Event: UFC 311 | Main Card Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, California Date: January 18, 2025

Fighter Overview
- Umar Nurmagomedov
- Record: 18-0
- Weight Class: Bantamweight (135 lbs)
- Height: 5′ 8″
- Reach: 69″
- Stance: Switch
Umar Nurmagomedov, an undefeated fighter from Dagestan, boasts a professional MMA record of 18-0. Trained under the renowned Eagles MMA camp, Nurmagomedov has impressed fans with his impeccable grappling and striking skills. His most recent victory over Cory Sandhagen solidified his position as a top contender. This fight marks his first title shot in the UFC, carrying the legacy of his cousin, Khabib Nurmagomedov.
- Merab Dvalishvili
- Record: 18-4
- Weight Class: Bantamweight (135 lbs)
- Height: 5′ 6″
- Reach: 68″
- Stance: Orthodox
Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili, a relentless Georgian fighter, has a professional record of 18-4. Dvalishvili, currently the reigning bantamweight champion, is known for his relentless pace and cardio. With an 11-fight winning streak, including a decisive victory over Sean O’Malley to claim the belt, Dvalishvili aims to defend his title against the undefeated Nurmagomedov. Trained under the Serra-Longo gym, Dvalishvili’s wrestling and striking have steadily improved.
Fight Breakdown and Analysis
Striking:
- Nurmagomedov delivers about 4.56 significant strikes per minute with a 63% accuracy rate. His switch stance and dynamic striking make him a versatile and dangerous stand-up fighter.
- Dvalishvili lands around 3.86 significant strikes per minute with a 53% accuracy rate. His aggressive style and striking volume have overwhelmed many opponents, despite not being known for his knockout power.
Wrestling & Grappling:
- Dvalishvili boasts a takedown accuracy of 45% and an average of 7.44 takedowns per 15 minutes. His relentless wrestling and cardio make him a formidable grappler.
- Nurmagomedov has demonstrated exceptional grappling skills, with a 59% takedown accuracy and an average of 3.12 takedowns per 15 minutes. His control and submission skills on the ground are top-notch.
Game Plan:
- Dvalishvili will likely aim to leverage his high pace and wrestling prowess to take Nurmagomedov down and control the fight on the ground. His relentless pressure will be a key factor in his approach.
- Nurmagomedov will aim to utilize his striking accuracy and dynamic attack to keep Dvalishvili at bay. If the fight goes to the ground, his grappling will be crucial in countering Dvalishvili’s wrestling.
Umar Nurmagomedov – 240
Merab Dvalishvili + 210
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, January 17, 2025