Probable Pitchers: RHP Bryce Elder (ATL) vs. RHP Logan Webb (SF) Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026 Location: Oracle Park – San Francisco, California

First Pitch: 7:15 PM PT / 10:15 PM ET

Broadcast: Bally Sports South / NBC Sports Bay Area / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Oracle Park

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~41,900

Dimensions:

LF: 339 ft

CF: 391 ft

RF: 309 ft (Triples Alley in deep right‑center)

Ballpark Factors:

One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks

Suppresses HRs to right‑center

Boosts triples and doubles

Impact:

Favors ground‑ball pitchers like Webb

Braves’ power bats slightly muted

Weather Forecast – San Francisco, CA

Temperature: 62–65°F

Wind: 12–16 mph blowing out toward right‑center

Humidity: High coastal air

Conditions: Clear, breezy

Impact:

Wind helps balls carry to right‑center

Still overall pitcher‑friendly due to dense marine layer

Slight boost to left‑handed pull hitters

Injury Report

Atlanta Braves

Ronald Acuña Jr. – ACTIVE

Matt Olson – ACTIVE

Austin Riley – ACTIVE

Ozzie Albies – DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)

Spencer Strider – OUT (elbow)

San Francisco Giants

Michael Conforto – ACTIVE

Jorge Soler – ACTIVE

Patrick Bailey – DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)

Kyle Harrison – OUT (shoulder)

Camilo Doval – OUT (lat strain)

Probable Pitchers

Atlanta – RHP Bryce Elder

2026 Season: 6–5, 4.02 ERA, 1.28 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–2, 3.71 ERA

Strengths:

Heavy sinker generates ground balls

Effective vs. right‑handed hitters

Keeps ball in the park

Concerns:

Giants’ lefties (Yastrzemski, Wade Jr.) match up well

Can struggle when pitching from behind in counts

San Francisco – RHP Logan Webb

2026 Season: 7–7, 3.33 ERA, 1.17 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 2–2, 2.98 ERA

Strengths:

Elite ground‑ball rate

Excellent command

Dominant at home (career ERA at Oracle Park consistently low‑3s)

Concerns:

Braves’ lineup is patient and can elevate pitch counts

Vulnerable to left‑handed power (Olson, Harris II)

Team Records & Recent Form

Atlanta Braves (49–41)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 23–21

Run Differential: +54

Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but dangerous

San Francisco Giants (33–48)

Last 10: 3–7

Home Record: 18–23

Run Differential: -67

Trend: Offense struggling; bullpen thin; rotation relying heavily on Webb

Series History

2025 Season Series: Braves won 4–2

2026 Season Series: Braves lead 1–0 (won 6–2 on June 26)

At Oracle Park (last 12): Braves lead 8–4

Key Trend: Atlanta’s pitching has consistently outperformed SF’s offense

Key Player Matchups

Matt Olson (ATL) vs. Logan Webb

Edge: Atlanta

Olson handles sinkerballers well and Oracle Park’s wind to right‑center helps his power.

Michael Conforto (SF) vs. Bryce Elder

Edge: Giants

Conforto thrives vs. sinker/changeup pitchers and benefits from wind blowing out.

Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) vs. Giants’ Outfield Defense

Edge: Atlanta

Acuña’s speed and gap power are dangerous in Oracle’s large outfield.

Jorge Soler (SF) vs. Braves’ Bullpen

Edge: Even

Soler has power to all fields, but Atlanta’s bullpen has been strong in June.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Braves	Giants	Edge
Runs/Game	4.92	4.11	Braves
Team ERA	3.88	4.52	Braves
Bullpen ERA	3.61	4.47	Braves
HR	112	78	Braves
OPS	.759	.701	Braves
Defensive Runs Saved	+14	-6	Braves

Atlanta dominates nearly every category.

