NASCAR Cup Series Preview: YellaWood 500

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Venue & Race Info

Location: Talladega Superspeedway, Lincoln, Alabama

Track Specs: 2.66-mile tri-oval, 33° banking in turns, longest oval on the NASCAR schedule

Race Distance: 188 laps / 500 miles

Start Time: Sunday, October 19, 2025, 2:00 PM ET

Broadcast: NBC (TV), Peacock (streaming), MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio

Weather Update

Forecast: Sunny, 76°F at green flag, light winds (5–8 mph). Perfect superspeedway conditions with minimal weather risk.

Injury / Team Updates

No major driver injuries reported.

Playoff context: Denny Hamlin is already locked into the Championship 4 with his Las Vegas win. Seven other playoff drivers are battling for three spots.

Driver Matchups

Ryan Blaney (Team Penske): 3 career Talladega wins, but enters 31 points below the cut line after a Vegas crash.

Joey Logano (Team Penske): 2-time YellaWood 500 winner (2015, 2016), also below the cut line.

Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports): 2 Talladega wins, fan favorite, needs a strong finish to stay alive.

William Byron (Hendrick Motorsports): Back-to-back Daytona 500 winner, but no Talladega wins yet.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Defending YellaWood 500 champion, all 4 career wins on superspeedways.

Denny Hamlin (Joe Gibbs Racing): 2 Talladega wins, playoff pressure off after Vegas victory.

Team Recent Form

Team Penske: Historically dominant at Talladega, including Austin Cindric’s spring 2025 win.

Hendrick Motorsports: Byron and Elliott both strong in drafting races, but inconsistent in recent Talladega outings.

Joe Gibbs Racing: 5 career Talladega wins; Hamlin and Christopher Bell both strong in the draft.

Series History

Talladega has hosted Cup races since 1969.

Known for the “Big One” — multi-car wrecks that often eliminate contenders.

Last 5 YellaWood 500 winners: Stenhouse Jr. (2024), Blaney (2023), Elliott (2022), Bubba Wallace (2021), Denny Hamlin (2020).

Betting Trends

Underdogs thrive: Last 3 Talladega fall races won by drivers at +2000 or longer.

Team Penske: 4 wins in last 8 Talladega races.

Stage racing impact: Stage points critical for playoff drivers below the cut line (Blaney, Logano, Elliott).

Overtime finishes: 3 of last 5 YellaWood 500s extended beyond scheduled distance.

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Ryan Blaney                                       + 900

William Byron                                   + 1000

Joey Logano                                       + 1000

Austin Cindric                                    + 1000

Chase Elliott                                       + 1100

Kyle Larson                                         + 1200

Denny Hamlin                                   + 1800

Christopher Bell                               + 1800

Brad Keselowski                              + 1800

Tyler Reddick                                     + 2000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 2000

Kyle Busch                                          + 2000

Ross Chastain                                    + 2200

Daniel Suarez                                     + 2200

Chris Buescher                                  + 2200

Chase Briscoe                                    + 2200

Bubba Wallace                                  + 2200

Josh Berry                                           + 2500

Alex Bowman                                    + 2500

Ryan Preece                                       + 3000

Erik Jones                                            + 3000

Austin Dillon                                      + 3000

Michael McDowell                          + 3500

Carson Hocevar                                 + 3500

Ty Gibbs                                              + 4000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 4000

Justin Haley                                        + 4000

Ty Dillon                                              + 4500

Shane Van Gisbergen                    + 5000

Zane Smith                                         + 5500

Noah Gragson                                   + 5500

John Hunter Nemechek                + 6500

Cole Custer                                         + 6500

AJ Allmendinger                              + 6500

Riley Herbst                                       + 10000

Austin Hill                                           + 10000

Cody Ware                                          + 10000

Anthony Alfredo                              + 15000

Casey Mears                                      + 20000

BJ McLeod                                          + 30000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, October 18, 2025