NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff Race at Martinsville

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Venue & Race Info

Track: Martinsville Speedway, Ridgeway, Virginia

Nickname: “The Paperclip” – a flat, half-mile short track

Race Distance: 250 laps (131.5 miles)

Date/Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025 – 6:30 PM ET

Broadcast: CW Network (national), streaming on Fubo in select markets

Weather & Track Conditions

Forecast: Clear skies, temps in the mid-60s at green flag, dropping into the 50s by race end.

Track Surface: Concrete/asphalt mix, expected to cool quickly under lights—tightening handling and favoring cars with long-run balance.

Tire Strategy: Teams allotted five sets; tire wear is moderate but track position is critical.

Injury/Driver Status

No driver injuries reported.

Connor Zilisch (locked into Championship 4) starts deep in the field after practice damage.

Driver Matchups to Watch

Harrison Burton vs Carson Kvapil: Burton’s pole-winning lap was less than a hundredth faster than Kvapil’s. Burton also won here in 2020, making him a strong short-track threat.

Aric Almirola vs Playoff Drivers: Running for the Owners’ Championship in the No. 19, Almirola is a Martinsville ace and could steal a win.

Sam Mayer vs Chandler Smith: Both need strong finishes to secure Phoenix berths; Mayer’s aggressive short-track style vs Smith’s consistency will be pivotal.

Connor Zilisch: Already locked in, but starting 30th+ means he’ll be slicing through traffic—risk vs reward.

Race History

Martinsville Xfinity Fall Race: Known for chaos—tight racing, bump-and-run finishes, and playoff drama.

2024 Race: Featured multiple cautions and late-race contact that shaped the Championship 4.

Signature Prize: Winner earns a Grandfather Clock trophy, one of NASCAR’s most iconic awards.

Recent Driver Form

Harrison Burton: Momentum from pole and past Martinsville success.

Aric Almirola: Strong Martinsville record, spoiler potential.

Sam Mayer: Aggressive but inconsistent; thrives on short tracks.

Chandler Smith: Steady playoff performer, needs points.

Connor Zilisch: Locked into Phoenix, but dangerous even from the back.

Betting Trends

Favorites: Burton (+450), Almirola (+500), Mayer (+600).

Value Picks: Chandler Smith (+850), Carson Kvapil (+1000).

Underdog to Watch: Sheldon Creed (+1600)—short-track savvy.

Trend: 4 of last 5 Martinsville playoff races won by non-favorites or drivers below the cutline.