Betting Trends

Braves are 7–3 in their last 10 vs. SF

Giants are 3–9 in their last 12 overall

Braves unders have hit in 6 of last 9

Giants unders have hit in 5 of last 8

Webb has a 2.98 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Atlanta Braves                  7.5

San Francisco Giants      – 127

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) vs. RHP Reiss Vásquez (SD)

Location: Petco Park – San Diego, California

First Pitch: 7:15 PM PT / 10:15 PM ET

Broadcast: FOX / SportsNet LA / Bally Sports San Diego / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Petco Park

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~40,200

Dimensions:

LF: 336 ft

CF: 396 ft

RF: 322 ft

Ballpark Factors:

One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks

Suppresses HRs to center and right‑center

Boosts doubles down the lines

Impact:

Favors Yamamoto’s command‑first style

Slightly limits LA’s power but enhances their gap hitting

Weather Forecast – San Diego, CA

Temperature: 71–74°F

Wind: 7–10 mph blowing out to left

Humidity: Moderate

Conditions: Clear, mild coastal evening

Impact:

Slight boost to right‑handed pull hitters

Otherwise pitcher‑friendly environment

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts – ACTIVE

Freddie Freeman – ACTIVE

Shohei Ohtani – ACTIVE

Max Muncy – OUT (oblique)

Walker Buehler – OUT (elbow)

San Diego Padres

Fernando Tatis Jr. – ACTIVE

Manny Machado – ACTIVE

Xander Bogaerts – DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)

Yu Darvish – OUT (shoulder)

Robert Suarez – OUT (forearm)

Probable Pitchers

Los Angeles – RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto

2026 Season: 9–3, 2.88 ERA, 1.07 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 4–1, 2.41 ERA

Strengths:

Elite command

Devastating splitter

Excellent vs. both lefties and righties

Concerns:

Padres’ lineup is aggressive early in counts

Petco’s deep alleys can turn fly balls into doubles

San Diego – RHP Reiss Vásquez

2026 Season: 5–5, 4.19 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 2–2, 4.02 ERA

Strengths:

Good fastball/slider combo

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Keeps ball in the park at home

Concerns:

Dodgers’ left‑handed bats (Freeman, Ohtani, Lux) match up well

Can struggle with command when behind in counts

Team Records & Recent Form

Los Angeles Dodgers (52–30)

Last 10: 7–3

Road Record: 25–17

Run Differential: +92

Trend: Offense rolling; rotation stabilizing; bullpen sharp

San Diego Padres (43–37)

Last 10: 5–5

Home Record: 21–18

Run Differential: +18

Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching competitive but thin

Series History

2025 Season Series: Dodgers won 11–8

2026 Season Series: Dodgers lead 2–1

At Petco Park (last 20): Dodgers lead 13–7

Key Trend: LA consistently out‑pitches San Diego in this ballpark

Key Player Matchups

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs. Reiss Vásquez

Edge: Dodgers

Ohtani crushes sliders and has been red‑hot in June. Vásquez’s pitch mix plays directly into his strengths.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Edge: Dodgers (slightly)

Tatis handles velocity well, but Yamamoto’s splitter neutralizes aggressive hitters. If Tatis doesn’t produce, SD’s offense struggles.

Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Petco Park Dimensions

Edge: Dodgers

Freeman’s gap‑to‑gap power thrives in Petco’s spacious alleys.

Manny Machado (SD) vs. Dodgers’ Bullpen

Edge: Even

Machado excels in late‑inning leverage spots, but LA’s bullpen has been elite in June.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Dodgers	Padres	Edge
Runs/Game	5.01	4.42	Dodgers
Team ERA	3.52	4.07	Dodgers
Bullpen ERA	3.31	3.89	Dodgers
HR	112	89	Dodgers
OPS	.768	.726	Dodgers
Defensive Runs Saved	+18	+7	Dodgers

The Dodgers hold clear advantages across all major categories.

