Venue & Race Details
Track: Las Vegas Motor Speedway (1.5-mile quad-oval)
Race Distance: 201 laps / 301.5 miles
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET (4:30 p.m. PT)
Broadcast: CW Network (TV), PRN/SiriusXM (Radio)
Weather Forecast (Las Vegas, NV)
Race Start Temp: ~84°F
Conditions: Partly cloudy, dry desert air
Wind: 20–30 mph from the south
Impact: Strong crosswinds could affect handling and pit strategy
Driver Matchups
Connor Zilisch (JR Motorsports): Series leader, 10 wins in 2025, 17 straight top-5 finishes.
Justin Allgaier (JR Motorsports): Veteran, won Vegas in March 2025.
Aric Almirola (Joe Gibbs Racing): Experienced Cup veteran, strong on intermediates.
Sam Mayer (Haas Factory Team): Consistent top-5s at 1.5-mile tracks.
Austin Hill (RCR): Former Vegas winner (2023), thrives on speedways.
Key Battle: Zilisch vs. Allgaier – teammates but fierce rivals for the championship.
Recent Form
Connor Zilisch: Won Charlotte Roval, dominant season.
Justin Allgaier: Top-10 in 8 of last 9 races.
Sam Mayer: Runner-up at Indy & Homestead, top-5 at Vegas earlier this year.
Austin Hill: 3rd at Kansas, strong on 1.5-mile tracks.
Series History at Las Vegas
2025 Spring Race: Justin Allgaier won, leading 102 laps.
2024 Fall Race: AJ Allmendinger won (not entered this year).
Track Trend: JR Motorsports has won 3 of last 5 Vegas Xfinity races.
Betting Trends
Zilisch: 31% win probability, 57% chance for top-3.
Allgaier: Won earlier this year at Vegas, strong intermediate record.
Mayer: Multiple runner-up finishes at high-speed tracks.
Hill: Former Vegas winner, trending upward.
Underdogs: Nick Sanchez (+6500) and Carson Kvapil (+3000) offer longshot value.
Driver Odds
Connor Zilisch + 175
Justin Allgaier + 250
Aric Almirola + 500
Brandon Jones + 900
Sam Mayer + 1100
Sammy Smith + 1700
Jesse Love + 1700
Austin Hill + 1700
Taylor Gray + 1800
Sheldon Creed + 1800
Carson Kvapil + 2800
Ryan Sieg + 3500
Nicholas Sanchez + 5000
Daniel Hemric + 5500
Corey Day + 6000
William Sawalich + 6000
Trevor Bayne + 8000
Christian Eckes + 8000
Harrison Burton + 11000
Jeb Burton + 20000
Anthony Alfredo + 20000
Daniel Dye + 25000
Matt DiBenedetto + 30000
Parker Retzlaff + 60000
Jeremy Clements + 60000
Kyle Sieg + 80000
Dean Thompson + 80000
Austin Green + 80000
Josh Williams + 90000
Brennan Poole + 90000
Thomas Annunziata + 100000
Ryan Ellis + 100000
Nick Leitz + 100000
Mason Massey + 100000
Mason Maggio + 100000
Joey Gase + 100000
Garrett Smithley + 100000
Blaine Perkins + 100000
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025
