NASCAR Xfinity Series Preview: Kansas Lottery 300

0
79

The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs roll into Kansas Speedway this Saturday, September 27, for the Kansas Lottery 300. This 300-mile showdown is the second race in the Round of 12, making it a pivotal event for championship contenders looking to secure their spot in the Round of 8.

Venue & Race Details

Race: Kansas Lottery 300 (28th race of the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series season)

Location: Kansas Speedway, Kansas City, Kansas

Track Specs: 1.5-mile tri-oval, progressive banking (17–20° in turns, 9–11° frontstretch, 5° backstretch)

Start Time: 4:00 PM ET (3:00 PM CT local)

Laps/Distance: 200 laps, 300 miles

Broadcast: The CW (TV), MRN & SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (radio)

Weather Forecast (Kansas City, KS)

Conditions: Sunny and mild

Temperature: ~78°F at green flag, cooling into the low 70s by race end

Wind: 8–10 mph, steady breeze across the frontstretch

Impact: Ideal racing weather; wind could slightly affect handling in Turns 1 and 2

Driver & Team Notes

Connor Zilisch (JR Motorsports) – The rookie phenom has nine wins in 2025 and enters Kansas as the championship favorite. He can clinch a Round of 8 berth with just 27 points.

Justin Allgaier (JR Motorsports) – The reigning series champion is still searching for his first win of the season but remains consistent. Needs 56 points to clinch advancement.

Sam Mayer (Haas Factory Team) – Currently 35 points above the cut line, Mayer has been strong on 1.5-mile tracks.

Carson Kvapil (JR Motorsports) – Making his Kansas debut, but momentum is on his side after a strong playoff opener.

Bubble Watch: Taylor Gray sits just 3 points above the cut line, while Nick Sanchez and Jesse Love are 3 points below.

Recent Form

Zilisch: Won 7 of the last 8 regular-season races.

Allgaier: Top-10 machine but winless streak continues.

Austin Hill (RCR): Strong intermediate track record, enters as a dark horse.

Brandon Jones (JGR): Veteran presence, +1000 odds to win.

Series History at Kansas

Kansas Speedway has hosted the Kansas Lottery 300 since 2001.

Past winners include Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Christopher Bell, and Noah Gragson.

The track’s progressive banking allows for multi-groove racing, often producing late-race drama.

Betting Trends

Favorites Dominate: 5 of the last 7 Kansas Xfinity races were won by drivers starting inside the top 5.

Underdogs Rarely Break Through: Only once in the last decade has a driver with odds longer than +2000 won at Kansas.

Playoff Pressure: In 4 of the last 5 seasons, the Kansas Lottery 300 winner advanced deep into the playoffs.

Historical Betting Results

2024: John Hunter Nemechek won (JGR Toyota, +450)

2023: Justin Allgaier won (JR Motorsports Chevrolet, +600)

2022: Noah Gragson won (JR Motorsports Chevrolet, +500)

2021: Ty Gibbs won (JGR Toyota, +700)