Betting Trends

Dodgers are 8–3 in Yamamoto’s last 11 starts

Padres are 4–7 in their last 11 home games

Dodgers overs have hit in 6 of last 9

Padres unders have hit in 5 of last 8

Dodgers are 13–7 in their last 20 at Petco Park

Game Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers      – 190

San Diego Padres             8

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Joe Perkins (OAK) vs. LHP Reid Detmers (LAA)

Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim – Anaheim, California

First Pitch: 9:38 PM ET / 6:38 PM PT

Broadcast: Bally Sports West / NBC Sports California / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Angel Stadium of Anaheim

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~45,500

Dimensions:

LF: 347 ft

CF: 396 ft

RF: 350 ft

Ballpark Factors:

Slightly pitcher‑friendly at night

Marine layer suppresses HRs early

Plays neutral-to-hitter-friendly in warm weather

Impact:

Favors pitchers who induce weak contact

Perkins benefits more than Detmers

Weather Forecast – Anaheim, CA

Temperature: 74–77°F at first pitch

Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to right

Humidity: Moderate

Conditions: Clear, warm

Impact:

Slight boost to left‑handed power

Otherwise neutral environment

Good night for line‑drive hitters

Injury Report

Athletics

Zack Gelof – ACTIVE

Shea Langeliers – ACTIVE

Brent Rooker – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)

Mason Miller – OUT (elbow)

Ken Waldichuk – OUT (shoulder)

Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout – ACTIVE

Logan O’Hoppe – ACTIVE

Anthony Rendon – OUT (hip)

José Soriano – OUT (forearm)

Luis Rengifo – DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)

Probable Pitchers

Athletics – RHP Joe Perkins

2026 Season: 5–5, 3.84 ERA, 1.22 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.33 ERA

Strengths:

Excellent command

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Keeps ball in the park

Concerns:

Angels’ lefties (Moniak, Schanuel) match up well

Can struggle third time through order

Los Angeles – LHP Reid Detmers

2026 Season: 4–8, 4.71 ERA, 1.36 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 5.02 ERA

Strengths:

High‑spin curveball

Strong strikeout ability

Good home splits historically

Concerns:

Inconsistent command

Athletics’ right‑handed bats (Langeliers, Gelof, Rooker if active) hit lefties well

Team Records & Recent Form

Athletics (40–42)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 19–22

Run Differential: -11

Trend: Pitching improving; offense streaky but competitive

Los Angeles Angels (34–49)

Last 10: 3–7

Home Record: 17–25

Run Differential: -58

Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching struggling; bullpen unreliable

Series History

2025 Season Series: Angels won 10–9

2026 Season Series: Athletics lead 2–1

At Angel Stadium (last 20): Angels lead 12–8

Key Trend: Angels typically hit better at home vs. Oakland, but 2026 has flipped early

Key Player Matchups

Mike Trout (LAA) vs. Joe Perkins

Edge: Angels

Trout handles command‑first righties extremely well. If Perkins leaves anything middle‑in, Trout can change the game.

Shea Langeliers (OAK) vs. Reid Detmers

Edge: Oakland

Langeliers crushes left‑handed pitching and Detmers’ fastball/curve combo is vulnerable to RH power.

Zack Gelof (OAK) vs. Angels’ Bullpen

Edge: Oakland

Gelof excels in late‑inning leverage spots. Angels’ bullpen has been one of MLB’s weakest in June.

Logan O’Hoppe (LAA) vs. Perkins’ Fastball

Edge: Even

O’Hoppe hits high‑velocity fastballs well, but Perkins’ command can neutralize him.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Athletics	Angels	Edge
Runs/Game	4.31	4.12	Athletics
Team ERA	4.18	4.67	Athletics
Bullpen ERA	4.09	4.52	Athletics
HR	92	88	Even
OPS	.721	.709	Athletics
Defensive Runs Saved	+7	-4	Athletics

Athletics holds clear advantages in pitching, defense, and run prevention.

