Venue: Keeneland Race Course, Lexington, Kentucky
Scheduled Post Time: 4:44 PM ET
Purse: $500,000 (includes $100,000 KTDF)
Distance: 1 mile (Turf) — Rail at 10 feet
Conditions: 3‑year‑old fillies

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No race‑specific weather data was provided in the sources.
However, long‑range Lexington forecasts for April 4, 2026 project:

55–64°F

Mostly dry

Turf likely FIRM barring rain

(Inference based on regional forecasts; not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (11 Fillies)

PP #1 — Spirit Doll (15/1)

Pedigree: Tiz the Law – Pakhet

Jockey: Luan Machado

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Recent Finish: 4th in Herecomesthebride (G3)

Analysis:

A filly with improving turf form. Tiz the Law progeny are versatile, and Joseph is a high‑percentage trainer. Needs pace to close into. Exotics contender.

PP #2 — Alone Time (20/1)

Pedigree: Justify – Weekday (GB)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer: Cherie DeVaux

Recent Finish: 8th in Florida Oaks (G3)

Analysis:

Has class but inconsistent form. Ortiz is a major upgrade, but she must improve significantly. Longshot.

PP #3 — Faithful Departed (20/1)

Pedigree: Yoshida – Speed Seeker

Jockey: Jareth Loveberry

Trainer: Grant Forster

Recent Finish: 2nd in Allen LaCombe Memorial (LS)

Analysis:

A filly on the rise with strong late pace. Could surprise at a price. Live longshot.

P #4 — To a Flame (12/1)

Pedigree: Justify – Moth (IRE)

Jockey: Axel Concepcion

Trainer: George R. Arnold II

Recent Finish: 3rd in KY Downs Juvenile Fillies (LS)

Analysis:

Well‑bred and lightly raced. Arnold’s fillies often improve second off the layoff. Upset potential.

PP #5 — Kokomotion (6/1)

Pedigree: Quality Road – Zee Drop

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman

Recent Finish: 3rd in Florida Oaks (G3)

Analysis:

A major contender with strong graded‑stakes form. Quality Road fillies excel at a mile. Top‑three threat.

PP #6 — Storm’s Wake (15/1)

Pedigree: Oscar Performance – Amber Storm (IRE)

Jockey: Joel Rosario

Trainer: Brian Lynch

Recent Finish: 3rd in Herecomesthebride (G3)

Analysis:

Rosario + Lynch is a dangerous turf combo. Has the right running style for Keeneland. Value play.

PP #7 — Just Aloof (10/1)

Pedigree: Justify – Aloof (IRE)

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Chad Brown

Recent Finish: Won Jimmy Durante (G3)

Analysis:

Brown + Prat + graded win = serious contender. Should sit a perfect stalking trip. Win threat.

PP #8 — Lion Lake (IRE) (9/2)

Pedigree: Dark Angel – Urjuwaan (GB)

Jockey: John Velazquez

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Recent Finish: Won Herecomesthebride (G3)

Analysis:

The most accomplished turf filly in the field. Velazquez fits her perfectly. Top win candidate.

PP #9 — Sister Troienne (5/2, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Pedigree: Munnings – Dyna Passer

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Brian Lynch

Recent Finish: 2nd in Herecomesthebride (G3)

Analysis:

The favorite for good reason. Ortiz is lethal on Keeneland turf. Has tactical speed and consistency. Most likely winner.

PP #10 — Imaginationthelady (7/2)

Pedigree: Not This Time – Romanticism

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: Brendan Walsh

Recent Finish: Strong graded‑stakes efforts (see HRN)

Analysis:

Gaffalione dominates Keeneland turf miles. Walsh’s second runner is improving rapidly. Major contender.

PP #11 — Counterbalance (15/1)

Pedigree: Caravaggio – Out of Balance

Jockey: Luis Saez

Trainer: Michael McCarthy

Recent Finish: Noted in HRN entries

Analysis:

Saez is aggressive and may send her early. Needs a career‑best effort. Exotics only.

Track Conditions & Recent Form Summary

Keeneland turf in early April is typically FIRM unless rain intervenes (inference).

Multiple fillies exit the Herecomesthebride (G3), providing a strong form line.

Sister Troienne, Lion Lake, and Storm’s Wake all come out of that race and appear to be peaking.

Exacta Recommendations

9 over 8, 7, 10

8 over 9, 7

Trifecta Structure

9 / 8, 10 / 6, 7, 8, 10

8 / 9 / 6, 7, 10

Venue

Keeneland Race Course
4201 Versailles Rd, Lexington, KY 40510
A world‑renowned spring meet venue known for its immaculate dirt surface and fair sprint configuration.

Scheduled Post Timeis 4:12 PM ET

Purse $350,000 (includes $100,000 KTDF funds)

Distance 7 furlongs on dirt (one‑turn sprint)

Conditions

Four‑year‑olds and upward; all carry 118 lbs

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No race‑specific weather data was provided in the sources.
However, long‑range Lexington forecasts for April 4, 2026 project:

55–64°F temperatures

Mostly dry conditions

Likely FAST track barring rain

(Inference based on Bluegrass region forecasts; not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (7 Horses)

PP #1 — Be You (7/2)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Curlin – Jacaranda (by Congrats)

Jockey: John R. Velazquez

Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher

Owner: Repole Stable

Analysis:

A classy Curlin gelding with strong one‑turn form. Pletcher excels with sprinters at Keeneland, and Velazquez is a master at securing inside stalking trips. Be You is consistent, durable, and well‑spotted. A major win contender.

