NBA Game Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) vs. Miami Heat (21-20)

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The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Miami to face the Heat in an interconference matchup that pits the Western Conference leaders against a middling Eastern squad fighting for playoff positioning. OKC enters on a five-game win streak, boasting elite defense and efficient offense led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, while Miami deals with injuries and inconsistency but relies on home-court grit and Bam Adebayo’s all-around play. Expect a defensive battle, with the Thunder’s depth potentially overwhelming the shorthanded Heat.

Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET (broadcast on FanDuel Sports Network, FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, WPLG, and NBA League Pass)

Recent Team Forms

OKC has dominated lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 with suffocating defense, while Miami has split 5-5, struggling with scoring consistency amid injuries.

Oklahoma City Thunder Last 10 Games (8-2 record, averaging 121.5 PPG scored, 104.0 PPG allowed)

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
1/15/2026@ HOUW 111-91111 PTS, 45% FG
1/13/2026vs SASW 119-98119 PTS, 52% FG
1/11/2026vs MIAW 124-112124 PTS, 51% FG
1/7/2026@ MEMW 117-116117 PTS, 48% FG
1/5/2026vs UTAW 129-125129 PTS, 50% FG
1/3/2026vs CHAL 97-12497 PTS, 42% FG
1/2/2026@ PHXL 105-108105 PTS, 46% FG
1/1/2026@ GSWW 131-94131 PTS, 54% FG
12/31/2025vs PORW 124-95124 PTS, 49% FG
12/29/2025vs ATLW 140-129140 PTS, 53% FG

Miami Heat Last 10 Games (5-5 record, averaging 118.6 PPG scored, 119.4 PPG allowed)

DateOpponentResultKey Stats
1/15/2026vs BOSL 114-119114 PTS, 47% FG
1/13/2026vs PHXW 127-121127 PTS, 52% FG
1/11/2026@ OKCL 112-124112 PTS, 54% FG
1/10/2026@ INDL 99-12399 PTS, 41% FG
1/6/2026@ MINL 94-12294 PTS, 39% FG
1/4/2026vs NOPW 125-106125 PTS, 51% FG
1/3/2026vs MINL 115-125115 PTS, 48% FG
1/1/2026@ DETW 118-112118 PTS, 50% FG
12/31/2025vs DENW 147-123147 PTS, 58% FG
12/29/2025vs INDW 142-116142 PTS, 55% FG

Injury Report

Injuries hit both sides, but Miami’s backcourt depth is particularly thinned, potentially forcing reliance on younger players and impacting scoring.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Out: Isaiah Hartenstein (Right Soleus; Strain), Thomas Sorber (Right ACL; Surgical Recovery), Nikola Topic (N/A; Surgical Recovery)

No other major injuries reported

Miami Heat

Questionable: Tyler Herro (Right Big Toe/Rib; Contusion)

Out: Myron Gardner (G League – Two-Way), Vladislav Goldin (G League – Two-Way), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Left Knee; Sprain), Davion Mitchell (Left Shoulder; Contusion), Terry Rozier (Not With Team), Jahmir Young (G League – Two-Way)

Available: Nikola Jovic (Right Knee; Soreness), Pelle Larsson (Left 3rd Mallet; Finger)

Key Player Matchups

Without several guards, Miami may struggle to contain OKC’s perimeter threats, giving the Thunder an edge in transition and spacing.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) vs. Tyler Herro (MIA): Gilgeous-Alexander (30+ PPG potential) could exploit Herro’s defense if he plays; otherwise, Miami’s guards are overmatched.

Chet Holmgren (OKC) vs. Bam Adebayo (MIA): A battle of versatile bigs; Holmgren’s shooting vs. Adebayo’s physicality and playmaking.

Jalen Williams (OKC) vs. Andrew Wiggins (MIA): Williams’ scoring efficiency vs. Wiggins’ wing defense; OKC’s depth here could shine.

Overall Edge: Thunder’s health and form provide a clear advantage, but Miami’s home defense might force turnovers.

Series History

OKC has dominated lately, extending a win streak against Miami.

All-Time Record: Thunder lead 45-30 in 75 regular-season games

Recent Meetings: OKC won the last on 1/11/2026 (124-112)

In the last 5 games: Thunder 5-0 (average score: OKC 120.4, MIA 109.6)

At Kaseya Center: Thunder have won 3 of the last 5 in Miami

Betting Trends

Thunder: 21-21 ATS overall; 2-5 ATS in last 7 games

Heat: 23-18 ATS overall; 6-4 ATS in last 10 games

O/U Trends:

Thunder: Over in 21 of 42 games (50%); Under in 6 of last 9

Heat: Over in 18 of 41 games (43.9%); Over in 5 of last 10

Game Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder                – 8.5

Miami Heat                                        234.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, January 16, 2026

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