Venue & Event Details
Event: UFC Fight Night 261: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Time: Prelims start 4:00 p.m. ET; Rocha vs. Nicoll expected ~5:00 p.m. ET
Division: Flyweight (125 lbs), 3 rounds
Injury Report
Lucas Rocha: Healthy, no reported issues.
Stewart Nicoll: Healthy, cleared to fight.
Fighter Matchups
Lucas Rocha (Brazil, 25 years old)
Record: 17-2 (10 KO/TKO, 4 SUB)
Height/Reach: 5’3”, 64” reach
Style: Aggressive striker with knockout power, opportunistic submissions.
Last Fight: Loss to Clayton Carpenter (R2 submission, Oct 2024).
Strengths: High-volume combinations, dangerous knees, improving defensive grappling.
Weaknesses: Absorbs 4.5 significant strikes per minute, undersized for flyweight.
Stewart Nicoll (Australia, 30 years old)
Record: 8-1 (4 KO/TKO, 3 SUB)
Height/Reach: 5’5”, 65.5” reach
Style: Grappling-heavy, opportunistic finisher.
Last Fight: Loss to Jesus Aguilar (R1 guillotine choke, UFC 305).
Strengths: Strong clinch game, trips and body locks, opportunistic submissions.
Weaknesses: Defensive lapses in scrambles, limited UFC experience.
Key Battle: Rocha’s striking volume and power vs. Nicoll’s grappling pressure and submission setups.
Records & Recent Form
Rocha (Last 5): L-W-W-W-W – six-fight win streak before UFC debut loss.
Nicoll (Last 5): L-W-W-W-W – undefeated before debut loss to Aguilar.
Series History
First meeting between Rocha and Nicoll.
Betting Trends
Rocha: 14 of 17 wins by finish; rarely goes to decision.
Nicoll: 7 of 8 wins by finish; only 3 fights have gone past Round 2.
Public picks: 77% backing Rocha, 23% Nicoll.
Both fighters lost UFC debuts by submission, raising questions about grappling defense.
FIGHT ODDS
Lucas Rocha – 115
Stewart Nicoll – 105
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025