PP #2 — Crazy Mason (3/1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old horse

Pedigree: Coal Front – Izshelegal (by Maria’s Mon)

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Trainer: Gregory D. Sacco

Owner: Donna Wright & Reeves Thoroughbred Racing

Analysis:

The 2025 Carter Stakes (G2) winner, making his season debut. Ortiz is the most aggressive big‑race rider in America, and Crazy Mason’s tactical speed makes him dangerous at 7 furlongs. A top‑tier threat if he fires fresh.

PP #3 — Track Mate (12/1)

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old horse

Pedigree: Union Rags – Teammate (by A.P. Indy)

Jockey: Axel Concepcion

Trainer: George R. Arnold II

Owner: Calumet Farm

Analysis:

A longshot with deep pedigree and occasional big efforts. Union Rags progeny can surprise at this distance. Needs a pace meltdown to factor. Exotics only.

PP #4 — Dr. Saikali (20/1)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Bolt d’Oro – Sapphire Spitfire (by Awesome Again)

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Trainer: Ed Moger Jr.

Owner: Steve Moger

Analysis:

A lightly raced sprinter stepping up in class. Ortiz is a strong upgrade, but Dr. Saikali must improve dramatically to contend. Deep longshot.

PP #5 — National Identity (9/2)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old colt

Pedigree: Solomini – Cheyenne Autumn (by Indian Charlie)

Jockey: Joel Rosario

Trainer: Danny Gargan

Owner: Reeves Thoroughbred Racing

Analysis:

A rising sprinter with improving speed figures. Rosario’s patient, sweeping style fits Keeneland’s long stretch. National Identity is a serious upset candidate and a must‑use in multi‑race wagers.

PP #6 — Multitask (8/1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Candy Ride (ARG) – Divided Attention (by A.P. Indy)

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Trainer: David Jacobson

Owner: David Jacobson

Analysis:

A versatile gelding with strong middle‑distance pedigree. Gaffalione rides Keeneland exceptionally well. Multitask is a live mid‑price contender who could hit the board.

PP #7 — Saudi Crown (8/5, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old horse

Pedigree: Always Dreaming – New Narration (by Tapit)

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Trainer: Brad H. Cox

Owner: FMQ Stables

Analysis:

The deserving favorite. Saudi Crown is a Grade I‑caliber sprinter with elite early speed and strong finishing ability. Cox is lethal in Keeneland stakes, and Prat is one of the best tactical riders in the country. The horse to beat.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes.
However:

Keeneland’s dirt in early April typically plays FAST and fair, with slight preference to tactical speed (inference).

All runners carry 118 lbs per stakes conditions.

Exacta Recommendations

7 over 1, 2, 5

2 over 7, 1

Trifecta Structure

7 / 1, 2 / 1, 2, 5, 6

2 / 7 / 1, 5, 6

Venue: Fonner Park, Grand Island, Nebraska
Scheduled Post Time: 8:22 PM CT
Purse: $36,000 (Stakes)
Distance: 1 mile (1609m) on dirt

Expected Weather Conditions

Racenet lists broken clouds for Fonner Park’s April 5 card, which aligns with typical early‑April Nebraska weather: cool, breezy, and dry.

Temperature: ~9°C / 48°F (Punters race‑day listing)

Track: Expected FAST unless rain intervenes (inference based on typical Fonner Park conditions).

Full Field Analysis (10 Horses)

#1 — Malibu S S

Jockey: Alex Birzer

Trainer: Jerry Gourneau

Recent Form: 1313646544 (last 10)

Career: 46 starts: 12‑5‑7

Notes: “Not racing well” per Punters; hasn’t hit the board recently.

Analysis:

A veteran with back‑class but declining form. Birzer is a strong rider at Fonner, but Malibu S S will need a major turnaround. Best used underneath in exotics.

#2 — Ghost Hero

Jockey: Ricardo Martinez

Trainer: Kyle Schindler

Recent Form: x1x1x697x7

Career: 20 starts: 9‑1‑1

Notes: “Back in distance” and 0‑for‑lifetime at today’s mile trip.

Analysis:

A talented sprinter stretching back out. If he handles the mile, he’s dangerous—but his form suggests he’s better shorter. A volatile contender.

#3 — Seven Flat

Jockey: Victor Jadhir Bailon

Trainer: Annie Hansen Hines

Recent Form: 40422414×6

Career: 30 starts: 5‑3‑1

Notes: “Short starting price profile”—often bet heavily.

Analysis:

A consistent type who often takes money. Reliable mid‑pack runner who can finish. A top‑four threat.

#4 — Forced Ranking

Jockey: Travis Cunningham

Trainer: Schuyler Condon

Recent Form: 332112×425

Career: 34 starts: 6‑8‑7

Notes: Strong trainer‑jockey combo; consistent at short odds.

Analysis:

One of the most reliable horses in the field. Tactical speed and strong finishing ability make him a major win contender.

