NASCAR Cup Series Preview: The Great American Getaway 400

0
59

Race Name: The Great American Getaway 400

Track: Pocono Raceway (“The Tricky Triangle”)

Distance: 160 laps / 400 miles

Stage Breakdown: Stage 1 – 30 laps Stage 2 – 65 laps Final Stage – 65 laps

Broadcast: Amazon Prime Video (2:00 PM ET)

Defending Winner: Ryan Blaney (2024)

Pocono’s unique 2.5-mile triangular layout—with three distinct corners inspired by Trenton Speedway, Indianapolis Motor Speedway, and The Milwaukee Mile—demands a perfect balance of speed, handling, and strategy. It’s a track where veterans thrive and pit strategy can make or break a race.

Top Storylines to Watch

Denny Hamlin Returns to His Playground

Odds to Win: +450 (Favorite)

Pocono Wins: 7 (Most all-time)

2025 Wins: 3 (including Michigan)

After skipping Mexico City for the birth of his son, Hamlin returns to one of his best tracks. He’s finished top 6 in 8 of his last 10 Pocono starts.

Toyota’s Pocono Dominance

Toyota has won 8 of the last 12 Cup races at Pocono, including a 1–2 finish in 2022 (before a DQ). Expect strong runs from Christopher Bell, Tyler Reddick, and Ty Gibbs, all of whom have shown speed here.

Playoff Bubble Watch

With 10 races left in the regular season, drivers like Alex Bowman, Chris Buescher, and Chase Briscoe are fighting to stay above the cut line. A surprise win here could shake up the playoff picture.

Drivers to Watch

DriverOdds to WinPocono Highlights
Denny Hamlin+4507 wins, 858 laps led, 15% lap dominance
Kyle Larson+5505 Top 5s, 9 Top 10s, 158 laps led
William Byron+8009.4 avg finish, 3 Top 5s, 130 laps led
Ryan Blaney+7502 wins, defending race winner
Christopher Bell+10003 Top 6s in last 4 Pocono starts
Ty Gibbs+2000Pole winner in 2024, 5th in 2023
Alex Bowman+35005 Top 11s in last 6 Pocono starts

Track Trends & Strategy

Track Type: 2.5-mile tri-oval

Passing Difficulty: High – track position is critical

Pit Strategy: Short-pitting before stage ends is common

Manufacturer Edge: Toyota has won ~70% of last 12 races here

Notably, the eventual winner has failed to lead the most laps in 8 of the last 12 Pocono races, emphasizing the importance of late-race execution over early dominance.

Projected Winner: Denny Hamlin – With unmatched Pocono success and fresh off a week of rest, he’s the clear favorite.

Top 5 Value Picks:

Christopher Bell (+130 Top 5) – 3 runner-up finishes in 2025, strong Pocono form

Ty Gibbs (+2000 to win) – Fast in 2024 before engine failure, trending upward

William Byron (–110 Top 5) – Best average finish among active drivers

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Denny Hamlin                                   + 320

Tyler Reddick                                     + 700

Ryan Blaney                                       + 700

Kyle Larson                                         + 800

William Byron                                   + 900

Christopher Bell                               + 900

Chris Buescher                                  + 1000

Ty Gibbs                                              + 1600

Chase Elliott                                       + 1600

Chase Briscoe                                    + 1800

Carson Hocevar                                 + 1800

Brad Keselowski                              + 1800

Joey Logano                                       + 2200

Bubba Wallace                                  + 2500

Kyle Busch                                          + 3500

Alex Bowman                                    + 3500

Ross Chastain                                    + 4000

Erik Jones                                            + 4000

Austin Cindric                                    + 4000

Ryan Preece                                       + 6500

Daniel Suarez                                     + 7000

Josh Berry                                           + 8000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 8000

Cole Custer                                         + 8000

Noah Gragson                                   + 10000

Zane Smith                                         + 13000

Shane Van Gisbergen                    + 15000

Austin Dillon                                      + 15000

Michael McDowell                          + 20000

AJ Allmendinger                              + 20000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 25000

Justin Haley                                        + 25000

Riley Herbst                                       + 30000

Ty Dillon                                              + 40000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 40000

Cody Ware                                          + 100000

Brennan Poole                                  + 100000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 21, 2025