Betting Trends

Athletics are 7–3 in their last 10 road games

Angels are 3–9 in their last 12 overall

Athletics unders have hit in 6 of last 9

Angels overs have hit in 5 of last 7

Detmers has a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Athletics                              8.5

Los Angeles Angels         – 109

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Michael Lorenzen (COL) vs. RHP Luis Paredes (MIN)

Location: Target Field – Minneapolis, Minnesota

First Pitch: 6:10 PM CT / 7:10 PM ET

Broadcast: AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain / Bally Sports North / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Target Field

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~38,500

Dimensions:

LF: 339 ft

CF: 403 ft

RF: 328 ft

Ballpark Factors:

Slightly pitcher‑friendly

Suppresses HRs to center

Boosts doubles in the gaps

Impact:

Good for command‑first pitchers

Rockies’ fly‑ball hitters may struggle

Weather Forecast – Minneapolis, MN

Temperature: 78–82°F

Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to right

Humidity: Moderate

Conditions: Clear, warm

Impact:

Slight boost to left‑handed power

Otherwise neutral hitting environment

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

Kris Bryant – OUT (back)

Ezequiel Tovar – ACTIVE

Nolan Jones – ACTIVE

Charlie Blackmon – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hip)

Kyle Freeland – OUT (shoulder)

Minnesota Twins

Carlos Correa – ACTIVE

Royce Lewis – ACTIVE

Byron Buxton – DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee)

Joe Ryan – OUT (forearm)

Jhoan Duran – OUT (lat strain)

Probable Pitchers

Colorado – RHP Michael Lorenzen

2026 Season: 3–7, 4.89 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 5.12 ERA

Strengths:

Veteran command

Good changeup vs. lefties

Keeps ball in the park outside Coors

Concerns:

Struggles with deep lineups

Twins’ right‑handed bats (Lewis, Correa) match up well

High WHIP leads to traffic

Minnesota – RHP Luis Paredes

2026 Season: 4–4, 3.91 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.44 ERA

Strengths:

Strong strikeout ability

Excellent slider

Good home splits (3.32 ERA at Target Field)

Concerns:

Can be homer‑prone vs. lefties

Rockies’ lineup has several left‑handed bats who hit sliders well

Team Records & Recent Form

Colorado Rockies (32–50)

Last 10: 3–7

Road Record: 12–29

Run Differential: -89

Trend: Pitching struggling; offense inconsistent; bullpen unreliable

Minnesota Twins (39–44)

Last 10: 6–4

Home Record: 22–19

Run Differential: -12

Trend: Offense improving; rotation stabilizing; bullpen shaky without Duran

Series History

2025 Season Series: Twins won 3–0

2026 Season Series: Twins lead 1–0 (won 7–4 on June 26)

At Target Field (last 10): Twins lead 7–3

Key Trend: Minnesota consistently out‑hits Colorado at home

Key Player Matchups

Royce Lewis (MIN) vs. Michael Lorenzen

Edge: Minnesota

Lewis crushes fastballs and thrives vs. command‑first pitchers. Lorenzen’s pitch mix plays directly into his strengths.

Nolan Jones (COL) vs. Luis Paredes

Edge: Colorado (slightly)

Jones hits sliders well and has been Colorado’s most consistent power threat. If he wins this matchup, Rockies can keep it close.

Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. Rockies’ Bullpen

Edge: Minnesota

Colorado’s bullpen has been one of MLB’s weakest. Correa excels in late‑inning leverage spots.

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) vs. Target Field Dimensions

Edge: Minnesota

Tovar’s power is limited in large outfields; Twins’ defense can neutralize him.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Rockies	Twins	Edge
Runs/Game	4.18	4.47	Twins
Team ERA	4.92	4.21	Twins
Bullpen ERA	4.78	4.33	Twins
HR	74	98	Twins
OPS	.699	.731	Twins
Defensive Runs Saved	-3	+9	Twins

Minnesota holds clear advantages across nearly every category.