#5 — Cloudy Holiday

Jockey: Belen Quinonez

Trainer: Luiz Antonio Arceo

Recent Form: 235x42169x

Career: 22 starts: 2‑4‑4

Analysis:

A grinder who occasionally pops at a price. Needs pace to collapse. A deep exotic option.

#6 — Shifty Gold

Jockey: Chris Fackler

Trainer: Schuyler Condon

Recent Form: x2543608x7

Career: 11 starts: 2‑1‑1

Analysis:

Lightly raced but inconsistent. Condon’s second runner in the field. Capable of improvement but must prove he belongs at this level.

#7 — Nullarbor

Jockey: Nathan Haar

Trainer: Larry D. Donlin Jr.

Recent Form: 2352153×87

Career: 36 starts: 6‑6‑4

Notes: Alternates between short and long odds.

Analysis:

A tricky horse to read—can fire big or flop. If he gets a clean trip, he’s a live longshot.

#8 — Shankapotamus

Trainer: S. Rushton

Listed in Racenet’s R9 trainer index

Analysis:

No form data provided in Punters, but Rushton is a capable conditioner. Needs deeper research for confidence. A wildcard.

#9 — Time Muse

Jockey: Jose Angel Medina

Trainer: D. C. Anderson

Recent Form: Not listed in detail (Punters index only)

Analysis:

Anderson is a steady Fonner trainer. Time Muse is likely a mid‑pack type. Hard to endorse without form, but not impossible.

#10 — Sprint Out Pass

Trainer: K. Martinez

Listed in Racenet’s R9 trainer index

Analysis:

Another entry with limited form data. Martinez is a high‑volume trainer at Fonner. Could be a pace factor.

Track Conditions & Form Notes

Surface: Dirt

Condition: Expected FAST (inference; no rain indicated)

Race shape: Several pace‑pressers → likely honest to fast pace

Punters provides detailed last‑10 form for runners #1–7, confirming:

Forced Ranking (#4) is the most consistent.

Seven Flat (#3) and Nullarbor (#7) often start at short odds.

Malibu S S (#1) is out of form.

Exacta Recommendations

4 over 2, 3, 7

3 over 4, 2

Trifecta Structure

4 / 3, 2 / 3, 2, 5, 7

3 / 4 / 2, 5, 7

Venue: Evangeline Downs, Opelousas, Louisiana
Scheduled Post Time: 9:07 PM CT
Purse: $100,000
Distance: 1 mile (Dirt)
Conditions: 4‑year‑olds & up

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No official weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April Louisiana conditions:

Mid‑60s to low‑70s°F

Humid with light breeze

Dirt surface typically fast unless rain intervenes

Evangeline’s mile configuration often favors tactical speed and pressers.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (8 Horses)

PP #1 — Perry County (5/2)

Pedigree: Collected – Tyrannical

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old colt

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Timothy Thornton

Trainer: Veronica Litfin

Owner: Veronica Litfin

Analysis:

A talented colt who nearly shocked the Super Derby, finishing a close second to Instant Replay. He has tactical speed and proven mile stamina. Thornton is one of the strongest riders at Evangeline. A major win contender.

PP #2 — Authentic Gallop (6/1)

Pedigree: Authentic – Galloping Ami

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 123 lbs

Jockey: Kevin Roman

Trainer: Kinnon LaRose

Owner: D and N Racing, LLC

Analysis:

A well‑bred gelding by Kentucky Derby winner Authentic. Carries top weight but has the class to stay competitive. Roman is an aggressive rider who may send him early. A live mid‑price option.

PP #3 — Feelthebeat (20/1)

Pedigree: Cupid – Shelby’s Song

Age/Sex: 7‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Edward Santiago

Trainer: Raul Quinones

Owner: Adonai Quinones Stable

Analysis:

A veteran with experience but limited graded‑stakes success. Likely to sit mid‑pack and hope for a pace collapse. Exotics only.

PP #4 — Great Escape (15/1)

Pedigree: Midnight Storm – Chickasaw Gal

Age/Sex: 7‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Harry Hernandez

Trainer: Robertino Diodoro

Owner: Multiple partnership group

Analysis:

A graded‑stakes winner (Canadian Derby G3) with back‑class. Diodoro is a high‑percentage trainer, and Hernandez is a strong finisher. If he returns to his best form, he is a dangerous longshot.

PP #5 — Brite Outlook (8/1)

Pedigree: Anchor Down – Betty Brite

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 121 lbs

Jockey: Julio Ramirez Jr.

Trainer: Benard Chatters

Owner: P.T. Thoroughbreds LLC

Analysis:

A consistent runner with solid local form. Has enough tactical speed to stay involved early. A useful value play.

PP #6 — Mr McGregor (4/1)

Pedigree: Into Mischief – Sweet Bliss

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Joel Dominguez

Trainer: Juan Munoz Cano

Owner: Juan Munoz Cano

Analysis:

Into Mischief progeny are versatile and durable. Mr McGregor has strong mile form and a reliable closing kick. Dominguez fits him well. A top‑three contender.

