Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Heavyweight (265 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric international venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that benefits explosive strikers
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can drain cardio quickly
• Strong crowd support for Asian and global heavyweights
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving power punchers more space to set traps

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, intense, and perfect for heavyweight chaos.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Tallison Teixeira

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Curitiba
• Weight cut not required (heavyweight)
• Focused heavily on wrestling defense and counter‑boxing

Sergei Pavlovich

• Minor back tightness in March — fully resolved
• No current limitations
• Completed full power‑striking camp in Dagestan and Dubai

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Tallison Teixeira

Record: 12–2 Style: Technical boxer / counter‑striker Height/Reach: 6’4” / 78” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Clean, technical boxing
• Excellent counter right hand
• Good footwork for a heavyweight
• Solid defensive grappling

Weaknesses

• Not a one‑punch KO artist
• Can be overwhelmed by pressure
• Slow starter

Sergei Pavlovich

Record: 18–3 Style: Power striker / blitz finisher Height/Reach: 6’3” / 84” Stance: Southpaw

Strengths

• One of the hardest hitters in the division
• Fast, aggressive entries
• Devastating uppercuts and hooks
• Excellent finishing instincts

Weaknesses

• Defensive gaps in extended exchanges
• Can be countered when blitzing
• Cardio fades after Round 1

RECENT FORM

Tallison Teixeira — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — KO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — KO
• Win — TKO

Teixeira is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved composure and better defensive movement.

Sergei Pavlovich — Last 5

• Loss — KO
• Loss — KO
• Win — KO
• Win — KO
• Loss — Decision

Pavlovich is 2–3 in his last five, but all losses came against top‑5 heavyweights. His power remains elite.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Classic technical counter‑striker vs. explosive power puncher
• Teixeira’s best path: stay long, counter Pavlovich’s blitzes, drag the fight into Round 2+
• Pavlovich’s best path: apply pressure early, force exchanges, land power combinations
• If the fight stays at range, Teixeira has the advantage
• If Pavlovich closes distance early, he can end the fight violently

This is a high‑variance heavyweight matchup where one mistake can end the fight.

BETTING TRENDS

Tallison Teixeira Trends

• 3 of last 4 wins by finish
• 5–0 when landing 30+ significant strikes
• 4–1 when fights go past Round 1
• Strong counter‑striking success vs aggressive opponents

Sergei Pavlovich Trends

• 15 of 18 wins by KO
• 7 first‑round finishes in UFC
• 0–3 in fights that reach Round 3
• 6–1 when landing the first knockdown

Matchup Trends

• Teixeira’s counters vs. Pavlovich’s blitzes
• Pavlovich’s power vs. Teixeira’s durability
• Over/Under depends entirely on whether Pavlovich lands early

FIGHT ODDS

Tallison Teixeira                + 425

Sergei Pavlovich               – 600

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Flyweight (125 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors strikers and scramblers
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Chinese fighters, especially rising stars
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving rangy strikers more space

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑China, and high‑energy — a major factor for Su Mudaerji.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Su Mudaerji

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Chengdu
• Weight cut expected to be smooth
• Focused heavily on takedown defense

Alex Perez

• Minor ankle soreness in early April — fully resolved
• No current limitations
• Completed full wrestling‑heavy camp in California

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Su “The Tibetan Eagle” Mudaerji

Record: 16–5 Style: Long‑range striker / sniper Height/Reach: 5’8” / 72” Stance: Southpaw

Strengths

• Lightning‑fast straight left
• Excellent kicking game
• Strong footwork and distance management
• Dangerous in early rounds

Weaknesses

• Defensive grappling remains a concern
• Can be backed up by pressure wrestlers
• Cardio fades in late rounds

Alex Perez

Record: 24–9 Style: Pressure wrestler / boxer Height/Reach: 5’6” / 65” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Strong wrestling and top control
• Heavy leg kicks
• Good boxing fundamentals
• High fight IQ and experience

Weaknesses

• Can be hurt early by fast strikers
• Sometimes struggles with rangy southpaws
• Durability has been inconsistent

RECENT FORM

Su Mudaerji — Last 5

• Win — KO
• Loss — Submission
• Loss — KO
• Win — Decision
• Win — KO

Su is 3–2 in his last five, with explosive striking but clear vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges.

Alex Perez — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Loss — KO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Submission

Perez is 2–3 in his last five, but all losses came against top‑10 competition. His wrestling remains elite.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Classic striker vs. wrestler dynamic
• Su’s best path: keep the fight at range, use kicks, land the straight left
• Perez’s best path: pressure early, mix in takedowns, grind Su against the fence
• If the fight stays standing, Su has the advantage
• If Perez gets consistent takedowns, he controls the fight

This is a high‑variance matchup where early momentum matters greatly.