Betting Trends

Twins are 8–3 in their last 11 home games

Rockies are 4–12 in their last 16 road games

Rockies overs have hit in 6 of last 9

Twins overs have hit in 5 of last 7

Lorenzen has a 5.12 ERA in his last 5 starts

GAME ODDS

Colorado Rockies             9.5

Minnesota Twins             137

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Michael Wacha (KC) vs. RHP Jared Martin (CWS)

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field – Chicago, Illinois

First Pitch: 6:10 PM CT / 7:10 PM ET

Broadcast: Bally Sports Kansas City / NBC Sports Chicago / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Guaranteed Rate Field

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~40,600

Dimensions:

LF: 330 ft

CF: 400 ft

RF: 335 ft

Ballpark Factors:

One of MLB’s most hitter‑friendly parks

Boosts home runs to both corners

Warm summer nights often produce high‑scoring games

Impact:

Favors Chicago’s power bats

Wacha’s fly‑ball tendencies could be tested

Weather Forecast – Chicago, IL

Temperature: 82–85°F

Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to left‑center

Humidity: Moderate

Conditions: Clear, warm

Impact:

Boost to right‑handed power

Fly balls carry well

Slightly hitter‑friendly environment

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bobby Witt Jr. – ACTIVE

Vinnie Pasquantino – ACTIVE

MJ Melendez – DAY‑TO‑DAY (shoulder)

Cole Ragans – OUT (elbow)

Brady Singer – OUT (lat)

Chicago White Sox

Luis Robert Jr. – ACTIVE

Eloy Jiménez – ACTIVE

Andrew Vaughn – DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)

Garrett Crochet – OUT (forearm)

Michael Kopech – OUT (shoulder)

Probable Pitchers

Kansas City – RHP Michael Wacha

2026 Season: 4–7, 4.61 ERA, 1.33 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 5.02 ERA

Strengths:

Veteran command

Effective changeup vs. lefties

Keeps walks low

Concerns:

Fly‑ball pitcher in a hitter‑friendly park

White Sox lineup has RH power that punishes mistakes

Chicago – RHP Jared Martin

2026 Season: 6–4, 3.54 ERA, 1.18 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.12 ERA

Strengths:

High‑spin fastball

Strong strikeout ability

Excellent at home (3.08 ERA at Guaranteed Rate Field)

Concerns:

Can be hit hard early in counts

Royals’ lineup is aggressive and contact‑oriented

Team Records & Recent Form

Kansas City Royals (34–49)

Last 10: 3–7

Road Record: 15–27

Run Differential: -63

Trend: Pitching struggling; offense inconsistent; bullpen unreliable

Chicago White Sox (42–38)

Last 10: 7–3

Home Record: 24–16

Run Differential: +21

Trend: Offense heating up; rotation stabilizing; bullpen improving

Series History

2025 Season Series: White Sox won 11–8

2026 Season Series: White Sox lead 2–1

At Guaranteed Rate Field (last 20): White Sox lead 14–6

Key Trend: Chicago consistently out-hits Kansas City at home

Key Player Matchups

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) vs. Jared Martin

Edge: Kansas City

Witt handles high‑velocity pitchers well and is KC’s best chance at generating offense.

Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) vs. Michael Wacha

Edge: Chicago

Robert crushes changeups and thrives in hitter‑friendly environments. Wacha’s pitch mix plays into his strengths.

Eloy Jiménez (CWS) vs. Royals’ Bullpen

Edge: Chicago

KC’s bullpen has been one of MLB’s weakest. Jiménez excels in late‑inning RBI situations.

Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) vs. Guaranteed Rate Field Dimensions

Edge: Kansas City

Pasquantino’s gap‑to‑gap power plays well in Chicago’s spacious alleys.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Royals	White Sox	Edge
Runs/Game	4.12	4.61	White Sox
Team ERA	4.58	4.11	White Sox
Bullpen ERA	4.72	4.08	White Sox
HR	78	102	White Sox
OPS	.703	.742	White Sox
Defensive Runs Saved	+6	+10	White Sox

Chicago holds advantages across nearly every category.

