NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Bank of America ROVAL 400

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The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs reach a dramatic turning point on Sunday, October 5, 2025, with the Bank of America ROVAL 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway’s ROVAL in Concord, North Carolina. This unique 2.28‑mile road course/oval hybrid serves as the cutoff race for the Round of 12, where four drivers will be eliminated from championship contention. With its tight infield corners, high‑speed oval sections, and notorious chicanes, the Charlotte ROVAL has become one of the most unpredictable and thrilling races on the NASCAR calendar.

Venue & Race Details

Race: Bank of America ROVAL 400 – NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs, Round of 12 elimination race

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: Charlotte Motor Speedway ROVAL, Concord, NC

Track Layout: 2.28 miles, 17 turns (road course + oval hybrid)

Race Distance: 109 laps / 248.52 miles

Stages: Lap 25, Lap 50, Final at Lap 109

Start Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Broadcast: USA Network (TV), PRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (Radio), streaming on HBO Max and NBC Sports App ^1][^2]

Weather Outlook

Forecast: Sunny to partly cloudy

High Temperature: ~77°F (25°C)

Rain Chance: 10–15%

Impact: Ideal racing conditions; track grip will evolve quickly, making pit strategy crucial.

Playoff Picture & Driver Updates

The Round of 12 concludes at the ROVAL, with several big names on the bubble:

Shane van Gisbergen (Trackhouse Racing): The road course ace has won four straight road/street course races in 2025 and enters as the heavy favorite [^1].

Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports): Defending ROVAL winner (2024), looking to repeat and secure advancement.

Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports): Five career road course wins, including a dramatic Kansas victory last week to lock into the Round of 8.

Christopher Bell (Joe Gibbs Racing): Runner‑up in multiple road course races this season; consistent contender.

William Byron (Hendrick Motorsports): Regular‑season champion, but has struggled in the playoffs with no top‑10s in the opening round.

Joey Logano (Team Penske): Sits on the playoff bubble (+13 over Ross Chastain); must maximize stage points to survive ^1][^4].

Ross Chastain, Bubba Wallace, Tyler Reddick: All below the cutline entering Charlotte, needing a win or major points haul to advance.

Key Driver Matchups

Shane van Gisbergen vs. Kyle Larson: SVG’s road course dominance vs. Larson’s ROVAL mastery.

Chase Elliott vs. Christopher Bell: Both thrive on technical tracks; Elliott has momentum, Bell has consistency.

Joey Logano vs. Ross Chastain: Playoff bubble battle — Logano’s steady ROVAL record vs. Chastain’s aggressive style.

AJ Allmendinger (Kaulig Racing): Non‑playoff spoiler; won the ROVAL in 2023 and has four top‑7 finishes in five starts here.

Recent Form & Track History

Defending Winner: Kyle Larson (2024)

Past Winners: AJ Allmendinger (2023), Christopher Bell (2022), Kyle Larson (2021), Chase Elliott (2019–2020).

SVG’s Streak: Four consecutive road course wins in 2025, best road course win percentage in NASCAR history (45.5% with 10+ starts) [^1].

Safety Cars & Chaos: The ROVAL is notorious for late‑race restarts and playoff drama, often reshuffling the standings in the final laps.

Betting Trends

The pole sitter has won 3 of the last 6 ROVAL races.

Hendrick Motorsports has won 4 of the last 6 ROVAL events.

SVG has won every road/street course race in 2025.

Non‑playoff drivers (like Allmendinger in 2023) have played spoiler before.

DRIVER                                                 ODDS

Shane Van Gisbergen                    – 105

Kyle Larson                                         + 850

William Byron                                   + 1000

Christopher Bell                               + 1000

Tyler Reddick                                     + 1200

Chase Elliott                                       + 1500

AJ Allmendinger                              + 1500

Chris Buescher                                  + 2000

Chase Briscoe                                    + 2000

Ross Chastain                                    + 2200

Ty Gibbs                                              + 2500

Kyle Busch                                          + 2800

Michael McDowell                          + 3000

Alex Bowman                                    + 3000

Ryan Blaney                                       + 3500

Joey Logano                                       + 3500

Austin Cindric                                    + 4500

Daniel Suarez                                     + 5000

Carson Hocevar                                 + 5500

Denny Hamlin                                   + 6000

Ryan Preece                                       + 6500

Bubba Wallace                                  + 8000

Brad Keselowski                              + 9000

John Hunter Nemechek                + 13000

Zane Smith                                         + 20000

Todd Gilliland                                   + 20000

Noah Gragson                                   + 20000

Justin Haley                                        + 25000

Erik Jones                                            + 25000

Cole Custer                                         + 25000

Riley Herbst                                       + 30000

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.                         + 30000

Josh Berry                                           + 30000

Austin Dillon                                      + 30000

Ty Dillon                                              + 40000

Cody Ware                                          + 50000

Josh Bilicki                                          + 60000

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, October 4, 2025