Venue & Timing
Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Av. de Concha Espina 1, Madrid, Spain
Kickoff: 9:30 AM ET (6:30 AM PST)
Broadcast: NFL Network: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma, Jamie Erdahl (field reporter)
Westwood One: Oliver Wilson, Brian Mitchell
Weather Update
Forecast (Madrid): Clear skies, 61°F, light winds at 6 mph
Conditions are ideal for passing offenses, with no weather disruptions expected.
Injury Report
Washington Commanders:
Marcus Mariota (QB) — probable, expected to start despite minor shoulder soreness
Treylon Burks (WR) — questionable (hamstring)
Defensive secondary thin with multiple starters nursing injuries
Miami Dolphins:
Tyreek Hill — questionable (ankle)
Darren Waller — OUT (knee)
Offensive line rotation impacted by minor injuries, but starters expected to play
Player Matchups
Marcus Mariota (WAS QB) vs. Tua Tagovailoa (MIA QB)
Mariota: averaging 220.7 passing yards, 1.7 TDs per game, but turnover-prone.
Tua: projected 247.5 passing yards, 2.1 TDs, efficient in last week’s win.
Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS WR) vs. Jaylen Waddle (MIA WR)
Samuel: team’s leading receiver, averaging 49.3 yards/game.
Waddle: explosive playmaker, projected 75+ yards with Hill limited.
De’Von Achane (MIA RB) vs. Commanders’ front seven
Achane: 174 rushing yards, 2 TDs vs. Buffalo, expected to be Miami’s offensive focal point.
Team Recent Form
Washington Commanders:
Lost last game vs. Detroit (44–22).
1-4 road record, struggling defensively (allowing 29.8 PPG).
Offense inconsistent, averaging just 19.7 PPG over last five games.
Miami Dolphins:
Won last game vs. Buffalo (30–13).
2-3 home record, but momentum from strong rushing attack.
Defense improving, with 3 sacks and 1 interception last week.
Series History
Dolphins lead all-time series 10–6.
Last meeting: Dolphins won 27–20 in 2023.
Commanders have not beaten Miami since 2019.
Betting Trends
Commanders: 2-8 ATS in last 10 games, struggling to cover spreads.
Dolphins: 4-6 ATS, but covered last week vs. Buffalo.
Both teams trending Under: Commanders have not scored more than 22 points in last five games; Dolphins averaging under 24 PPG in last month.
Score Projection: Dolphins 24 – Commanders 17
Summary: This neutral-site matchup in Madrid pits two struggling teams against each other, but Miami’s recent form and explosive ground game give them the edge. Washington’s offense has been stagnant, and their defense has allowed nearly 30 points per game.
COMMANDERS NOTES:
• QB MARCUS MARIOTA had 16 comp. on 22 pass att. (72.7%) for 213 yards, 2 TDs & 133.3 rating last week. Has pass TD in every start this season. Has pass TD in 4 of his last 5 on the road. • RB JACORY CROSKY-MERRITT (rookie) ranks 3rd in rush yards (470) & tied for 4th in rush TDs (4) among rookies this season. • RB CHRIS RODRIGUEZ had 3rd rush TD on the season last week. Aims for 3rd straight with rush TD. Has 5+ carries in 2 of his past 3. • WR TREYLON BURKS led team with 58 rec. yards on 3 rec. last week. Has 1+ rec. in all 12 career road games. • WR DEEBO SAMUEL had 4 rec. for 29 yards & TD in Week 10. Has rec TD in 4 of his past 5 on the road. Had 7 rec. for 96 yards & TD in last meeting (12/22/24, w/ SF). Aims for 50 rec. on the season (46). • TE ZACH ERTZ had 4 rec. for 54 yards last week. Aims for 3rd straight with 45+ rec. yards. Ranks 2nd in NFL among TEs in rec. yards (8,433) & rec. (810) & 3rd in rec. TDs (57) since being drafted in 2013. • LB BOBBY WAGNER tied for team-high 9 tackles last week. Leads NFC & ranks 2nd in NFL with 99 tackles in 2025. Aims for 11th in row with 7+ tackles this season. Has 10+ tackles in 4 of his last 5 on the road. Had 12 tackles in last meeting (10/04/20, w/ SEA). Aims for 14th career season with 100+ tackles. • CB JONATHAN JONES had 4 tackles & PD in Week 10. • CB MIKE SAINRISTIL had 8 tackles last week. Has 4+ tackles in 7 of his last 8 on road. • S QUAN MARTIN tied for team-high 9 tackles in Week 10. Has 5+ tackles in 5 of his last 6. Aims for 4th in row on road with 7+ tackles. • S JEREMY REAVES had 7 tackles & PD last week. Has 5+ tackles in 3 of his last 4 on road.
DOLPHINS NOTES:
• DOLPHINS defense recorded 2 FFs, 2 FRs, INT & 3 sacks last week against Buffalo’s 2nd ranked offense in the NFL. • QB TUA TAGOVAILOA had 15 comp. on 21 att. (71.4%) for 173 yards & 2 TDs last week. Has multiple pass TDs & 20+ comp. in 3 of his last 4 on road. Had 18 comp. on 24 att. (75%) for 280 yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. • RB DE’VON ACHANE totaled 225 scrimmage yards (174 rushing, 51 receiving) & 2 rush TDs last week, including 59-yard TD, becoming 6th player since 2000 with rush TD of 50+ yards in each of first 3 seasons. Became 3rd player in NFL history with 5+ rushing TDs & 3 rush TDs in each of his first 3 seasons. Aims for 6th straight with 65+ rush yards. 4th in NFL in rush yards (780) & scrimmage yards (1,105) this season. • WR JAYLEN WADDLE had team-high 84 rec. yards on 5 rec. & TD in Week 10. Aims for 4th in row with 5+ rec. & 80+ rec. yards. Has TD rec. in 3 of his past 4 on road. Ranks 3rd in NFL with 14.6 yards per rec. (min. 45 rec.). • WR MALIK WASHINGTON had 2nd TD of season last week. • LB JORDYN BROOKS had team-high 12 tackles, 2 TFL & FF in Week 10. Has 8+ tackles in 7 games this season. Aims for 3rd in row with TFL on road. • LB BRADLEY CHUBB had 5th sack of season last week. • LB WILLIE GAY had 1st sack of season last week. • LB TYREL DODSON had 9 tackles last week. Has 8+ tackles in 7 games. Aims for 3rd in row with 9+ tackles. • DT ZACH SIELER had 1st sack of season in Week 10. • CB JACK JONES had 6 tackles, 2 TFL & FF in Week 10. • CB JULIUS BRENTS had 5 tackles, PD & FR last week. • S MINKAH FITZPATRICK had 6 tackles, PD & FR in Week 10. 1 of 5 in AFC with 2+ FR & INT this season. • S IFEATU MELIFONWU had 3rd career INT & 1st in 2025 last week.
Game Odds
Washington Commanders 47.5
Miami Dolphins – 2.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 15, 2025