PP #7 — Zambezi (9/5, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Pedigree: Candy Ride (ARG) – Sahara Wind

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 123 lbs

Jockey: Colby J. Hernandez

Trainer: Michael J. Maker

Owner: Paradise Farms Corp. & David Staudacher

Analysis:

The deserving favorite. Maker ships in a powerful gelding with elite mile credentials. Candy Ride offspring excel at this distance. Hernandez is a top Louisiana rider. Zambezi is the most likely winner on paper.

PP #8 — The Donegal Clan (12/1)

Pedigree: Twirling Candy – Auntjenn

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Jamison Mudd

Trainer: Dane Noel

Owner: Donegal Racing

Analysis:

A capable gelding with decent late pace. Needs a perfect trip to threaten. Deep exotic option.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes.
However:

Evangeline Downs dirt is typically fast in early April (inference).

Weight assignments range from 119–123 lbs per stakes conditions.

Exacta Recommendations

7 over 1, 6, 4

1 over 7, 6

Trifecta Structure

7 / 1, 6 / 1, 4, 5, 6

1 / 7 / 4, 5, 6

Venue: Evangeline Downs, Opelousas, Louisiana
Scheduled Post Time: 8:13 PM CT
Purse: $60,000
Distance: 6 furlongs (Dirt)
Conditions: 3‑year‑olds; weight 122 lbs (allowances apply)

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No official weather data was provided in the sources.
Typical early‑April Louisiana conditions:

Mid‑60s to low‑70s°F

Humid with light breeze

Track typically fast unless rain intervenes

Evangeline’s dirt surface often plays speed‑favoring in warm, dry conditions.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (8 Horses)

PP #1 — Falcon Cove (2/1)

Sire: Knicks Go

Jockey: Kevin Roman

Trainer: Brett A. Brinkman

Weight: 116 lbs

Owner/Breeder: Marablue Farm LLC

Analysis:

The morning‑line favorite. Falcon Cove brings elite sprint pedigree via Knicks Go and has tactical speed that fits perfectly at 6 furlongs. Brinkman is strong with Louisiana‑based sprinters, and the inside draw gives Falcon Cove the option to send or sit just off the pace. A top win candidate.

PP #2 — Skenes Crews (8/1)

Sire: Shancelot

Jockey: Casey Fusilier

Trainer: Allen Landry

Weight: 118 lbs

Owner: Larry J. Romero

Breeder: J. Adcock & Nathan Granger

Analysis:

A capable gelding with improving speed figures. Landry’s barn is dangerous with mid‑price sprinters. Skenes Crews has enough early foot to stay close but must avoid getting caught wide. A live longshot for exotics.

PP #3 — Atmosphere (9/2)

Sire: Caravaggio

Jockey: Juan P. Vargas

Trainer: Juan A. Larrosa

Weight: 116 lbs

Owner/Breeder: Levings Racing LLC

Analysis:

A well‑bred colt with a strong finishing kick. Caravaggio offspring often excel at middle‑distance sprints. Larrosa has two entries (#3 and #5), giving him tactical flexibility. Atmosphere is a major contender if the pace is hot.

PP #4 — Mr Mo Money (6/1)

Sire: Mr. Money

Jockey: Thomas L. Pompell

Trainer: Brett A. Brinkman

Weight: 122 lbs

Owner: Walter Horton

Breeder: Allied Racing Stable LLC

Analysis:

The stablemate to Falcon Cove. Mr Mo Money carries top weight but has the class and experience to handle it. Expect him to sit mid‑pack and make a grinding run. A serious upset threat.

PP #5 — Range Goat (15/1)

Sire: Bolt d’Oro

Jockey: Joel Dominguez

Trainer: Juan A. Larrosa

Weight: 116 lbs

Owner/Breeder: Levings Racing LLC

Analysis:

A longshot with upside. Bolt d’Oro progeny often show late development. Range Goat may be pace‑compromised but could clunk up for a minor share. Exotics only.

PP #6 — Tiz Mary’s Comet (5/2)

Sire: Good Samaritan

Jockey: Devin H. Magnon

Trainer: Rylee Magnon

Weight: 116 lbs

Owner: Michael H. Rotstein & Olof LLC

Breeder: Norman Stables LLC

Analysis:

The second choice on the morning line. Tiz Mary’s Comet has strong early speed and consistent form. Magnon’s barn is sharp with young sprinters. Expect him to press Falcon Cove early. A top‑two contender.

PP #7 — High Cinco (10/1)

Sire: Cinco Charlie

Jockey: Timothy Thornton

Trainer: Danny Pish

Weight: 122 lbs

Owner: Gee Family Racing LLC

Breeder: GFB Racing LLC

Analysis:

A tough gelding with strong Louisiana form. Pish is a high‑percentage trainer at Evangeline. High Cinco’s outside draw is tricky, but if he clears early, he becomes dangerous. A value play.

PP #8 — Spectacle (12/1)

Sire: Twirling Candy

Jockey: Harry Hernandez

Trainer: Robertino Diodoro

Weight: 116 lbs

Owner: Chris Aulds, Norman Tremblay, Sheila Regan & Surging Sky

Breeder: Blue Devil Racing Stable LLC

Analysis:

Diodoro is a top‑tier trainer who wins everywhere he ships. Spectacle has the pedigree and connections to outrun his odds. If the pace melts down, he could be the late‑running spoiler.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes.
However:

Evangeline Downs dirt is typically fast unless rain intervenes.