BETTING TRENDS

Su Mudaerji Trends

• 4 of last 6 wins by KO
• 5–1 when landing 40+ significant strikes
• 0–3 when taken down more than twice
• Strong early finisher

Alex Perez Trends

• 6–2 when landing 3+ takedowns
• 4 of last 5 losses by finish
• 5–1 when winning Round 1
• 3–0 vs southpaws in UFC

Matchup Trends

• Su’s speed vs. Perez’s pressure
• Perez’s wrestling vs. Su’s takedown defense
• Cage size favors Su’s movement

FIGHT ODDS

Su Mudaerji       + 125

Alex Perez           – 145

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Bantamweight (135 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors movement and scrambles
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Asian fighters, especially Japanese and Chinese strikers
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving strikers more space to operate

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑Asia, and high‑energy — a major factor for Kai Asakura.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Cameron Smotherman

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Houston
• Weight cut expected to be smooth
• Focused heavily on defensive grappling and footwork

Kai Asakura

• Minor shin bruise in March — fully healed
• No current limitations
• Completed full striking‑heavy camp in Tokyo

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Cameron Smotherman

Record: 9–2 Style: High‑volume striker / movement‑based kickboxer Height/Reach: 5’8” / 70” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Fast hands and clean combinations
• Excellent footwork and lateral movement
• Good defensive grappling
• Strong cardio and pace

Weaknesses

• Limited one‑punch power
• Can be backed up by aggressive pressure
• Sometimes too reactive early

 Kai Asakura

Record: 20–4 Style: Power striker / counter‑puncher Height/Reach: 5’7” / 69” Stance: Switch

Strengths

• Explosive knockout power
• Sharp counter‑striking
• Excellent timing on entries
• Strong finishing instincts

Weaknesses

• Can be hit clean when leading
• Takedown defense inconsistent
• Cardio fades in late rounds when pressured

RECENT FORM

Cameron Smotherman — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — TKO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Win — KO

Smotherman is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved striking discipline and better defensive grappling.

Kai Asakura — Last 5

• Win — KO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — KO
• Win — TKO
• Win — Decision

Asakura is 4–1 in his last five, with two violent finishes. His power remains elite at bantamweight.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Both fighters prefer striking, but with different approaches:
  • Smotherman: volume, movement, angles
  • Asakura: power, timing, counter‑striking
• Smotherman’s best path: stick‑and‑move, avoid pocket brawls, win minutes
• Asakura’s best path: pressure early, force exchanges, land counters
• If the fight goes long, Smotherman’s cardio edge becomes significant
• If the fight stays in the pocket, Asakura has the clear advantage

This is a classic volume technician vs. explosive finisher matchup.

BETTING TRENDS

Cameron Smotherman Trends

• 4 of last 5 fights went the distance
• 5–0 when landing 80+ significant strikes
• 3–1 as an underdog
• Strong late‑round performer

Kai Asakura Trends

• 3 of last 4 wins by KO/TKO
• 6–1 when landing the first knockdown
• 4–0 fighting in Asia
• 2–3 in fights that go to decision

Matchup Trends

• Smotherman’s movement vs. Asakura’s timing
• Asakura’s power vs. Smotherman’s volume
• Cage size favors Asakura’s pressure

FIGHT ODDS

Cameron Smotherman                  + 245

Kai Asakura                                        – 290

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Featherweight (145 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors movement and scrambles
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Chinese fighters
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving strikers more space to operate

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑China, and high‑energy — a major factor for Zhu KangJie.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Rodrigo Vera

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in São Paulo
• Weight cut expected to be smooth
• Focused heavily on defensive grappling this camp

Zhu KangJie

• Minor rib soreness in March — fully healed
• No current limitations
• Completed full striking‑heavy camp in Beijing

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Rodrigo Vera

Record: 12–4 Style: Muay Thai striker / opportunistic grappler Height/Reach: 5’9” / 71” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Sharp Muay Thai combinations
• Strong leg‑kick game
• Good counter‑striking
• Solid submission defense

Weaknesses

• Can be pressured backward
• Sometimes low output early
• Vulnerable to strong wrestlers

Zhu KangJie

Record: 10–2 Style: Pressure striker / wrestling hybrid Height/Reach: 5’8” / 70” Stance: Switch

Strengths

• Relentless forward pressure
• Strong clinch and body‑lock takedowns
• Heavy hooks and good power
• Excellent cardio and pace

Weaknesses

• Can be countered when entering
• Sometimes too aggressive early
• Leaves openings for kicks

RECENT FORM

Rodrigo Vera — Last 5

• Win — KO (Head Kick)
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Submission
• Win — Decision

Vera is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved takedown defense and sharper counter‑striking.

