MMA Preview: UFC 298 – Robert Whittaker (24-7) vs Paulo Costa (14-2)

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Robert Whittaker vs. Paulo Costa is a battle between two fantastic middleweights, both of whom have championship ambitions. Whittaker is a former interim champ, while Costa is a former title challenger.

Moneyline       Odds

Robert Whittaker – 220

Paulo Costa     + 180

*Odds taken from Sports odds direct on Thursday, February 15.

When, Where, and How to Watch?

Place: Honda Center, Anaheim (Los Angeles), California

Date: Saturday, February 17, 2023

Time: 11:00 p.m. ET

How to Watch: PPV

Robert Whittaker is 24-7 overall, with most of his losses happening to real elite opponents. He lost to Israel Adesanya twice, for example, each time in a fight for the title. Further, in his most recent fight, he lost to Dricus Du Plessis, who later went on to become the UFC Middleweight champ.

The fight in question happened last summer and we saw Whittaker lose by TKO in round 2. Fast-forward to February 2023 and he’s hoping to bounce back. Betting odds are in his favor, but he needs to be extra careful as he’s fighting a guy who’s not dissimilar to Du Plessis.

Costa and Du Plessis currently share the No. 1 spot on the list of UFC middleweights who land the most significant strikes per minute.

This will be the first time Costa’s fighting in almost two years. He was supposed to fight a couple of bouts, but they all got canceled for various reasons. Now, he’s ready to fight for the first time since defeating Luke Rockhold in his final UFC fight.

It was Costa’s rebound fight after two straight losses. First, he got TKO-ed by Adesanya in the UFC Middleweight Championship fight; then, he lost to Marvin Vettori in a light heavyweight fight.

Those two losses remain his only defeats in his professional career. When it comes to his wins, he’s got 14 in his portfolio, 11 of which happened by KO/TKO. Arguably his biggest win is the one against Yoel Romero in 2019 who was in his prime at the time.

Whittaker is a very well-rounded fighter, but Costa is superior when it comes to striking. He’s similar to Whittaker’s last opponent, Du Plessis, who beat him by a TKO. Whittaker knows this, which is why he’ll probably go with a more careful approach on Saturday.

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Fight Editor
Profile: A seasoned combat‑sports analyst with a deep understanding of the tactical, technical, and promotional forces that shape modern MMA and boxing. This columnist delivers comprehensive coverage that blends fight‑film study, statistical insight, and industry context to break down matchups, rising contenders, and the evolving landscape of global combat sports. Background: With extensive experience covering major promotions, championship bouts, and regional circuits, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms focused on fighter development, coaching philosophies, and matchmaking strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term career trajectories across weight classes and organizations. Signature Coverage Areas: Fight previews and stylistic matchups Technical breakdowns of striking, grappling, and defensive systems Prospect scouting, rankings analysis, and divisional movement Promotional strategy, business trends, and event‑building dynamics Historical context, legacy discussions, and championship narratives Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex techniques, tactical adjustments, and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time fight fans and new followers of combat sports. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the discipline, strategy, and global reach of MMA and boxing.