Weight assignments follow stakes conditions: 116–122 lbs.

Exacta Recommendations

1 over 3, 6, 7

6 over 1, 3

Trifecta Structure

1 / 3, 6 / 3, 6, 7, 8

6 / 1 / 3, 7, 8

Venue: Evangeline Downs, Opelousas, Louisiana
Scheduled Post Time: 6:24 PM CT
Purse: $50,000
Distance: 6 1/2 furlongs (Dirt)
Conditions: Alabama‑breds, 3‑year‑olds & up, non‑winners of a $50,000 Alabama stakes race

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April Louisiana conditions include:

Mid‑60s to low‑70s°F

Humid, light breeze

Chance of scattered clouds

Evangeline’s dirt surface generally plays fair to slightly speed‑favoring in mild spring weather.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (7 Horses)

PP #1 — Wendy’s Myla

Age/Sex: 3‑year‑old filly

Weight: 114 lbs

Jockey: Elio J. Barrera

Trainer: Aubrie Suarez

Pedigree: Wendy Wend – Alluvials Princess

Owner/Breeder: Hackett Brothers Thoroughbreds, Inc.

Analysis:

A lightly raced filly with strong local connections. Suarez is effective with young sprinters, and the 114‑lb weight break is meaningful. Expect her to show early speed from the rail. A live longshot if she breaks sharply.

PP #2 — Chamois’ Splendor

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old mare

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Edward Santiago

Trainer: Ronnie P. Ward

Pedigree: Chamois – She’s So Chic

Owner/Breeder: Ronnie P. Ward / Bobby G. Pruitt

Analysis:

A seasoned mare with tactical speed. Ward’s runners often fire fresh, and Santiago is a capable pace‑stalker. She fits well at this level and is a top‑three contender.

PP #3 — Can See Da Feet

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Julio Ramirez Jr.

Trainer: Sherman Savoie

Pedigree: Divide and Conquer – Bornupatree

Owner/Breeder: Live‑Lee Farm (Lila L. Sessums)

Analysis:

A consistent gelding with mid‑pack running style. Savoie trains both this runner and #4, giving him a strong hand. Needs pace to close into. A useful exotic piece.

PP #4 — Moor to Conquer

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old mare

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Carlos Lozada

Trainer: Sherman Savoie

Pedigree: Divide and Conquer – Moor N Mountain

Owner/Breeder: Live‑Lee Farm (Lila L. Sessums)

Analysis:

A stablemate to #3 with similar form. She has shown flashes of late‑run ability and benefits from Lozada’s patient riding style. A mid‑price threat if the pace collapses.

PP #5 — Get the Gate

Age/Sex: 3‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 114 lbs

Jockey: Jonuelle Peña

Trainer: Eric D. Nelson Jr.

Pedigree: Divide and Conquer – Vidi Vici

Owner/Breeder: Dennis & Mary Ellen Murphy

Analysis:

A lightly raced 3‑year‑old with upside. The weight allowance helps, and Peña is an aggressive rider. Could be dangerous on the front end if he clears early.

PP #6 — Mr Rager

Age/Sex: 3‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 114 lbs

Jockey: Emanuel Nieves

Trainer: Jonathan Wong

Pedigree: Doc N Bubba G – Ausbrook

Owner/Breeder: Kent & Lisa Gremmels

Analysis:

Wong ships in a sharp young sprinter. Mr Rager has shown strong early fractions and may be the fastest horse early. If he handles the stretch‑out to 6.5 furlongs, he is a serious win candidate.

PP #7 — Unaffiliated

Age/Sex: 7‑year‑old gelding

Weight: 119 lbs

Jockey: Joel Dominguez

Trainer: Aubrie Suarez

Pedigree: Americain – Track Teller

Owner/Breeder: Laurie Sanderson & Nanette Cartier

Analysis:

The veteran of the field. Unaffiliated brings experience and stamina but may lack the early punch of younger rivals. Best used underneath in trifectas.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes or track‑condition‑specific performance for each horse.
However:

Evangeline’s dirt surface is typically fast unless rain intervenes.

Weight assignments follow stakes conditions: 3‑year‑olds at 114 lbs, older horses at 119–125 lbs.

Exacta Recommendations

6 over 1, 2, 5

2 over 6, 1

Trifecta Structure

6 / 1, 2 / 1, 2, 4, 5

2 / 6 / 1, 4, 5

Venue: Aqueduct Racetrack, Ozone Park, Queens, NY
Scheduled Post Time: 6:34 PM ET
Purse: $750,000
Distance: 1 1/8 miles (Dirt)
Conditions: 3‑year‑olds; Kentucky Derby qualifying race (100–50–25–15–10 points)

This is the final Wood Memorial ever run at Aqueduct, as the track is scheduled to close later in 2026.

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No direct weather data was provided in the sources.
Typical early‑April Aqueduct conditions:

Low–mid 50s°F

Light winds

Possible overcast

This generally produces a fair, slightly speed‑favoring dirt surface.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (12 Horses)

PP #1 — Napoleon Solo (7‑2)

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Trainer: Chad Summers

Pedigree: Liam’s Map – Atomic Blonde

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A Champagne Stakes winner with strong early speed. His fifth‑place finish in the Fountain of Youth was disappointing, but he returns to New York, where he has run his best races. Lopez is aggressive and should send him early. A major win contender.