Zhu KangJie — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — TKO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Submission

Zhu is 4–1 in his last five, with his only loss coming to a top‑15 wrestler. His pressure style has overwhelmed most opponents.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Both fighters prefer striking, but with different approaches:
  • Vera: technical, clean Muay Thai, counter‑striking
  • Zhu: pressure, power, clinch wrestling
• Vera’s best path: kick from range, counter the entries, avoid the fence
• Zhu’s best path: pressure early, mix in takedowns, force brawls
• If the fight goes long, Zhu’s cardio edge becomes significant

This is a classic technician vs. pressure fighter matchup.

BETTING TRENDS

Rodrigo Vera Trends

• 3 of last 4 wins by finish
• 5–1 when landing 40+ leg kicks
• 4–0 when winning the first round
• 1–3 when pressured heavily

Zhu KangJie Trends

• 4 of last 5 fights went the distance
• 5–0 when landing 3+ takedowns
• 3–0 fighting in China
• 6–1 when out‑landing opponents in significant strikes

Matchup Trends

• Vera’s kicking game vs. Zhu’s pressure
• Zhu’s clinch wrestling could neutralize Vera’s range
• Vera’s counters are dangerous early

FIGHT ODDS

Rodrigo Vera      – 110

Zhu KangJie        – 110

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Featherweight (145 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors movement and scrambles
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Chinese and East Asian fighters
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving strikers more space to operate

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑Asia, and high‑energy — a major factor for Yi Sak.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Luis Felipe Dias

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Rio de Janeiro
• Weight cut expected to be smooth
• Focused heavily on takedown defense this camp

Yi Sak

• Minor shoulder tightness in early April — fully resolved
• No current limitations
• Completed full striking‑heavy camp in Shanghai

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Luis Felipe Dias

Record: 13–3 Style: Muay Thai striker / opportunistic grappler Height/Reach: 5’10” / 72” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Sharp, technical Muay Thai
• Excellent leg kicks and body kicks
• Strong counter‑striking
• Solid defensive grappling

Weaknesses

• Can be pressured backward
• Sometimes low output in early rounds
• Vulnerable to strong wrestlers

Yi Sak

Record: 12–2 Style: Pressure striker / wrestling hybrid Height/Reach: 5’9” / 70” Stance: Switch

Strengths

• Relentless forward pressure
• Strong clinch and body‑lock takedowns
• Heavy hooks and good power
• Excellent cardio and pace

Weaknesses

• Can be countered when entering
• Sometimes too aggressive early
• Leaves openings for kicks

RECENT FORM

Luis Felipe Dias — Last 5

• Win — KO (Head Kick)
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Submission
• Win — Decision

Dias is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved takedown defense and sharper counter‑striking.

Yi Sak — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — TKO
• Win — Decision
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Submission

Yi Sak is 4–1 in his last five, with his only loss coming to a top‑15 wrestler. His pressure style has overwhelmed most opponents.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Both fighters prefer striking, but with different approaches:
  • Dias: technical, clean Muay Thai, counter‑striking
  • Yi Sak: pressure, power, clinch wrestling
• Dias’ best path: kick from range, counter the entries, avoid the fence
• Yi Sak’s best path: pressure early, mix in takedowns, force brawls
• If the fight goes long, Yi Sak’s cardio edge becomes significant

This is a classic technician vs. pressure fighter matchup.

BETTING TRENDS

Luis Felipe Dias Trends

• 3 of last 4 wins by finish
• 5–1 when landing 40+ leg kicks
• 4–0 when winning the first round
• 1–3 when pressured heavily

Yi Sak Trends

• 4 of last 5 fights went the distance
• 5–0 when landing 3+ takedowns
• 3–0 fighting in China
• 6–1 when out‑landing opponents in significant strikes

Matchup Trends

• Dias’ kicking game vs. Yi Sak’s pressure
• Yi Sak’s clinch wrestling could neutralize Dias’ range
• Dias’ counters are dangerous early

FIGHT ODDS

Luis Felipe Dias                 – 175

Yi Sak                                    + 145

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Bantamweight (135 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors movement and scrambles
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Chinese fighters
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving strikers more space to work

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑China, and high‑energy — a major factor for Aoriqileng.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Cody Haddon

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Perth
• Weight cut expected to be smooth
• Focused heavily on defensive wrestling this camp

Aoriqileng

• Minor hand bruise in March — fully healed
• No current limitations
• Completed full striking‑heavy camp in Beijing

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

🇦🇺 Cody Haddon

Record: 10–1 Style: High‑volume striker / hybrid grappler Height/Reach: 5’7” / 68” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• High pace and output
• Clean boxing combinations
• Solid defensive grappling
• Good cardio and durability

Weaknesses

• Can be hit clean in exchanges
• Sometimes too willing to brawl
• Limited one‑punch power

Aoriqileng (“The Mongolian Murderer”)

Record: 24–11 Style: Pressure striker / brawler Height/Reach: 5’7” / 69” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Relentless forward pressure
• Heavy hands and strong hooks
• Durable and thrives in chaos
• Crowd support boosts his pace

Weaknesses

• Susceptible to counters
• Defensive grappling inconsistent
• Can fade in late rounds if pace is too high

RECENT FORM

Cody Haddon — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — TKO
• Win — Submission
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Decision

Haddon is 4–1 in his last five, showing improved striking discipline and better takedown defense.

