTT): Kyrou’s rush threat (14 goals) challenges Sanderson’s containment (4.0 defensive shares). Kyrou 4G in streak; Sanderson allows 2.1 xGA/60 on shifts.

Brady Tkachuk’s Line Replacement (OTT) vs. Colton Parayko (STL): Without Tkachuk, Ottawa’s top line leans on Pinto; Parayko’s size (+5 rating) shuts down cycles. Parayko blocks 2.3 shots/GP.

Pavel Buchnevich (STL, 8G-12A) vs. Claude Giroux (OTT, veteran): Buchnevich’s two-way game (52.4% Corsi) meets Giroux’s savvy (15 pts). Buchnevich 5 pts in 7 vs. OTT; Giroux excels on PP (3 PPG).

Linus Ullmark (OTT) vs. Blues’ Top Line: Ullmark’s rebound control (.887 SV%) vs. Thomas-Kyrou-Acciari (35 combined pts). Ullmark has 2 shutouts this year; Blues generate 10.8 HD chances/GP.

Eye Mathieu Joseph (OTT, depth scorer) in bottom-six battles.

Series History

These teams have met 48 times (regular season), with St. Louis holding a 25-19-4 edge (55.6% win rate). The Blues have won 4 of the last 6, including a 4-2 home victory on October 28 (Kyrou 2G). Ottawa is 3-7 in their last 10 at home vs. STL, often outmuscled physically (Blues +15 hits avg.). No playoff history, but St. Louis’ 2019 Cup run adds lore.

Last 5 MeetingsDateResult (OTT Home unless noted)ScoreKey Stat
Oct 28, 2025@ STLW (STL)4-2Binnington 26 saves; Blues control shots 32-24.
Mar 15, 2025OTT HomeL (STL)3-4 (OT)Stützle GWG attempt fails; high-event.
Jan 9, 2025@ STLW (STL)3-1Thomas 2A; low-scoring trap.
Nov 12, 2024OTT HomeW (STL)5-3Kyrou hat trick; offensive outburst.
Apr 2, 2024@ OTTW (STL)2-1Ullmark roughed; Blues PK shines.

St. Louis wins 68% when leading after two periods (OTT 42% when trailing).

Betting Trends

Moneyline Trends: Senators 7-5 as home favorites; Blues 3-8 as road dogs. 58% bets on OTT ML.

Puck Line: OTT -1.5 (+165) covers in 48% of home wins; STL +1.5 (-195) hits 73% as underdogs.

Total Trends: Under 5.5 in 7 of STL’s last 10; Over in 6 of OTT’s last 9 homes. League avg: 6.0 goals/game.

Game Odds

St. Louis Blues                   5.5

Ottawa Senators              – 155

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, December 5, 2025

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