PP #2 — Talk to Me Jimmy (6‑1)

Jockey: Ruben Silvera

Trainer: Rudy Rodriguez

Pedigree: Modernist – Prairie Trip

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A gritty colt with improving speed figures. Rodriguez excels with NYRA‑based 3‑year‑olds. Expect a stalking trip. A live mid‑price option.

PP #3 — Right to Party (20‑1)

Jockey: Christopher Elliott

Trainer: Kenny McPeek

Pedigree: Constitution – Havin’ a Party

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A longshot with stamina breeding. McPeek’s horses often improve with distance, but he must take a big step forward to contend. Exotics only.

PP #4 — Steel (12‑1)

Jockey: Sahin Civaci

Trainer: Bill Mott

Pedigree: Tapit – Snuggs and Kisses

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A beautifully bred Tapit colt who should relish 9 furlongs. Mott is patient, and this one may be peaking at the right time. A dangerous sleeper.

PP #5 — Ocelli (20‑1)

Jockey: Joseph Ramos

Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman

Pedigree: Connect – Zalia

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A deep longshot who has yet to show graded‑stakes ability. Would need a major leap forward.

PP #6 — Minorinconvenience (30‑1)

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer: Amelia Green

Pedigree: Mendelssohn – Skyler’s Lil Cutie

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A pace‑dependent colt who may show early foot but is unlikely to stay the 9‑furlong trip. Pass.

PP #7 — Albus (12‑1)

Jockey: Jaime Torres

Trainer: Riley Mott

Pedigree: Yaupon – Adream

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A lightly raced colt with upside. Riley Mott spots him ambitiously. Could hit the board at a price.

PP #8 — Courting (8‑1)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Pedigree: Curlin – Cavorting

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

One of the best‑bred horses in the field. Curlin × Cavorting screams stamina and class. Pletcher is lethal

in Derby preps. A major contender.

PP #9 — Bravaro (8‑1)

Jockey: Edwin Gonzalez

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Pedigree: Upstart – Opera Star

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A consistent colt with tactical speed. Joseph ships in live runners. A must‑use in trifectas.

PP #10 — Red Zone Runner (30‑1)

Jockey: Mychel Sanchez

Trainer: Hugo Padilla

Pedigree: Practical Joke – Look Deep

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A deep longshot with sprint‑leaning pedigree. Distance is a major question.

PP #11 — Ottinho (SCR)

Trainer: Chad Brown

Note: Scratched and rerouted to the Blue Grass Stakes.

PP #12 — Buetane (8‑1)

Jockey: Martin Garcia

Trainer: Bob Baffert

Pedigree: Tiz the Law – Taboo

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

A powerful colt with strong West Coast speed. Baffert shipping to NYRA is always notable. A serious upset threat.

PP #13 — Iron Honor (5‑2, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Chad Brown

Pedigree: Nyquist – Orencia

Weight: 123 lbs

Analysis:

The Gotham Stakes winner and undefeated in two starts. Brown adds blinkers, and Franco fits him perfectly. His pace‑pressing style is ideal for Aqueduct. The deserving favorite and most likely winner.

Recent Form & Track Conditions

Iron Honor enters off a Grade III Gotham win with a pace‑pressing trip.

Napoleon Solo exits a disappointing Fountain of Youth, but returns to NY where he excels.

Track conditions for April 4 are not yet published, but Aqueduct dirt in early spring typically plays fair with slight speed bias (inference).

Exacta Recommendations

13 over 1, 8, 9, 12

8 over 13, 1

Trifecta Structure

13 / 1, 8 / 1, 8, 9, 12

8 / 13 / 1, 9, 12

Venue: Aqueduct Racetrack, Ozone Park, Queens, NY
Scheduled Post Time: 5:56 PM ET
Purse: $200,000
Distance: 1 1/8 miles (dirt)
Conditions: Fillies, 3‑years‑old; Lasix prohibited within 48 hours per HISA Rule 4212

This race is a major Kentucky Oaks prep, awarding 100–50–25–15–10 qualifying points to the top five finishers.

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No official weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April Aqueduct conditions:

Low–mid 50s°F

Light winds

Possible overcast

This usually produces a fair, slightly speed‑favoring dirt surface.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (9 Fillies)

PP #1 — Paradise (5/2)

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Brad Cox

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Gun Runner – Venetian Harbor (by Munnings)

Analysis:

A blue‑blooded filly from a powerhouse barn. Gun Runner progeny excel at two‑turn dirt routes, and the dam Venetian Harbor was a Grade I‑placed sprinter/miler. Franco is NYRA’s most reliable big‑race rider. Paradise projects a stalking trip and is a top win contender.

PP #2 — Always a Runner (4/1)

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Trainer: Chad Brown

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Gun Runner – Always Carina (by Malibu Moon)

Analysis:

Chad Brown rarely enters a Gazelle filly unless she’s live. Strong pedigree for routing, and Davis rides Aqueduct extremely well. Expect her to sit mid‑pack and grind home. A major threat.

