MMA Preview:  Anthony Hernandez (12-2-1) vs Michel Pereira (31-11-2)

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Anthony Hernandez (12-2-1) is undefeated in his last five fights, and if he wins again, he’ll probably move much higher in the UFC Middleweight Rankings than his current position (No. 13). Winning the UFC Fight Night 245 main event won’t be easy as he’s fighting against Michel Pereira (31-11-2) who’s 8-0 in his last eight fights. He’s 14th in the rankings, but another win would almost certainly get him to the Top 10.

Anthony Hernandez vs. Michel Pereira Odds

MoneylineOdds
Anthony Hernandez-155
Michel Pereira+135

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 18, 2024

When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Date: Saturday, October 19, 2024
  • Time: ~10:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Anthony Hernandez is a well-rounded fighter with 10 finishes in his portfolio. Eight of those happened by submission, which shows how dangerous he is when the fight goes to the ground. Most of his fights did get there as he’s very good when it comes to takedowns.

In fact, this has become his style over the last couple of years. His TD average is 6.62, while in his last four UFC fights, he landed 25 TDs.

What’s interesting is that even though submission is his favorite method, this guy also tends to land a lot of strikes. In each of his last five fights – all of which he won – he landed more significant strikes than his opponent.

The best thing is that he’s fought against some good strikers, including Marc-Andre Barriault, Roman Kopylov, and Edmen Shahbazyan.

Michel Pereira is still relatively young for an MMA fighter. He’s 31, but he’s already fought 44 professional fights. He wasn’t too successful in the early days of his career, but he now seems to be in his prime.

“Demolidor” won each of his last eight fights, and his run would’ve been even longer if it hadn’t been for the DQ loss against Diego Sanchez in early 2020. He was winning that fight but was disqualified in Round 3 for an illegal knee.

What’s interesting is that his last two wins happened by submission. What’s even more interesting is that both of those happened with both fighters on their feet. In fact, this guy has made zero takedowns in his last three fights.

He prefers to fight standing up, and there’s a very good reason for that. Not only is he an expert in guillotine and rear naked chokes, but he’s also a fantastic boxer. He lands more than 5 significant strikes a minute. He’s got 11 wins by KO/TKO, 9 by submission, and 11 by decision, which shows that he’s got plenty of weapons in his arsenal.

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Fight Editor
Profile: A seasoned combat‑sports analyst with a deep understanding of the tactical, technical, and promotional forces that shape modern MMA and boxing. This columnist delivers comprehensive coverage that blends fight‑film study, statistical insight, and industry context to break down matchups, rising contenders, and the evolving landscape of global combat sports. Background: With extensive experience covering major promotions, championship bouts, and regional circuits, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms focused on fighter development, coaching philosophies, and matchmaking strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term career trajectories across weight classes and organizations. Signature Coverage Areas: Fight previews and stylistic matchups Technical breakdowns of striking, grappling, and defensive systems Prospect scouting, rankings analysis, and divisional movement Promotional strategy, business trends, and event‑building dynamics Historical context, legacy discussions, and championship narratives Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex techniques, tactical adjustments, and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time fight fans and new followers of combat sports. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the discipline, strategy, and global reach of MMA and boxing.