Venue & Event Details
Event: UFC Fight Night 261: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Time: Prelims begin 4:00 p.m. ET; Filho vs. Carpenter walkouts approx. 5:40 p.m. ET
Division: Flyweight (125 lbs), 3 rounds
Injury Report
Jafel Filho: Healthy, no reported issues.
Clayton Carpenter: Healthy, cleared to fight.
Fighter Matchups
Jafel Filho (Brazil, 32 years old)
Record: 16-4 (2-2 UFC)
Style: Submission specialist (10 career subs, mostly rear-naked choke).
Strengths: Opportunistic grappler, dangerous off his back, cardio edge.
Weaknesses: Struggles against strong wrestlers (losses to Allan Nascimento, Muhammad Mokaev).
Clayton Carpenter (USA, 29 years old)
Record: 8-1 (2-1 UFC)
Style: Wrestler/grappler with submission finishes.
Strengths: Top control, positional awareness, mixes ground-and-pound with subs.
Weaknesses: Can slow down late, vulnerable to submission attempts during entries.
Key Battle: Carpenter’s wrestling pressure vs. Filho’s submission traps.
Recent Form
Filho (Last 5): L-W-W-L-W – recent wins over Ode’ Osbourne and Daniel Barez, loss to Allan Nascimento (UD).
Carpenter (Last 5): L-W-W-W-W – first career loss to Tagir Ulanbekov (UD), prior wins over Lucas Rocha and Juancamilo Rodrigues.
Series History
First meeting between these two flyweights.
Betting Trends
Filho: 15 of 20 career fights ended inside the distance; 2-2 UFC record.
Carpenter: 6 of 8 wins by finish; never been stopped.
Public picks: 77% Carpenter, 23% Filho (Tapology community).
Both fighters lost their last bout by decision to ranked opponents.
FIGHT ODDS
Jafel Filho + 105
Clayton Carpenter – 125
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, October 10, 2025