Betting Trends

White Sox are 8–3 in their last 11 home games

Royals are 3–10 in their last 13 road games

White Sox overs have hit in 6 of last 9

Royals overs have hit in 7 of last 10

Wacha has a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Kansas City Royals           8

Chicago White Sox          – 118

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Gus Gusto (MIA) vs. RHP Andre Pallante (STL)

Location: Busch Stadium – St. Louis, Missouri

First Pitch: 4:15 PM ET / 3:15 PM CT

Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Busch Stadium

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~45,500

Dimensions:

LF: 336 ft

CF: 400 ft

RF: 335 ft

Ballpark Factors:

Slightly pitcher‑friendly

Suppresses HRs to center

Boosts doubles in the gaps

Impact:

Good for ground‑ball pitchers like Pallante

Miami’s contact‑heavy lineup benefits from large outfield space

Weather Forecast – St. Louis, MO

Temperature: 87–90°F

Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left

Humidity: High (typical Midwest summer)

Conditions: Mostly sunny

Impact:

Warm, humid air boosts carry on fly balls

Slightly hitter‑friendly conditions

Advantage for right‑handed pull hitters

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Jazz Chisholm Jr. – ACTIVE

Josh Bell – ACTIVE

Jake Burger – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)

Sandy Alcantara – OUT (Tommy John recovery)

Edward Cabrera – OUT (shoulder)

St. Louis Cardinals

Paul Goldschmidt – ACTIVE

Nolan Arenado – ACTIVE

Lars Nootbaar – DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)

Tommy Edman – OUT (ankle)

Ryan Helsley – OUT (forearm)

Probable Pitchers

Miami – RHP Gus Gusto

2026 Season: 5–4, 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.41 ERA

Strengths:

Good fastball/slider combo

Generates weak contact

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Concerns:

Can struggle with command early

Cardinals’ lineup has several hitters who excel vs. sliders

St. Louis – RHP Andre Pallante

2026 Season: 6–5, 3.68 ERA, 1.29 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–2, 3.22 ERA

Strengths:

Elite ground‑ball rate

Effective sinker/slider mix

Excellent at home (3.11 ERA at Busch)

Concerns:

Miami’s left‑handed bats (Chisholm, Sánchez) match up well

Can be hit hard if sinker elevates

Team Records & Recent Form

Miami Marlins (43–39)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 21–20

Run Differential: +14

Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but improving

St. Louis Cardinals (42–37)

Last 10: 5–5

Home Record: 22–16

Run Differential: +9

Trend: Offense streaky; bullpen shaky without Helsley

Series History

2025 Season Series: Cardinals won 4–2

2026 Season Series: Cardinals lead 1–0 (won 3–2 on June 26)

At Busch Stadium (last 12): Cardinals lead 8–4

Key Trend: St. Louis consistently wins close, low‑scoring games vs. Miami at home

Key Player Matchups

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Andre Pallante

Edge: Miami

Chisholm thrives vs. sinkerballers and has been hot in June. Pallante’s pitch mix plays into his left‑handed power.

Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Gus Gusto

Edge: St. Louis

Goldschmidt crushes sliders and has a .310+ career average vs. right‑handed fastball/slider pitchers.

Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Miami’s Infield Defense

Edge: St. Louis

Arenado’s line‑drive approach plays well against Miami’s average infield range.

Jesús Sánchez (MIA) vs. Cardinals’ Bullpen

Edge: Miami

With Helsley out, St. Louis’ late‑inning relief is vulnerable. Sánchez excels in high‑leverage spots.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Marlins	Cardinals	Edge
Runs/Game	4.29	4.41	Cardinals
Team ERA	3.98	4.12	Marlins
Bullpen ERA	3.89	4.31	Marlins
HR	82	94	Cardinals
OPS	.721	.734	Cardinals
Defensive Runs Saved	+8	+11	Cardinals

Cardinals hold slight offensive and defensive edges; Miami holds pitching edge.

Betting Trends

Cardinals are 7–3 in their last 10 home games vs. Miami

Marlins are 5–2 in their last 7 road games

Cardinals overs have hit in 6 of last 9

Marlins unders have hit in 5 of last 8

Pallante has a 3.22 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Miami Marlins                  8.5

St. Louis Cardinals           – 136

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026

Probable Pitchers: RHP Logan Gilbert (SEA) vs. RHP Slade Cecconi (CLE)

Location: Progressive Field – Cleveland, Ohio

First Pitch: 6:10 PM ET

Broadcast: ROOT Sports NW / Bally Sports Great Lakes / MLB.TV

Venue Profile – Progressive Field

Type: Outdoor

Capacity: ~34,800

Dimensions:

