MMA UFC Macau Match Preview: Jesus Aguilar (10-2-0) vs. Rei Tsuruya (9-0-0)

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Location: Cotai Arena, Macau, China

Broadcast: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Bout: Flyweight (125 lbs)

VENUE — COTAI ARENA (MACAU)

The Cotai Arena is one of the UFC’s most electric Asian venues, known for:

  • Fast canvas that favors scramblers and movement-heavy fighters
  • Humidity‑rich indoor environment that can tax cardio
  • Strong crowd support for Asian fighters, especially Japanese and Chinese prospects
  • 30‑foot Octagon, giving grapplers more space to shoot and scramble

Capacity: 15,000 Atmosphere: Loud, pro‑Asia, and high‑energy.

START TIME (LOCAL & US)

  • Main Card: 7:00 PM CST (Macau)
  • Prelims: 4:00 PM CST
  • US Pacific Time (Your Time):
    • Prelims: 1:00 AM PDT
    • Main Card: 4:00 AM PDT

INJURY REPORT

Jesus Aguilar

  • No reported injuries
  • Full camp completed in Mexico City
  • Weight cut expected to be smooth

Rei Tsuruya

  • Minor rib bruise in early April — fully healed
  • No current limitations
  • Completed full wrestling‑heavy camp in Hokkaido

Both fighters enter the bout healthy and cleared.

FIGHTER PROFILES & MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Jesus Aguilar

Record: 10–2 Style: Submission grappler / pressure wrestler Height/Reach: 5’4” / 64” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

  • Elite guillotine and front‑choke series
  • Strong top control
  • Relentless pressure
  • Good scrambles and transitions

Weaknesses

  • Limited striking volume
  • Can be out‑paced by faster flyweights
  • Sometimes overcommits on takedown attempts

 Rei Tsuruya

Record: 9–0 Style: High‑pace wrestling / scrambling specialist Height/Reach: 5’6” / 66” Stance: Orthodox

Strengths

  • Elite chain wrestling
  • Non‑stop pace and pressure
  • Excellent back‑takes
  • Strong cardio and durability

Weaknesses

  • Still developing striking defense
  • Can be hit clean when entering
  • Sometimes too willing to scramble instead of securing position

RECENT FORM

Jesus Aguilar — Last 5

  • Win — Submission (R1)
  • Win — Decision
  • Loss — KO
  • Win — Submission
  • Win — Decision

Aguilar is 4–1 in his last five, with two first‑round submissions. His grappling remains his most dangerous weapon.

Rei Tsuruya — Last 5

  • Win — Decision
  • Win — Submission
  • Win — Decision
  • Win — TKO
  • Win — Decision

Tsuruya is 5–0 in his last five, undefeated overall, and has shown rapid improvement in striking and control.

FIGHT HISTORY & STYLISTIC NOTES

  • First meeting between the two
  • Both fighters are grapplers, but with different styles:
    • Aguilar: submission hunter
    • Tsuruya: chain wrestler with cardio advantage
  • Aguilar’s best path: snatch a guillotine or front choke during a scramble
  • Tsuruya’s best path: win scrambles, maintain top pressure, and drown Aguilar with pace
  • If the fight goes long, Tsuruya’s cardio edge becomes a major factor

This is a high‑scramble, high‑pace grappling matchup with danger on both sides.

BETTING TRENDS

Jesus Aguilar Trends

  • 7 of 10 wins by submission
  • 4 first‑round finishes
  • 3–0 when landing the first takedown
  • 0–2 in fights that go to Round 3

Rei Tsuruya Trends

  • Undefeated (9–0)
  • 7 of 9 fights have gone the distance
  • 5–0 when landing 3+ takedowns
  • 3–0 fighting in Asia

Matchup Trends

  • Aguilar is most dangerous early
  • Tsuruya thrives in long, grinding fights
  • Tsuruya’s pace may neutralize Aguilar’s submission threats

FIGHT ODDS

Jesus Aguilar      + 250

Rei Tsuruya         – 300

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 29, 2026