The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs reach a dramatic turning point on Sunday, October 5, 2025, with the Bank of America ROVAL 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway’s ROVAL in Concord, North Carolina. This unique 2.28‑mile road course/oval hybrid serves as the cutoff race for the Round of 12, where four drivers will be eliminated from championship contention. With its tight infield corners, high‑speed oval sections, and notorious chicanes, the Charlotte ROVAL has become one of the most unpredictable and thrilling races on the NASCAR calendar.
Venue & Race Details
Race: Bank of America ROVAL 400 – NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs, Round of 12 elimination race
Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
Location: Charlotte Motor Speedway ROVAL, Concord, NC
Track Layout: 2.28 miles, 17 turns (road course + oval hybrid)
Race Distance: 109 laps / 248.52 miles
Stages: Lap 25, Lap 50, Final at Lap 109
Start Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Broadcast: USA Network (TV), PRN/SiriusXM NASCAR Radio (Radio), streaming on HBO Max and NBC Sports App ^1][^2]
Weather Outlook
Forecast: Sunny to partly cloudy
High Temperature: ~77°F (25°C)
Rain Chance: 10–15%
Impact: Ideal racing conditions; track grip will evolve quickly, making pit strategy crucial.
Playoff Picture & Driver Updates
The Round of 12 concludes at the ROVAL, with several big names on the bubble:
Shane van Gisbergen (Trackhouse Racing): The road course ace has won four straight road/street course races in 2025 and enters as the heavy favorite [^1].
Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports): Defending ROVAL winner (2024), looking to repeat and secure advancement.
Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports): Five career road course wins, including a dramatic Kansas victory last week to lock into the Round of 8.
Christopher Bell (Joe Gibbs Racing): Runner‑up in multiple road course races this season; consistent contender.
William Byron (Hendrick Motorsports): Regular‑season champion, but has struggled in the playoffs with no top‑10s in the opening round.
Joey Logano (Team Penske): Sits on the playoff bubble (+13 over Ross Chastain); must maximize stage points to survive ^1][^4].
Ross Chastain, Bubba Wallace, Tyler Reddick: All below the cutline entering Charlotte, needing a win or major points haul to advance.
Key Driver Matchups
Shane van Gisbergen vs. Kyle Larson: SVG’s road course dominance vs. Larson’s ROVAL mastery.
Chase Elliott vs. Christopher Bell: Both thrive on technical tracks; Elliott has momentum, Bell has consistency.
Joey Logano vs. Ross Chastain: Playoff bubble battle — Logano’s steady ROVAL record vs. Chastain’s aggressive style.
AJ Allmendinger (Kaulig Racing): Non‑playoff spoiler; won the ROVAL in 2023 and has four top‑7 finishes in five starts here.
Recent Form & Track History
Defending Winner: Kyle Larson (2024)
Past Winners: AJ Allmendinger (2023), Christopher Bell (2022), Kyle Larson (2021), Chase Elliott (2019–2020).
SVG’s Streak: Four consecutive road course wins in 2025, best road course win percentage in NASCAR history (45.5% with 10+ starts) [^1].
Safety Cars & Chaos: The ROVAL is notorious for late‑race restarts and playoff drama, often reshuffling the standings in the final laps.
Betting Trends
The pole sitter has won 3 of the last 6 ROVAL races.
Hendrick Motorsports has won 4 of the last 6 ROVAL events.
SVG has won every road/street course race in 2025.
Non‑playoff drivers (like Allmendinger in 2023) have played spoiler before.
DRIVER ODDS
Shane Van Gisbergen – 105
Kyle Larson + 850
William Byron + 1000
Christopher Bell + 1000
Tyler Reddick + 1200
Chase Elliott + 1500
AJ Allmendinger + 1500
Chris Buescher + 2000
Chase Briscoe + 2000
Ross Chastain + 2200
Ty Gibbs + 2500
Kyle Busch + 2800
Michael McDowell + 3000
Alex Bowman + 3000
Ryan Blaney + 3500
Joey Logano + 3500
Austin Cindric + 4500
Daniel Suarez + 5000
Carson Hocevar + 5500
Denny Hamlin + 6000
Ryan Preece + 6500
Bubba Wallace + 8000
Brad Keselowski + 9000
John Hunter Nemechek + 13000
Zane Smith + 20000
Todd Gilliland + 20000
Noah Gragson + 20000
Justin Haley + 25000
Erik Jones + 25000
Cole Custer + 25000
Riley Herbst + 30000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. + 30000
Josh Berry + 30000
Austin Dillon + 30000
Ty Dillon + 40000
Cody Ware + 50000
Josh Bilicki + 60000
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, October 4, 2025