LF: 325 ft

CF: 405 ft

RF: 325 ft

Ballpark Factors:

Slightly boosts left‑handed power

Neutral for run scoring

Deep alleys reward gap hitters

Impact:

Good environment for hitters with line‑drive profiles

Gilbert’s fly‑ball tendencies can be tested here

Weather Forecast – Cleveland, OH

Temperature: 80–83°F

Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to left‑center

Humidity: Moderate

Conditions: Mostly sunny

Impact:

Slight boost to right‑handed power

Warm air helps carry fly balls

Slightly hitter‑friendly environment

Injury Report

Seattle Mariners

Julio Rodríguez – ACTIVE

Cal Raleigh – ACTIVE

Ty France – DAY‑TO‑DAY (ankle)

George Kirby – OUT (shoulder)

Matt Brash – OUT (elbow)

Cleveland Guardians

José Ramírez – ACTIVE

Steven Kwan – ACTIVE

Josh Naylor – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)

Shane Bieber – OUT (elbow)

Triston McKenzie – OUT (lat)

Probable Pitchers

Seattle – RHP Logan Gilbert

2026 Season: 7–4, 3.48 ERA, 1.12 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 2.97 ERA

Strengths:

Excellent fastball command

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Works deep into games

Concerns:

Occasional HR issues

Guardians’ lefties (Kwan, Ramírez, Naylor if active) match up well

Cleveland – RHP Slade Cecconi

2026 Season: 4–6, 4.52 ERA, 1.31 WHIP

Last 5 Starts: 2–3, 4.88 ERA

Strengths:

Good slider

Strong vs. right‑handed hitters

Keeps ball in the park at home

Concerns:

Struggles vs. left‑handed power

Seattle’s lineup has several lefties who hit breaking balls well

Team Records & Recent Form

Seattle Mariners (42–41)

Last 10: 6–4

Road Record: 20–22

Run Differential: +18

Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but improving

Cleveland Guardians (42–40)

Last 10: 5–5

Home Record: 23–18

Run Differential: +11

Trend: Offense streaky; bullpen strong; rotation thin

Series History

2025 Season Series: Mariners won 4–2

2026 Season Series: Mariners lead 1–0 (won 5–3 on June 26)

At Progressive Field (last 12): Mariners lead 7–5

Key Trend: Seattle’s pitching has consistently outperformed Cleveland’s offense in recent matchups

Key Player Matchups

Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Slade Cecconi

Edge: Seattle

J‑Rod crushes sliders and has been hot in June. Cecconi’s pitch mix plays into his strengths.

José Ramírez (CLE) vs. Logan Gilbert

Edge: Cleveland

Ramírez handles high‑velocity, high‑spin pitchers extremely well. Gilbert must avoid leaving fastballs middle‑in.

Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Guardians’ Bullpen

Edge: Seattle

Raleigh’s power from the left side is dangerous in late innings. Cleveland’s bullpen is strong but vulnerable to left‑handed HR hitters.

Steven Kwan (CLE) vs. Mariners’ Outfield Defense

Edge: Cleveland

Kwan’s elite contact and speed create pressure on Seattle’s outfield positioning.

Statistical Comparison

Category	Mariners	Guardians	Edge
Runs/Game	4.42	4.36	Even
Team ERA	3.89	4.12	Mariners
Bullpen ERA	3.71	3.52	Guardians
HR	96	82	Mariners
OPS	.732	.721	Mariners
Defensive Runs Saved	+14	+9	Mariners

Seattle holds slight advantages in pitching, power, and defense.

Betting Trends

Mariners are 6–2 in Gilbert’s last 8 starts

Guardians are 4–8 in their last 12 home games vs. Seattle

Mariners overs have hit in 5 of last 7

Guardians unders have hit in 6 of last 9

Gilbert has a 2.97 ERA in his last 5 starts

Game Odds

Seattle Mariners              – 140    

Cleveland Guardians      7.5        

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026