NHL Game Preview: New York Islanders (0-0-0) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (0-1-0)

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Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV/Streaming: MSGSN (Islanders regional), ESPN+, Prime Video (Canada)

The Islanders open their season on the road against a Maple Leafs team playing the second half of a back-to-back after a 3-2 home loss to the Montreal Canadiens on Tuesday. William Nylander scored twice in that defeat. Toronto is looking for its first win of the year under new coaching and with several new faces, while New York aims to start strong despite missing a key forward.

Starting Goaltenders / Expected Rosters

Islanders: Ilya Sorokin is expected to start (strong 2025-26: 29-24-2, 2.68 GAA, .906 SV%, 7 shutouts). Key forwards include Bo Horvat (new captain), Kyle Palmieri (returning from injury), Matias Maccelli (new, former Leaf), Simon Holmstrom, Brayden Schenn, Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Anthony Duclair, Emil Heineman, and Casey Cizikas. Defense features Matthew Schaefer (Calder winner last season), Adam Pelech, Ryan Pulock, Alexander Romanov (returning), Tony DeAngelo, and others.

Maple Leafs: Anthony Stolarz is projected to start (backup role behind Sergei Bobrovsky; 2025-26: 10-10-3, 3.28 GAA, .893 SV%). Key players include Auston Matthews, William Nylander, John Tavares, Kirill Marchenko (new acquisition), Gavin McKenna (2026 first-overall pick, NHL debut Tuesday), Jack Roslovic, and supporting cast. Defense includes Morgan Rielly, Jake McCabe, Chris Tanev, and others. Exact lines will be confirmed closer to game time; both sides feature notable newcomers and returnees from injury.

Weather Forecast (Toronto area)

A mix of sun and cloud. High around 23°C (73°F); evening temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens °C (low-to-mid 60s °F) by puck drop. Winds becoming south around 20 km/h in the afternoon. 30% chance of showers overnight. The game is indoors at Scotiabank Arena, so conditions have no direct impact, but outdoor weather is mild.

Injury Reports

Islanders: Mathew Barzal (knee, IR-NR; expected out until at least early October). Other absences limited relative to Toronto.

Maple Leafs: Max Domi (back, longer-term), Dakota Joshua (abdomen), Cade Webber (elbow), William Villeneuve (knee), Elvis Merzlikins (shoulder, long-term); Nick Paul (undisclosed, day-to-day). Several key pieces missing or limited.

Key Player vs. Player Matchups

Auston Matthews / William Nylander / John Tavares vs. Islanders’ top defensive pairs (Schaefer-Pelech, Pulock-Romanov) and Sorokin. Nylander is hot after a two-goal opener.

Bo Horvat / Kyle Palmieri / Matias Maccelli vs. Leafs’ defensive structure and Stolarz. Maccelli returns to face his former team.

Special teams: Islanders had solid PK numbers last season; Leafs’ power play was more productive in prior years but both sides are installing systems early.

Rookie angle: Matthew Schaefer (Islanders) vs. Gavin McKenna (Leafs) in early career matchups.

Recent Team Forms

Islanders: 0-0-0 entering the season. 2025-26: 43-34-5 overall (solid defensive metrics, strong goaltending from Sorokin). Mixed preseason. Road record was competitive last year.

Maple Leafs: 0-1-0 after a 3-2 loss to Montreal (Nylander 2 goals). 2025-26: 32-36-14 (struggled overall, last in Atlantic). Home record mixed; immediate back-to-back tests depth and energy. Toronto has more recent game action but faces rest disadvantages; New York is fresher for its opener.

Series History

Islanders swept the 2025-26 regular-season series 3-0 against the Leafs in some reports. Both teams missed the playoffs last season. Historical rivalry has featured competitive, physical games with New York often competitive on the road in recent years. Early-season meetings can be shaped by system installation and special teams.

Betting Trends

Early-season totals often lean under due to rust; back-to-back spots can favor the rested team; Islanders have shown competitiveness in this matchup recently; public often leans home favorite in openers.

Game Odds

New York Islanders         6

Toronto Maple Leafs      – 126

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, September 29, 2026

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