Fight Details
Matchup: Patchy Mix (20-1-0) vs. Mario Bautista (15-2-0)
Event: UFC 316
Date: Saturday, June 7, 2025
Venue: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ
Weight Class: Bantamweight (135 lbs)
Broadcast: Pay-Per-View
Fight Overview
The UFC 316 main card features a high-stakes bantamweight clash between Patchy Mix, the former Bellator champion making his UFC debut, and Mario Bautista, a surging contender riding a seven-fight winning streak. Mix enters the UFC after a dominant run in Bellator, where he captured the bantamweight title and defended it against elite competition. Bautista, meanwhile, has established himself as a top-10 UFC bantamweight, most recently securing a split-decision victory over Jose Aldo at UFC 307. This matchup presents a classic grappler vs. striker battle, with Mix’s elite submission skills facing off against Bautista’s high-volume striking and takedown defense.
Fighter Profiles & Key Stats
Patchy Mix (20-1-0) – Former Bellator Bantamweight Champion
Age: 31
Height: 5’11”
Reach: 71″
Stance: Orthodox
Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu & Wrestling
Recent Fights:
Win vs. Magomed Magomedov (Decision) – Bellator 301
Win vs. Sergio Pettis (KO, Round 2) – Bellator 297
Win vs. Raufeon Stots (Submission, Round 1) – Bellator Grand Prix Final
Analysis: Mix is a dominant grappler, known for his ability to take opponents’ backs and finish fights with chokes. His submission game is among the best in MMA, making him a dangerous threat if the fight goes to the ground.
Mario Bautista (15-2-0) – UFC Bantamweight Contender
Age: 31
Height: 5’9″
Reach: 69″
Stance: Orthodox
Fighting Style: Kickboxing & Wrestling
Recent Fights:
Win vs. Jose Aldo (Decision) – UFC 307
Win vs. Brian Kelleher (Submission, Round 1) – UFC Fight Night
Win vs. Guido Cannetti (TKO, Round 1) – UFC 299
Analysis: Bautista is a high-volume striker with solid takedown defense. His ability to keep fights standing and outwork opponents makes him a tough challenge for grapplers like Mix.
Fight Breakdown & Strategy
Striking Battle
Bautista has better boxing and kickboxing, but Mix’s long reach could help him in exchanges.
If Bautista keeps the fight standing, he has a strong chance to outpoint Mix over three rounds.
Grappling & Takedowns
Mix dominates in takedowns, averaging 3.5 per fight.
Bautista’s takedown defense (70%) will be tested against Mix’s relentless pressure.
Cardio & Durability
Mix has elite endurance, making him dangerous in later rounds.
Bautista has never been finished in the UFC, proving his durability.
FIGHT ODDS
Patchy Mix – 180
Mario Bautista + 160
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 6, 2025