PP #3 — Nycon (6/1)

Jockey: Jaime A. Torres

Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Nyquist – Raise the Flag (by Awesome Again)

Analysis:

Nyquist offspring often show tactical speed and stamina. Nycon has the pedigree to stretch out and could be a value play if she improves second time routing.

PP #4 — Two Bits (9/2)

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Trainer: Amelia J. Green

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: American Pharoah – Spare Change (by Bernardini)

Analysis:

American Pharoah × Bernardini is elite classic‑distance breeding. Two Bits should relish 1 1/8 miles. If she gets a clean stalking trip, she’s a serious upset candidate.

PP #5 — Baffle (12/1)

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Violence – Please Flatter Me (by Munnings)

Analysis:

Pletcher has won this race multiple times. Baffle is lightly raced and improving. Carmouche is dangerous on the front end at Aqueduct. A live longshot.

PP #6 — Pashmina (7/2)

Jockey: Ramon A. Vazquez

Trainer: Rob Atras

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Constitution – Panthera Onca (by Super Saver)

Analysis:

Constitution fillies are strong at middle distances. Pashmina has the right running style for the Gazelle—tactical, consistent, and improving. A top‑three contender.

PP #7 — Hot Gossip (20/1)

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Trainer: Linda Rice

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Curlin – Fixate (by Bodemeister)

Analysis:

Curlin fillies improve with distance and maturity. Hot Gossip is bred to run all day but may lack the speed of the top contenders. Best used underneath in trifectas.

PP #8 — Victory Hall (20/1)

Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.

Trainer: Thomas Morley

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Independence Hall – (dam by TBD)

Analysis:

A longshot with some upside. Santana is a strong stakes rider, but Victory Hall must improve significantly to contend. A deep exotic option.

🐎 PP #9 — Slow Kara (12/1)

Jockey: Javier Castellano

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Weight: 123 lbs

Pedigree: Gun Runner – (dam by TBD)

Analysis:

Castellano + Gun Runner is a dangerous combination. Slow Kara has the pedigree and rider to outrun her odds. A sneaky upset possibility if pace collapses.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes.
However:

All fillies carry 123 lbs per stakes conditions.

Aqueduct’s dirt in early April typically plays fair, with slight preference to tactical speed (inference).

Exacta Recommendations

1 over 6, 2, 4

6 over 1, 2

Trifecta Structure

1 / 6, 2 / 4, 9, 5

6 / 1 / 2, 4, 9

Venue

Aqueduct Racetrack
Ozone Park, Queens, New York
A historic NYRA dirt oval known for its long stretch and fair-but-demanding surface.

Scheduled Post Time 5:25 PM ET

Purse – $150,000

Distance – 7 furlongs on dirt (one‑turn sprint)

Conditions

Fillies & Mares, 4‑years‑old and up
Lasix prohibited within 48 hours per HISA Rule 4212.

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April Aqueduct conditions include:

Low–mid 50s°F

Light winds

Potential overcast or light drizzle

This usually produces a neutral-to-slightly speed‑favoring dirt track.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (8 Horses)

All horses, posts, weights, and morning‑line odds are sourced from BloodHorse.

Below is a horse‑by‑horse breakdown including pedigree, connections, and performance profile.

PP #1 — Takethemoneyhoney (7/2)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old mare

Pedigree: Golden Lad – Goodonehoney

Jockey: Eliseo Ruiz

Trainer: Michael M. Moore

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A Maryland‑bred stakes winner with proven grit. Her pedigree leans toward stamina and late kick, making her dangerous if the pace collapses. Moore’s runners often show consistency, and the rail draw gives her a ground‑saving trip. A major contender if she fires her best.

PP #2 — Boutwell Time (20/1)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old filly

Pedigree: Not This Time – Del Mar May

Jockey: Christopher Elliott

Trainer: Juan Carlos Guerrero

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A longshot with limited graded‑stakes experience. Not This Time offspring can show big improvement at four, but she will need a career‑best effort. Likely an underneath exotic candidate.

PP #3 — Jody’s Pride (4/1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old mare

Pedigree: American Pharoah – Jody’s Song

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Trainer: Jorge R. Abreu

Weight: 124 lbs

Analysis:

A classy mare with tactical speed and a strong finishing punch. American Pharoah progeny excel at one‑turn distances. Lopez is an aggressive rider who fits her forward‑placing style. A top‑tier win threat.

PP #4 — Lucille Ball (12/1)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old filly

Pedigree: Lord Nelson – Sassy Redhead

Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.

Trainer: Chris J. Englehart

Weight: 120 lbs

Analysis:

A mid‑price filly with improving speed figures. Santana is excellent on NYRA circuits and may try to secure a stalking position. Needs a step forward to win but is not without upset potential.

PP #5 — With the Angels (3/1)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old filly

Pedigree: Omaha Beach – Sister Margaret

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Trainer: Linda Rice

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

The second choice on the morning line. Omaha Beach progeny are excelling at 7 furlongs nationwide. Rice is lethal with NYRA sprinters, and Lezcano is a perfect fit for her tactical style. A major win candidate.

PP #6 — Hold Your Breath (9/2)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old filly

Pedigree: McKinzie – Illicit Affair

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: John C. Servis

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A lightly raced filly with upside. McKinzie’s first crops have shown strong sprint ability. Carmouche is one of the best pace‑judging riders at Aqueduct. A live mid‑price contender.

