NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Würth 400

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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway this weekend for the Würth 400, a 400-mile battle on one of the most challenging 1.5-mile ovals in the sport. With high-speed corners, varying banking, and unpredictable cautions, this race promises intense action as drivers fight for victory in Fort Worth, Texas.

Race Details

  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Location: Texas Motor Speedway (Fort Worth, Texas)
  • Start Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Broadcast: FS1
  • Radio: PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
  • Race Stages: 80 / 165 / 267 laps
  • Defending Winner: Chase Elliott

Track Overview & Challenges

Texas Motor Speedway underwent a major repave and reconfiguration ahead of the 2017 season, altering the racing dynamics significantly. The banking in Turns 1 and 2 was reduced from 24 to 20 degrees, while the track width expanded from 60 to 80 feet, creating a unique challenge for drivers.

  • Turns 1 & 2: Require patience and finesse, as the lower banking forces drivers to manage speed carefully.
  • Turns 3 & 4: Faster and more aggressive, allowing drivers to attack with confidence.
  • Caution Trends: Since the Next Gen car debuted in 2022, Texas has seen 43 cautions in three races, with 16 cautions in last year’s event, making it one of the most unpredictable tracks on the schedule.

Top Storylines to Watch

1. Can Texas Continue Its Streak of Unique Winners?

The last eight races at Texas have produced eight different winners, including Denny Hamlin, Austin Dillon, Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, William Byron, and Chase Elliott. Will another new winner emerge, or will a past champion reclaim victory?

2. Kyle Larson – The Favorite to Win?

Larson enters Texas as the betting favorite (+330 odds), having led laps in both 1.5-mile races this season. Despite finishing outside the top 20 in his last two Texas races, his dominance at Homestead suggests he could be a major contender.

3. Carson Hocevar – The Underdog to Watch

Hocevar has had an up-and-down season, but his first career top-10 finish came at Texas last year. He also won his first Craftsman Truck Series race at this track in 2023. Could he surprise the field again?

4. Team Penske Drama – Logano vs. Cindric

After Austin Cindric’s Talladega win, tensions flared within Team Penske, with Joey Logano criticizing Cindric’s race strategy. Will this impact their performance at Texas?

5. Will Texas Produce More Chaos?

Texas has been one of the most unpredictable tracks in the Next Gen era, with double-digit cautions in two of the last three races. Will this trend continue, or will drivers find a way to keep the race clean?

Drivers to Watch

Kyle Larson (+330 odds)

  • Two-time Texas winner
  • Led laps in both 1.5-mile races this season
  • Looking to rebound after two poor Texas finishes

Denny Hamlin (+450 odds)

  • Three-time Texas winner
  • Led comfortably last year before a late caution
  • Ranks third in points standings

Chase Elliott (+500 odds)

  • Defending Texas winner
  • Hasn’t won since last year’s Texas race
  • Looking to end a 37-race winless streak

Carson Hocevar (+6500 odds)

  • First career top-10 finish at Texas last year
  • Won his first Truck Series race at Texas in 2023
  • Could be a surprise contender

Driver                                                   Odds

Kyle Larson                                         + 330

William Byron                                   + 650

Tyler Reddick                                     + 700

Denny Hamlin                                   + 850

Ryan Blaney                                       + 900

Christopher Bell                               + 900

Chase Elliott                                       + 1200

Kyle Busch                                          + 1600

Joey Logano                                       + 1600

Chase Briscoe                                    + 1600

Bubba Wallace                                  + 1800

Ross Chastain                                    + 2500

Alex Bowman                                    + 2500

Ty Gibbs                                              + 2800

Josh Berry                                           + 3500

Chris Buescher                                  + 3500

Brad Keselowski                              + 3500

Daniel Suarez                                     + 5000

Ryan Preece                                       + 6000

Carson Hocevar                                 + 6500

Austin Cindric                                    + 6500

Noah Gragson                                   + 10000

Erik Jones                                            + 10000

Austin Dillon                                      + 10000

AJ Allmendinger                              + 10000

Michael McDowell                          + 13000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 15000

Zane Smith                                         + 15000

Justin Haley                                        + 20000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 20000

Jesse Love                                           + 20000

Cole Custer                                         + 20000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 20000

Riley Herbst                                       + 30000

Cody Ware                                          + 30000

Chad Finchum                                   + 30000

Ty Dillon                                              + 30000

Shane Van Gisbergen                    + 30000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 3, 2025