NHL Game Preview: Buffalo Sabres (36-19-6) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (31-16-13)

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The Buffalo Sabres (36-19-6, 78 points) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (31-16-13, 75 points) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Buffalo holds second place in the Atlantic Division, while Pittsburgh is tied for second in the Metropolitan Division. The Sabres are on a four-game win streak and seek their 10th straight road victory to tie a franchise record, facing a Penguins team without captain Sidney Crosby but bolstered by strong goaltending and secondary scoring. This Original Six rivalry features Buffalo’s potent offense against Pittsburgh’s stout defense, with the Penguins holding a 2-0 edge in the season series.

Venue Location

PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA.

Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET.

Injury Report

Buffalo Sabres:

  • Jordan Greenway (LW): IR – Abdomen, expected out until at least Mar 8.
  • Justin Danforth (RW): IR – Lower Body, expected out until at least Mar 7.
  • Conor Timmins (D): IR – Leg, expected out until at least Mar 14.

Pittsburgh Penguins:

  • Sidney Crosby (C): IR – Lower Body/Leg, out at least four weeks (from Olympics), expected back late March.
  • Blake Lizotte (C): Day-to-day – Lower Body.
  • Filip Hallander (C): IR – Leg, expected back Mar 8.
  • Jack St. Ivany (D): IR – Hand.
  • Caleb Jones (D): IR – Lower Body.

Key Player Matchups

This game pits Buffalo’s high-scoring forwards against Pittsburgh’s resilient defense and secondary lines, especially without Crosby. Goaltending will be crucial, with Buffalo’s road dominance testing Pittsburgh’s home strength.

  • Tage Thompson (BUF, C) vs. Erik Karlsson (PIT, D): Thompson leads Buffalo with 33 goals and 64 points in 61 games, riding an eight-game point streak (5G-4A). He’ll face Karlsson, who has 5G-34A for 39 points in 55 games and a 12-game home point streak vs. Buffalo (dating to 2016).
  • Alex Tuch (BUF, RW) vs. Evgeni Malkin (PIT, C): Tuch has 24G-28A for 52 points in 60 games, a pending UFA adding urgency. Malkin, with 13G-34A for 47 points in 45 games, centers a potent line and thrives without Crosby.
  • Rasmus Dahlin (BUF, D) vs. Anthony Mantha (PIT, RW): Dahlin leads Sabres defensemen with 12G-41A for 53 points in 57 games, key on the power play. Mantha has 15 points (5G-10A) in 22 games vs. Buffalo, including four multi-point outings.
  • Jack Quinn (BUF, RW) vs. Arturs Silovs (PIT, G): Quinn provides secondary scoring depth. Silovs (13-7-8, .902 SV%) is projected to start, with wins in four of his last five; he’ll face Buffalo’s 4.2 goals/game average.

Other notables: Ryan McLeod (BUF) vs. Egor Chinakhov (PIT) for speed matchups; Owen Power (BUF) vs. Thomas Novak (PIT) for defensive battles.

Recent Team Forms

Buffalo is 7-2-1 in their last 10, on a four-game win streak. Pittsburgh is 6-2-2, but coming off a loss.

Buffalo Sabres Last 10 Games (7-2-1, +12 goal differential):

DateOpponentResult
Mar 3vs VGKW 3-2
Feb 28@ TBLW 7-6 OT
Feb 27vs FLAW 3-2
Feb 25@ NJDW 2-1
Feb 5vs PITL 2-5
Jan 29vs LAKW 4-1
Jan 27@ TORW 7-4
Jan 24@ NYIW 5-0
Jan 22@ OTTL 2-3 OT
Jan 20vs BOSW 4-3 SO

Pittsburgh Penguins Last 10 Games (6-2-2, +12 goal differential):

DateOpponentResult
Mar 3@ BOSL 1-2
Mar 1vs VGKW 5-0
Feb 28@ NYRL 2-3 OT
Feb 26vs NJDW 4-1
Feb 25vs WSHW 3-2 SO
Feb 5@ BUFW 5-2
Jan 29vs CHIW 6-2
Jan 25@ VANW 3-2
Jan 22@ EDMW 6-2
Jan 17vs OTTL 2-3 OT

Series History

The Sabres and Penguins have met 226 times (regular season and playoffs), with Pittsburgh holding a 100-80-35-11 edge. In regular season: Pittsburgh 94-76-35-11.

Recent dominance favors Pittsburgh:

  • Penguins are 8-6 SU in the last 14 meetings.
  • Penguins are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games vs. Sabres.
  • Penguins are 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games vs. Sabres.
  • This season: Pittsburgh leads 2-0 (5-2 on Feb. 5; 4-2 on Nov. 26).

Betting Trends

  • Puck Line: Sabres -1.5 +213 to +225; Penguins +1.5 -266 to -265.
  • Total: Games have gone over 6.5 in 29 of Buffalo’s 61 contests (48%).
  • Key Trends: Penguins 4-1 SU in last 5 vs. Sabres. Under is 7-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 8 home games vs. Buffalo. Over is 4-1 in last 5 BUF-PIT matchups. Sabres 9-1 SU in last 10 road games. Penguins 6-2-2 in last 10 overall.

Game Odds

Buffalo Sabres                   – 115

Pittsburgh Penguins       6.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, March 4, 2026

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