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MMA Match Preview: Carlos Prates (21-6) vs. Ian Machado Garry (15-1)

The welterweight bout between Carlos Prates and Ian Machado Garry is set to headline UFC on ESPN 66 on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. This highly anticipated clash features two dynamic fighters with contrasting styles, making it a pivotal matchup in the 170-pound division.

Fighter Profiles:

Carlos Prates:

  • Record: 21-6
  • Height: 6’1″
  • Reach: 78 inches
  • Style: Aggressive striker with Muay Thai expertise.
    Prates, nicknamed “The Nightmare,” is riding an impressive 11-fight win streak, with 10 of those victories coming by knockout or TKO. Known for his devastating power and technical striking, Prates has honed his skills during years of training in Thailand. His ability to mix crushing kicks, powerful crosses, and counter-striking makes him a dangerous opponent. Prates is coming off a highlight-reel knockout win over Neil Magny, solidifying his position as one of the division’s most feared finishers. This fight marks a significant step up in competition for Prates, as he looks to break into the elite ranks of the welterweight division.

Ian Machado Garry:

  • Record: 15-1
  • Height: 6’3″
  • Reach: 74.5 inches
  • Style: Technical striker with a strong grappling base.
    Garry, nicknamed “The Future,” is a highly touted prospect who has quickly risen through the UFC ranks. Known for his clean striking and ability to manage range, Garry has showcased his versatility with seven wins by knockout and one by submission. Despite suffering his first professional loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov in December 2024, Garry remains a top contender in the division. His ability to mix striking with grappling and his composure under pressure make him a well-rounded threat. Garry’s experience against elite competition gives him an edge in high-stakes matchups like this one.

Matchup Analysis:

Striking:
This fight is expected to be a striking showcase, with both fighters excelling in stand-up exchanges. Prates’ Muay Thai background and ability to deliver multi-level attacks, including leg kicks and body shots, make him a formidable striker. Garry, on the other hand, relies on precision and range management, using straight punches and lateral movement to outpoint opponents. Prates’ power gives him the edge in finishing ability, while Garry’s technical approach may allow him to control the pace.

Grappling:
While both fighters are primarily strikers, Garry’s grappling base and judo background could play a role if he chooses to mix things up. Prates has shown solid takedown defense and the ability to operate in the clinch, but Garry’s ability to transition between striking and grappling could give him an advantage in close quarters.

Cardio:
Both fighters have demonstrated the ability to maintain a high pace, but Garry’s experience in longer fights may give him an edge in the later rounds. Prates’ aggressive style could lead to fatigue if he doesn’t manage his output effectively.

FIGHT ODDS

Carlos Prates                     + 110

Ian Machado Garry         – 130

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, April 25, 2025

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