Friday, December 5, 2025
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NFL Game Preview: Atlanta Falcons (3-4) vs. New England Patriots (6-2)

Venue & Game Details

Venue: Gillette Stadium, One Patriot Place, Foxborough, MA 02035

Capacity: ~65,878

Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT)

Broadcast: CBS: Andrew Catalon, Charles Davis/Jason McCourty, AJ Ross (field reporter)

Weather Forecast (Foxborough, MA – Nov. 2, 2025)

Temperature: ~54°F at kickoff, dropping into the upper 40s by the 4th quarter

Conditions: Partly cloudy, light winds (6–8 mph)

Impact: Mild fall conditions; no major weather impact expected

Injury Report

Atlanta Falcons:

QB Michael Penix Jr. (1,409 yards, 5 TDs, 3 INTs) – expected to start after missing time

RB Bijan Robinson (549 yards, 2 TDs) – healthy

WR Drake London (333 yards, 2 TDs) – probable (ankle)

TE Kyle Pitts (39 receptions, 312 yards) – healthy

New England Patriots:

QB Drake Maye (2,026 yards, 15 TDs, 3 INTs, 75.2% comp.) – healthy

WR Stefon Diggs (512 yards, 3 TDs) – healthy

WR Kayshon Boutte (389 yards, 3 TDs) – available

RB TreVeyon Henderson (354 yards, 3 TDs) – healthy

Key Player Matchups

Michael Penix Jr. vs. Patriots’ Secondary: Penix’s deep-ball ability will be tested against a defense allowing just 18.3 PPG.

Bijan Robinson vs. Patriots’ Run Defense: New England ranks 2nd in the NFL vs. the run (76 YPG allowed).

Drake Maye vs. Falcons’ Pass Rush: Maye has been carving up blitzes; Atlanta must pressure him without overcommitting.

Team Form

Atlanta Falcons:

Last 5: Lost to Dolphins 34-10, Lost to 49ers 28-17, Beat Saints 24-21, Beat Panthers 20-17, Lost to Buccaneers 27-14

Offense: 17.1 PPG, 123.3 rush YPG, 214.1 pass YPG

Defense: 22.0 PPG allowed, 275.6 YPG allowed (2nd NFL in yards allowed)

New England Patriots:

Last 5: Beat Browns 32-13, Beat Titans 27-10, Beat Dolphins 24-17, Beat Jets 28-14, Beat Bills 23-20

Offense: 27.4 PPG, 245.0 pass YPG, 112.6 rush YPG

Defense: 18.3 PPG allowed, 300.4 YPG allowed

Series History

All-Time: Patriots lead 8–6

Last Meeting (2021): Patriots won 25-0 in Atlanta

At Foxborough: Patriots have won 3 straight vs. Falcons

Betting Trends

Atlanta: 3-4 ATS this season; 1-3 ATS on the road

New England: 6-2 ATS overall; 3-1 ATS at home

Totals: Over has hit in 4 of Falcons’ 7 games; Over in 5 of Patriots’ 8

Head-to-Head: Patriots have covered in 5 of last 6 vs. Falcons

Historical Betting Results

Patriots are 6-2 ATS in 2025, tied for best in NFL

Falcons are 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games vs. AFC opponents

The Under has hit in 3 of last 5 head-to-head matchups

Projected Score: Patriots 27, Falcons 16

FALCONS NOTES:

• QB MICHAEL PENIX JR. can make 10th-career start in Week 9. Aims for his 4th in row with TD pass. • QB KIRK COUSINS completed 21 of 31 atts. (67.7 pct.) for 173 yards in 1st start of season last week. Has TD pass in each of his 3 career starts vs. NE. • RB BIJAN ROBINSON ranks 3rd in NFL with 962 scrimmage yards & can reach 1,000 scrimmage yards for 3rd-straight season. Has 90+ scrimmage yards in each of his 3 road games in 2025 & in 11 of his past 12 on road. Needs 19 rush yards to reach 3,000 for his career. • RB TYLER ALLGEIER tied his career high with his 4th rush TD of season last week. Has rush TD in 3 of his past 4 overall. • WR DRAKE LONDON has 8+ catches, 100+ rec. yards & rec. TD in 2 of his past 3. Has 5+ catches & 50+ rec. yards in 7 of his past 9 overall. • TE KYLE PITTS led team & tied his career high with 9 catches & had 59 rec. yards in Week 8. Aims for his 3rd in row with 7+ catches & 50+ rec. yards. Needs 5 rec. yards to reach 3,000 for his career. • LB KADEN ELLIS led team with season-high 12 tackles & had 2 TFL & PD last week, his 16th-career game with 10+ tackles & 6th-career game with 2+ TFL. Aims for his 3rd in row with PD. • LB JD BERTRAND had 1st-career PD last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 9+ tackles. • ED LEONARD FLOYD has TFL in 2 of his 3 road games in 2025. Had FF in his last game vs. NE (9/29/24 w/ SF). • DL BRANDON DORLUS had career-high 2 TFL last week. • CB DEE ALFORD had 2nd sack of season in Week 8. • CB MIKE HUGHES aims for his 4th in row with 5+ tackles & 5th in row with PD. • S JESSIE BATES aims for his 6th in row with 5+ tackles. • S XAVIER WATTS ranks 3rd among rookie DBs with 40 tackles in 2025.

PATRIOTS NOTES:

• PATRIOTS can have 1st 6 game win streak since 2021 • QB DRAKE MAYE passed for 282 yards & 3 TDs vs. INT for 135.8 rating in Week 8 & became 1st player ever with 2+ TD passes & 135+ rating in 5 of his 1st 8 games of season. Became 5th player ever with 200+ pass yards & 100+ rating in 7 straight games. Leads qualified passers in comp. pct. (75.2) & rating (118.7) in 2025. Can join John Hadl (1973 LAR) & Russell Wilson (2015 Sea.) as only QBs ever with 135+ rating in 4 straight games. • RB RHAMONDRE STEVENSON has 3 rush TDs in his past 4. • RB TREVEYON HENDERSON (rookie) led team with career-high 75 rush yards last week. • WR STEFON DIGGS had 1st rec. TD of season last week, his 71st-career TD catch. • WR KAYSHON BOUTTE had 75 rec. yards & career-high 5th rec. TD of season last week. Aims for his 4th in row with 50+ rec. yards & rec. TD. • WR MACK HOLLINS led team with season highs in receptions (7) & rec. yards (89) last week. Aims for his 3rd in row with 50+ scrimmage yards. • TE HUNTER HENRY had 4th rec. TD of season last week, his 44th-career TD catch. Aims for his 4th in row at home with rec. TD. • LB ROBERT SPILLANE led team with 14 tackles, had 4th-career game with 2 TFL & had 8th-career INT last week. Aims for his 4th in row at home with 10+ tackles. Had INT in his last game vs. Atl. (12/16/24 w/ LV). • LB HAROLD LANDRY has sack in 2 of his past 3. Aims for his 3rd in row vs. Atl. with 2+ sacks. • DT MILTON WILLIAMS had 7th-career PD last week. • CB CHRISTIAN GONZALEZ had 2 PD & 3rd-career TFL last week. • CB MARCUS JONES is 3rd DB since 2000 with TFL & PD in 4 straight games. • S JAYLINN HAWKINS had 2nd INT of season last week. Had career highs in tackles (82) & PD (6) with Atl. in 2022.

Game Odds

Atlanta Falcons                                 44.5

New England Patriots                    – 5.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odd Direct as of Saturday, November 1, 2025

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