PP #7 — Immersive (7/5, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old filly

Pedigree: Nyquist – Gap Year

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Brad Cox

Weight: 120 lbs

Analysis:

The clear favorite and the class of the field. Cox ships her in with intent, and Franco is riding at peak form. Nyquist progeny are versatile and powerful at one‑turn distances. Immersive projects to sit just off the pace and unleash a strong stretch run. The horse to beat.

PP #8 — Grammy Girl (6/1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old mare

Pedigree: Mastery – Song Girl

Jockey: Javier Castellano

Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr.

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A consistent mare with strong late pace figures. Castellano’s patient style suits her perfectly. She will need a fast pace to set up her closing kick. A dangerous outsider.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes or specific track‑condition performance for each horse.
However:

All runners carry between 120–124 lbs based on graded‑stakes allowances.

Aqueduct’s spring dirt typically plays fair, with slight preference to tactical speed.

Exacta Recommendations

7 over 5, 3, 1

5 over 7, 3

Trifecta Structure

7 / 5, 3 / 1, 5, 6, 8

5 / 7 / 1, 3, 6

Venue: Aqueduct Racetrack, Ozone Park, Queens, New York
Scheduled Post Time: 3:16 PM ET
Purse: $300,000
Distance: 7 furlongs (Dirt)
Conditions: 4‑year‑olds & up

Expected Weather Conditions (Inference)

No direct weather data was provided in the retrieved sources.
Typical early‑April conditions at Aqueduct:

Low–mid 50s°F

Light breeze

Potential overcast

This generally produces neutral‑to‑slightly speed‑favoring dirt conditions.
(Inference only — not sourced.)

Full Field Analysis (6 Horses)

PP #1 — Point Dume (4‑1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Into Mischief – Maya Malibu

Jockey: Edwin Gonzalez

Trainer: Timothy Kreiser

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A consistent sprinter with tactical speed. Into Mischief progeny excel at 7 furlongs, and Point Dume fits the profile of a horse who can sit just behind the leaders and pounce. Kreiser’s runners often show early foot, making him a live upset candidate if the pace is moderate.

PP #2 — Book’em Danno (1‑1, Morning‑Line Favorite)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Bucchero – Adorabella

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Trainer: Derek Ryan

Weight: 124 lbs

Analysis:

The reigning Champion Male Sprinter and three‑time New Jersey‑bred Horse of the Year makes his seasonal debut. He owns multiple graded wins, including the G1 Forego, G2 Vanderbilt, and G3 True North. Ryan reports he is bigger, stronger, and training better than last year, with sharp works at Tampa Bay Downs before shipping north.

He has won his seasonal debut three years in a row, making him the clear horse to beat.

PP #3 — Acoustic Ave (20‑1)

Age/Sex: 6‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Maclean’s Music – Rock Ave. Road

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Trainer: Linda Rice

Weight: 120 lbs

Analysis:

A longshot with early speed but inconsistent finishing ability at graded‑stakes level. Rice is excellent with sprinters, but Acoustic Ave will need a career‑best effort to threaten this field. Best used underneath in exotic wagers.

PP #4 — Be You (6‑1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Curlin – Jacaranda

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A well‑bred Curlin gelding with strong late‑running ability. Pletcher spots him aggressively here, suggesting confidence. Carmouche rides Aqueduct extremely well and could benefit from a hot early pace. A legitimate win threat if the favorite falters.

PP #5 — Rated by Merit (8‑5)

Age/Sex: 4‑year‑old colt

Pedigree: Battalion Runner – Banner Waving

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Trainer: Chad Brown

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

The second choice on the morning line. Brown rarely enters sprinters in the Carter unless they are live. Rated by Merit is lightly raced with improving speed figures and strong gallop‑out metrics. Franco’s patient style fits perfectly for a stalking trip. A major contender.

PP #6 — Quint’s Brew (8‑1)

Age/Sex: 5‑year‑old gelding

Pedigree: Mosler – Gansett

Jockey: Forest Boyce

Trainer: Edward Allard

Weight: 122 lbs

Analysis:

A Maryland‑bred stakes winner stepping up in class. Boyce knows him well, and Allard’s horses often outrun their odds. However, this is a steep jump into Grade II company. A fringe contender for minor awards.

Recent Finishes & Track Conditions

The retrieved sources did not provide recent race‑by‑race finishes for each horse.
However:

Book’em Danno’s 2024 campaign included multiple graded wins and a career‑best 111 Beyer in the Vanderbilt.

Quint’s Brew enters in good form off Maryland stakes success.

Track conditions for April 4 are not yet published, but Aqueduct’s main track typically plays fair to slightly speed‑favoring in cool spring weather.

Series Context

The Carter Stakes is one of Aqueduct’s signature sprint races for older horses and a key early‑season test for championship‑level sprinters. It is part of a blockbuster card that also includes the Wood Memorial, Gazelle, Distaff, and Excelsior Stakes.

Suggested Exacta

2 over 5, 4, 1

5 over 2, 4

Trifecta Structure

2 / 5, 4 / 1, 3, 6

5 / 2 / 1, 4, 6