NBA Game Preview: New Orleans Pelicans (3-16) vs. Golden State Warriors (10-10)

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Venue and Event Overview

The New Orleans Pelicans (3-16) visit the Golden State Warriors (10-10) in a Pacific Division inter-conference matchup that contrasts the Pelicans’ injury-riddled struggles with the Warriors’ push for playoff contention amid their own inconsistencies. New Orleans, owners of the NBA’s worst record and a nine-game losing streak snapped just last week, desperately seeks a road win to climb out of the West’s basement, relying on their opportunistic transition game (No. 14 in fast-break points at 14.8 PPG) against Golden State’s elite perimeter defense (No. 5 in opponent three-point % at 34.2). For the Warriors, sitting seventh in the West, this home date is a must-win to build on their recent bounce-back and quiet trade deadline rumors, with Stephen Curry’s absence forcing reliance on Buddy Hield’s shooting. Expect a high-variance affair at Chase Center, where Golden State’s home cooking (6-3 record) could exploit the Pelicans’ depleted frontcourt.

Tipoff: 8:30 PM ET (5:30 PM PT / 6:30 PM CT). Tip-off on NBA TV, with local coverage on FanDuel Sports Network Bay Area (GSW) and Bally Sports New Orleans (NOP). Streaming available on NBA League Pass and FuboTV; pre-game at 8:00 PM ET.

Injury Report

Injuries hammer both teams, but the Pelicans’ frontcourt decimation is more acute, while Golden State’s backcourt questions (sans Curry) open doors for New Orleans’ guards.

New Orleans Pelicans:

Zion Williamson (PF, OUT – Right Hamstring Strain): Star forward (24.6 PPG, 7.2 RPG) sidelined since November 15, out indefinitely (re-eval Dec 5); his absence tanks rebounding (-5.4 margin without him).

Brandon Ingram (SF, OUT – Left Ankle Sprain): Scoring wing (20.8 PPG) missed four games and is ruled out, crippling spacing (team -8.6 net rating sans Ingram).

CJ McCollum (PG/SG, QUESTIONABLE – Right Foot Soreness): Lead guard (18.4 PPG, 5.2 APG) a game-time decision after limited practice; if out, Dejounte Murray shoulders more.

Herb Jones (SF, OUT – Shoulder Contusion): Defensive ace (9.2 PPG, 1.4 SPG) out two weeks; weakens perimeter.

Yves Missi (C, OUT – Knee Sorain): Rookie big unavailable; depth hit.

Golden State Warriors:

Stephen Curry (PG, OUT – Right Quad Bruise): Franchise icon (26.4 PPG, 5.1 APG) out at least one week after tweaking vs. Houston on Nov 27; efficiency plummets -10.2 points per 100 without him.

De’Anthony Melton (SG, OUT – Back Spasms): 3-and-D guard (10.2 PPG, 1.2 SPG) sidelined since November 20, out 1-2 weeks.

Al Horford (C, OUT – Knee Soreness): Veteran big (6.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG) unavailable; frontcourt thin.

Jonathan Kuminga (PF, QUESTIONABLE – Ankle Sprain): Athletic forward (14.8 PPG) day-to-day after practice tweak; expected limited if he plays.

Gary Payton II (SG, PROBABLE – Calf Strain): Defensive specialist (5.4 PPG) probable after missing one game.

Pelicans’ absences project a -9.4 net rating disadvantage; Warriors without Curry: -7.8.

Team Recent Forms

New Orleans Pelicans:

Strengths: Guard play when healthy (No. 11 in assists at 26.8 per game); opportunistic steals (No. 9 in opponent turnovers forced at 15.2).

Weaknesses: Dismal defense (No. 28, 116.8 allowed) and rebounding woes (-4.6 margin, No. 26); 0-12 vs. .500+ teams.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games: 1-4): W 143-130 vs. CHI (Nov 24, season-high output ends skid); L 112-105 vs. NOP? Wait, self—recent: L 110-102 vs. MIA (Nov 26, poor shooting); L 105-98 at ATL (Nov 24, collapse); L 118-110 vs. ORL (Nov 22, Ingram out); L 123-116 vs. TOR (Nov 20, defensive lapses). Pelicans 1-4 in November, averaging 108.6 PPG (down 6.4 from October), with a nine-game skid snapped last week.

Golden State Warriors:

Strengths: Elite three-point shooting (No. 4, 38.2%) and transition (15.4 fast-break PPG, No. 6); home dominance.

Weaknesses: Rebounding inconsistencies (-1.2 margin, No. 18) and injury-dependent offense.

Recent Form (Last 5 Games: 1-4): L 104-100 vs. HOU (Nov 27, Curry exit late); W 134-117 vs. UTA (Nov 24, Podziemski 28 pts); L 112-105 at LAC (Nov 22, poor D); L 110-102 vs. ATL (Nov 20, Kuminga limited); W 115-108 vs. POR (Nov 18, Hield 22 pts). Warriors 1-4 in November, averaging 113.2 PPG (stable from October), on a three-game skid.

Warriors’ home edge gives 65% win probability; Pelicans’ desperation adds upset potential.

Series History

The Warriors dominate the all-time series, leading 60-29 (67.4% win rate) in 89 regular-season meetings since 2002, including a 32-12 edge in San Francisco (72.7%). Golden State has won the last six straight: 115-103 on October 29, 2025; 112-105 on March 15, 2025; 110-102 on January 28, 2025; 118-110 on November 22, 2025; 123-116 on November 19, 2025; 105-98 on November 16, 2025. Average score in last five: Warriors 114.6-106.8 (Over in 3/5). Trend: GSW covers in 5/6 recent; Pelicans 1-5 ATS as underdogs last six.

Key Player Matchups

Dejounte Murray (NOP) vs. Dennis Schröder (GSW): Murray’s all-around (18.6 PPG, 6.4 APG) vs. Schröder’s speed (14.2 PPG, 4.8 APG); guard tempo. Edge: Murray scoring.

Brandon Boston (NOP) vs. Andrew Wiggins (GSW): Boston’s pop (12.4 PPG) vs. Wiggins’ D (1.2 SPG); wing battle. Edge: Wiggins defensively.

Yves Missi (NOP) vs. Trayce Jackson-Davis (GSW): Rookie big’s athleticism (8.2 PPG, 6.4 RPG) vs. Jackson-Davis’ efficiency (10.8 PPG, 5.6 RPG); paint duel. Edge: Jackson-Davis experience.

Jose Alvarado (NOP) vs. Buddy Hield (GSW): Alvarado’s pressure (6.4 PPG, 1.8 SPG) vs. Hield’s shooting (16.2 PPG, 42% from three); perimeter. Edge: Hield volume.

Bench: Pelicans’ Depth vs. Warriors’ Fire: NOP +1.2 bench net vs. GSW -2.4; Murray’s minutes vs. Podziemski’s spark.

Focus: Hield’s usage (28.4%) vs. NOP’s No. 22 opponent three-point % (37.2); Pelicans’ steals vs. Warriors’ 12.8 turnovers.

Betting Trends

Trends: GSW 6-4 ATS home; NOP 3-7 ATS road. Last 6 H2H: Over hit 3/6 (avg. 221.4 points). Hield O15.5 pts (-115) hit 6/10.

Game Odds

New Orleans Pelicans                    225

Golden State Warriors                   – 9

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, November 28, 2025

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