Aoriqileng — Last 5

• Win — KO
• Loss — Decision
• Win — Decision
• Loss — KO
• Win — TKO

Aoriqileng is 3–2 in his last five, with two violent finishes. He remains one of the division’s most entertaining pressure fighters.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Both fighters prefer striking, but with different approaches:
  • Haddon: technical, high‑volume, clean boxing
  • Aoriqileng: pressure, power, chaos
• Haddon’s best path: stick‑and‑move, counter, avoid brawls
• Aoriqileng’s best path: pressure early, force exchanges, break rhythm
• If the fight goes long, Haddon’s cardio edge becomes significant

This is a classic technical striker vs. pressure brawler matchup.

BETTING TRENDS

Cody Haddon Trends

• 4 of last 5 fights went the distance
• 5–0 when landing 80+ significant strikes
• 3–1 as a betting favorite
• Strong cardio in late rounds

Aoriqileng Trends

• 3 of last 5 fights ended inside the distance
• 4–1 when landing the first knockdown
• 3–0 fighting in China
• 2–4 in fights that go to decision

Matchup Trends

• Haddon’s volume vs. Aoriqileng’s power
• Aoriqileng’s pressure may force Haddon into exchanges
• Haddon’s footwork is the X‑factor

FIGHT ODDS

Cody Haddon                     – 365

Aoriqileng                          + 290

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Flyweight (125 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

• Fast canvas that favors scramblers and movement-heavy fighters
• Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
• Strong crowd support for Asian fighters, especially Japanese and Chinese prospects
• 30‑foot Octagon, giving grapplers more space to shoot and scramble

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑Asia, and high‑energy.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

• Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
• Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
• US Pacific Time (Your Time):
  • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
  • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Jesus Aguilar

• No reported injuries
• Full camp completed in Mexico City
• Weight cut expected to be smooth

Rei Tsuruya

• Minor rib bruise in early April — fully healed
• No current limitations
• Completed full wrestling‑heavy camp in Hokkaido

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Jesus Aguilar

Record: 10–2 Style: Submission grappler / pressure wrestler Height/Reach: 5’4” / 64” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Elite guillotine and front‑choke series
• Strong top control
• Relentless pressure
• Good scrambles and transitions

Weaknesses

• Limited striking volume
• Can be out‑paced by faster flyweights
• Sometimes overcommits on takedown attempts

 Rei Tsuruya

Record: 9–0 Style: High‑pace wrestling / scrambling specialist Height/Reach: 5’6” / 66” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

• Elite chain wrestling
• Non‑stop pace and pressure
• Excellent back‑takes
• Strong cardio and durability

Weaknesses

• Still developing striking defense
• Can be hit clean when entering
• Sometimes too willing to scramble instead of securing position

RECENT FORM

Jesus Aguilar — Last 5

• Win — Submission (R1)
• Win — Decision
• Loss — KO
• Win — Submission
• Win — Decision

Aguilar is 4–1 in his last five, with two first‑round submissions. His grappling remains his most dangerous weapon.

Rei Tsuruya — Last 5

• Win — Decision
• Win — Submission
• Win — Decision
• Win — TKO
• Win — Decision

Tsuruya is 5–0 in his last five, undefeated overall, and has shown rapid improvement in striking and control.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

• First meeting between the two
• Both fighters are grapplers, but with different styles:
  • Aguilar: submission hunter
  • Tsuruya: chain wrestler with cardio advantage
• Aguilar’s best path: snatch a guillotine or front choke during a scramble
• Tsuruya’s best path: win scrambles, maintain top pressure, and drown Aguilar with pace
• If the fight goes long, Tsuruya’s cardio edge becomes a major factor

This is a high‑scramble, high‑pace grappling matchup with danger on both sides.

BETTING TRENDS

Jesus Aguilar Trends

• 7 of 10 wins by submission
• 4 first‑round finishes
• 3–0 when landing the first takedown
• 0–2 in fights that go to Round 3

Rei Tsuruya Trends

• Undefeated (9–0)
• 7 of 9 fights have gone the distance
• 5–0 when landing 3+ takedowns
• 3–0 fighting in Asia

Matchup Trends

• Aguilar is most dangerous early
• Tsuruya thrives in long, grinding fights
• Tsuruya’s pace may neutralize Aguilar’s submission threats

FIGHT ODDS

Jesus Aguilar      + 250

Rei Tsuruya         – 300

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026