NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Hollywood Casino 400

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The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs continue this Sunday, September 28, with the Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway in Kansas City, Kansas. This 400.5-mile race is the second event in the Round of 12, making it a crucial stop for drivers battling to advance to the Round of 8. With championship hopes on the line, fans can expect high drama, bold strategies, and late-race fireworks.

Venue & Race Details

Race: Hollywood Casino 400 (Round of 12, Race 2)

Location: Kansas Speedway, Kansas City, Kansas

Track Specs: 1.5-mile tri-oval, progressive banking (17–20° in turns, 9–11° frontstretch, 5° backstretch)

Start Time: 3:00 PM ET (2:00 PM CT local)

Distance: 267 laps, 400.5 miles

Stages: 80 / 165 / 267 laps

Broadcast: USA Network (TV), MRN & SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (radio)

Weather Forecast (Kansas City, KS)

Conditions: Sunny and warm

Temperature: ~82°F at green flag, cooling into the mid-70s by race end

Wind: 7–10 mph, steady breeze across the frontstretch

Impact: Ideal racing weather; wind could slightly affect handling in Turns 1 and 2

Driver & Team Notes

Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports) – The betting favorite (+300 to +370), Larson has dominated Kansas in recent years, winning in May 2025 and leading over 200 laps.

Denny Hamlin (Joe Gibbs Racing) – A Kansas master with multiple wins, Hamlin enters at +500 to +600 odds, looking to lock into the Round of 8.

Ryan Blaney (Team Penske) – Fresh off a playoff-opening win at New Hampshire, Blaney is +600 to +700 and riding momentum.

William Byron (Hendrick Motorsports) – Consistent at Kansas with multiple Top-5s, Byron is priced around +650 to +750.

Christopher Bell (Joe Gibbs Racing) – A strong intermediate-track driver, Bell is +750 to +900 and has three straight Top-10s entering Kansas.

Bubble Watch: Tyler Reddick (+1100), Ross Chastain (+1400), and Bubba Wallace (+2500) are below the cut line but all have previous Kansas victories, making them dangerous spoilers.

Recent Team Form

Hendrick Motorsports: Larson and Byron continue to set the pace on 1.5-mile tracks.

Joe Gibbs Racing: Hamlin and Bell are consistent playoff threats, especially on intermediates.

Team Penske: Blaney’s win at New Hampshire has him in prime position, while Logano (+1400 to +1600) lurks as a proven Kansas closer.

23XI Racing: Bubba Wallace, winner here in 2022, needs a big run to stay alive in the playoffs.

Series History at Kansas

First Race: 2001

Most Wins: Joey Logano (3)

Recent Winners:

2024 – Ross Chastain

2023 – Tyler Reddick

2022 – Bubba Wallace

2021 – Kyle Larson

2020 – Joey Logano

Kansas has produced photo finishes and playoff drama, including Larson’s 0.001-second win over Chris Buescher in 2024’s spring race.

Betting Trends

Favorites Thrive: 5 of the last 7 Kansas playoff races were won by drivers starting inside the Top 5.

Toyota Power: Hamlin, Bell, and Reddick have combined for 4 Kansas wins since 2019.

Underdogs Rarely Break Through: Only once in the last decade has a driver with odds longer than +2000 won here.

Playoff Impact: The Kansas winner has advanced to the Championship 4 in 3 of the last 5 seasons.

Historical Betting Results

2024: Ross Chastain (+1400) shocked the field with a playoff win.

2023: Tyler Reddick (+1100) scored a clutch victory.

2022: Bubba Wallace (+2500) pulled off the upset.

2021: Kyle Larson (+300) dominated for Hendrick.

2020: Joey Logano (+1200) muscled past Kevin Harvick late.

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Kyle Larson                                         + 240

Denny Hamlin                                   + 450

Christopher Bell                               + 550

Chase Briscoe                                    + 700

William Byron                                   + 900

Chase Elliott                                       + 1200

Carson Hocevar                                 + 1400

Bubba Wallace                                  + 1700

Ryan Blaney                                       + 2000

Tyler Reddick                                     + 2500

Ross Chastain                                    + 2500

Alex Bowman                                    + 2500

Erik Jones                                            + 2800

Chris Buescher                                  + 2800

Joey Logano                                       + 3000

Ty Gibbs                                              + 3500

Brad Keselowski                              + 3500

Josh Berry                                           + 4000

Ryan Preece                                       + 5000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 5500

Kyle Busch                                          + 6000

AJ Allmendinger                              + 6000

Austin Cindric                                    + 7500

Noah Gragson                                   + 8000

Zane Smith                                         + 12000

Austin Dillon                                      + 20000

Daniel Suarez                                     + 25000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 25000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 30000

Michael McDowell                          + 30000

Justin Haley                                        + 35000

Shane Van Gisbergen                    + 40000

Ty Dillon                                              + 50000

Cody Ware                                          + 50000

Riley Herbst                                       + 60000

JJ Yeley                                                 + 60000

Cole Custer                                         + 60000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, September 27, 2025