Venue: Frost Bank Center — San Antonio, Texas
Tip‑off: 8:30 PM CT / 9:30 PM ET
The Thunder lead the series 3–2 and have a chance to close it out on the road. The Spurs, facing elimination, return home where they’ve been significantly stronger all postseason.
INJURY REPORT
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Chet Holmgren — Probable (ankle soreness) Expected to play; minutes may be monitored.
- Jalen Williams — Probable (hip tightness) Full warmup expected; should start.
- Isaiah Joe — Questionable (knee contusion) Game‑time decision; shooting depth impacted if out.
San Antonio Spurs
- Victor Wembanyama — Probable (foot management) Spurs continue to monitor workload; expected to play heavy minutes.
- Devin Vassell — Questionable (hamstring) Major swing factor; Spurs offense drops sharply without him.
- Tre Jones — Probable (wrist) Expected to start; ball‑handling stability crucial.
TEAM RECORDS & CONTEXT
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Regular Season: 62–20
- Playoffs: 7–3
- Road Record: 27–14
- Current Form: Won 3 of last 4; offense trending upward.
San Antonio Spurs
- Regular Season: 48–34
- Playoffs: 6–5
- Home Record: 29–12
- Current Form: Lost 2 straight; defensive slippage in 4th quarters.
RECENT TEAM FORM (LAST 5 GAMES)
Thunder
- Game 5: W 112–101
- Game 4: W 118–110
- Game 3: L 104–109
- Game 2: W 121–108
- Game 1: L 97–103
Trend: OKC has solved the Spurs’ defensive coverages, shooting 49%+ in three straight games.
Spurs
- Game 5: L 101–112
- Game 4: L 110–118
- Game 3: W 109–104
- Game 2: L 108–121
- Game 1: W 103–97
Trend: Spurs’ defensive efficiency has cratered from 108.4 to 119.7 over last two games.
SERIES HISTORY (2023–2026)
- Last 10 meetings: Thunder lead 6–4
- In San Antonio: Spurs lead 3–2
- Playoff history: First postseason meeting since 2016
- Wembanyama vs. Holmgren career H2H: Wemby leads 5–4, but Holmgren has out‑shot him in 4 of last 6.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander vs. Tre Jones
- SGA averaging 29.8 PPG in series
- Spurs have tried Jones, Branham, and Vassell (when healthy)
- SGA shooting 54% on drives — Spurs have no answer without Vassell
Edge: Thunder
2. Victor Wembanyama vs. Chet Holmgren
- Wemby: 26.4 PPG, 12.1 RPG, 4.3 BPG in series
- Holmgren: 18.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 2.7 BPG
- Holmgren has forced Wemby into 8 turnovers in last two games
- Wemby’s rim deterrence still elite, but OKC spacing is stretching him thin
Edge: Spurs (slightly)
3. Jalen Williams vs. Devin Vassell (if active)
- Williams averaging 21.3 PPG on 51% shooting
- Vassell’s hamstring limits lateral movement
- If Vassell sits, Spurs lose their best two‑way wing
Edge: Thunder
4. Bench Units
- OKC bench: +14.7 net rating last two games
- Spurs bench: -11.2 net rating in same span
- Key swing: OKC’s spacing vs. Spurs’ inconsistent shooting
Edge: Thunder
BETTING TRENDS
Against the Spread (ATS)
- Thunder: 5–2 ATS last 7 road games
- Spurs: 4–1 ATS last 5 at home
- Thunder: 4–1 ATS last 5 overall
- Spurs: 0–4 ATS last 4 after a loss
Totals
- Over is 6–3 in last 9 meetings
- Over is 4–1 in OKC’s last 5
- Spurs unders trending at home (3 of last 4)
Moneyline Trends
- Thunder have won 3 straight in this series
- Spurs are 7–2 in last 9 elimination games at home (historic trend)
Game Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder 219.5
San Antonio Spurs – 3.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, May 27, 2026
