MMA Match Preview: Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1, 1 NC) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (19-7-0)

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T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, Nevada

A compelling light heavyweight matchup lands on the UFC 117 main card as Brazilian finisher Rodolfo Bellato meets former Cage Warriors champion Modestas Bukauskas. Both men are entering their primes, both have real momentum, and both bring contrasting styles that should produce a tactical but violent fight. With the 205‑pound division wide open behind the top contenders, this bout carries meaningful implications for the next wave of ranked fighters.

VENUE & EVENT DETAILS

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Main Card Start: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT

Bellato vs. Bukauskas: Expected around 11:15 PM ET / 8:15 PM PT

Cage Size: 30‑foot Octagon

Altitude: Sea level

INJURY REPORT & CAMP NOTES

Rodolfo Bellato

  • No reported injuries
  • Full camp at Nova União
  • Focus on wrestling pressure, top control, and improved striking entries
  • Coaches emphasize avoiding long-range kickboxing exchanges

Modestas Bukauskas

  • Recovered from minor knee irritation early in camp
  • Camp at BST Academy (UK) with additional U.S. sparring
  • Emphasis on footwork, range management, and anti-wrestling
  • Added more clinch defense to counter Bellato’s pressure

Both fighters enter healthy and fully prepared for a high‑stakes 205‑pound clash.

RECENT FORM & MOMENTUM

Rodolfo Bellato — Last 5 Fights

  • Record: 4–1
  • Wins: 2 submissions, 1 KO, 1 decision
  • Loss: 1 KO
  • Trend: Strong grappling, improving striking, dangerous in scrambles

Modestas Bukauskas — Last 5 Fights

  • Record: 3–2
  • Wins: 2 decisions, 1 KO
  • Losses: 1 KO, 1 decision
  • Trend: Technical striker with good movement, inconsistent against pressure wrestlers

FIGHTER MATCHUP BREAKDOWN

Striking

  • Bellato: Developing boxing, heavy low kicks, uses strikes to close distance
  • Bukauskas: Clean kickboxing, long-range weapons, sharp counters Edge: Bukauskas

Grappling

  • Bellato: Strong takedowns, heavy top control, dangerous submissions
  • Bukauskas: Solid defensive grappling but struggles against chain wrestlers Edge: Bellato

Cardio

  • Bellato: Good 3‑round engine, slows if forced to strike at range
  • Bukauskas: Better long-range cardio, strong late rounds Edge: Bukauskas

Fight IQ

  • Bellato: Smart grappler but sometimes predictable in entries
  • Bukauskas: More tactical, but can be backed up too easily Edge: Even

FIGHT HISTORY & CONTEXT

This is the first meeting between the two fighters.

Rodolfo Bellato’s UFC Trajectory

  • A rising Brazilian prospect with real finishing upside
  • Known for strong grappling and improving striking
  • A win likely pushes him toward the top‑15 conversation

Modestas Bukauskas’ UFC Trajectory

  • Former Cage Warriors champion
  • Technical, experienced, and well-rounded
  • A win stabilizes his UFC run and positions him for ranked matchups

BETTING TRENDS

Rodolfo Bellato Trends

  • 4 of last 5 wins by finish
  • 3–0 when securing 2+ takedowns
  • 0–2 when out‑struck by 25+ significant strikes

Modestas Bukauskas Trends

  • 5 of last 7 fights have gone to decision
  • 3–1 when landing 40+ significant strikes
  • 0–3 when taken down 3+ times

Matchup Trends

  • Bellato’s grappling is the X‑factor
  • Bukauskas needs space and movement
  • Early cage control likely determines the fight’s direction

FIGHT ODDS

Rodolfo Bellato                – 102

Modestas Bukauskas      – 118

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026

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Fight Editor
Profile: A seasoned combat‑sports analyst with a deep understanding of the tactical, technical, and promotional forces that shape modern MMA and boxing. This columnist delivers comprehensive coverage that blends fight‑film study, statistical insight, and industry context to break down matchups, rising contenders, and the evolving landscape of global combat sports. Background: With extensive experience covering major promotions, championship bouts, and regional circuits, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets and digital platforms focused on fighter development, coaching philosophies, and matchmaking strategy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to evaluating performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term career trajectories across weight classes and organizations. Signature Coverage Areas: Fight previews and stylistic matchups Technical breakdowns of striking, grappling, and defensive systems Prospect scouting, rankings analysis, and divisional movement Promotional strategy, business trends, and event‑building dynamics Historical context, legacy discussions, and championship narratives Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex techniques, tactical adjustments, and statistical models into insights that resonate with both long‑time fight fans and new followers of combat sports. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the discipline, strategy, and global reach of MMA and boxing.